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JL Bourg vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-58
17-14 22-16 26-16 23-12
Position#5
Record9-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#11
Record3-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game87.4
FranceLNBRound 25
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · JL Bourg v Pau-Orthez
27 Mar 2027
JBO v POR
upcoming
08 Oct 2022
JBO92
POR77
05 Feb 2022
JBO73
POR83
16 Mar 2021
JBO88
POR58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

JL Bourg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JL BourgFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
83avg 78
A16/01
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
87-99
87
99
-12
74avg 78
H20/01
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
91-94
91
94
-3
85avg 78
A27/01
Eurocup
Orleans
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
85avg 78
H30/01
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
64-77
64
77
-13
62avg 78
H03/02
Eurocup
Chalons-Reims
#12
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
no box
A06/02
LNB
Buducnost
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
86avg 78
H03/03
Eurocup
Nanterre
#9
W
97-72
97
72
+25
101avg 78
H07/03
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
62-83
62
83
-21
56avg 78
A09/03
Eurocup
Le Mans
#8
W
86-85
86
85
+1
84avg 78
A12/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-16
27-12
20-30
24-18
16-17
28-30
22-25
21-27
21-24
30-31
20-15
20-24
18-21
24-22
22-12
24-27
21-28
20-11
14-20
9-18
20-23
25-28
28-21
18-19
21-24
24-23
24-20
20-25
23-18
27-20
21-18
26-16
12-25
17-23
22-14
11-21
16-27
26-18
23-23
21-17
171.8Avg total
85.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.081.5169.5+6.575%
Season at home (4)90.873.8164.5+17.0100%
Season away (8)86.685.4172.0+1.262%
Last 10 (10)85.086.8171.8-1.840%
Last 5 (5)87.488.0175.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.387.9166.2-9.611%
vs Similar (12)85.382.2167.6+3.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.977.4164.2+9.575%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#8
W
90-81 OT
90
81
+9
no box
H28/10
LNB
Levallois
#6
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 73
A07/11
LNB
Monaco
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
70avg 73
H06/12
LNB
Orleans
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
66avg 73
A12/12
LNB
Strasbourg
#4
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 73
A19/12
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
72avg 73
H16/01
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#12
L
86-97
86
97
-11
82avg 73
H30/01
LNB
Limoges
#10
L
87-96
87
96
-9
81avg 73
A06/02
LNB
Monaco
#3
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
no box
A06/03
LNB
Orleans
#7
L
72-101
72
101
-29
68avg 73
H13/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
15-16
15-15
24-22
21-15
25-21
18-22
13-26
28-17
21-14
18-30
19-29
14-15
14-19
18-27
29-24
15-23
18-24
18-26
20-21
16-12
12-27
30-20
18-24
20-20
20-26
18-19
28-32
30-24
18-30
20-22
19-20
14-22
25-28
23-22
26-16
16-27
26-23
13-28
17-23
172.8Avg total
81.5Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.087.4168.4-6.423%
Season at home (6)83.285.3168.5-2.233%
Season away (7)79.189.1168.3-10.014%
Last 10 (10)81.591.3172.8-9.810%
Last 5 (5)83.295.8179.0-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.990.8168.6-12.90%
vs Similar (4)85.287.5172.8-2.250%
vs Weaker (1)89.060.0149.0+29.0100%
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
JL BourgPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#11
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A16/01
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H20/01
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A27/01
Eurocup
Orleans
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H30/01
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H03/02
Eurocup
Chalons-Reims
#12
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A06/02
LNB
Buducnost
#12
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H03/03
Eurocup
Nanterre
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H07/03
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A09/03
Eurocup
Le Mans
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A12/03
LNB
86.9Avg total
42.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.883.9+0.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.339.982.2+2.438%-
Last 30 away (17)41.843.385.1-1.535%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.186.9-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.888.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.844.884.6-5.022%-
vs Similar (12)43.842.085.8+1.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.138.580.6+3.650%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#8
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/10
LNB
Levallois
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A07/11
LNB
Monaco
#3
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H06/12
LNB
Orleans
#7
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A12/12
LNB
Strasbourg
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A19/12
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H16/01
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H30/01
LNB
Limoges
#10
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A06/02
LNB
Monaco
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A06/03
LNB
Orleans
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H13/03
LNB
80.4Avg total
38.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)38.539.878.3-1.329%-
Last 30 at home (6)39.038.077.0+1.033%-
Last 30 away (8)38.141.179.2-3.025%-
Last 10 (10)38.442.080.4-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)39.447.887.2-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.540.277.8-2.825%-
vs Similar (4)37.242.579.8-5.20%-
vs Weaker (1)44.029.073.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.1
54.6%
54.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.6
38.5%
36.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws13.911.7
84.2%
75.1%11.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.7
53.7%
54.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.3
40.1%
36.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.712.9
77.2%
75.1%12.9
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
JL Bourg
WLWLLLWLLW
Pau-Orthez
LLLLLLLLLW
#5
League position
#11
-5.5
Net rating
-11.2
109.7
Offensive rating
105.6
115.2
Defensive rating
116.8
56.0%
Effective FG%
56.3%
59.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.0%
19.2%
Turnover %
22.1%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.5%
3-point %
40.1%
65.3%
Assist %
55.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 105.6Defence115.2 · 116.8Shooting56.0% · 56.3%3-point %38.5% · 40.1%Ball care19.2% · 22.1%Off. rebounds28.8% · 23.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ JL Bourg   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
JL Bourg wins
0
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
16/01/21Pau-Orthez v JL Bourg76-83
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/21ALe Mans86-85
09/03/21AVirtus Bologna62-83
07/03/21HNanterre97-72
03/03/21HBuducnost89-92
06/02/21AChalons-Reims103-108 OT
03/02/21HCedevita Olimpija64-77
30/01/21HOrleans88-82
27/01/21ACedevita Olimpija91-94
20/01/21HVirtus Bologna87-99
16/01/21APau-Orthez83-76
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21HOrleans72-101
06/03/21AMonaco95-102 OT
06/02/21ALimoges87-96
30/01/21HChalons-Reims86-97
16/01/21HJL Bourg76-83
19/12/20AStrasbourg71-94
12/12/20AOrleans75-85
06/12/20HMonaco86-90
07/11/20ALevallois77-84
28/10/20HLe Mans90-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

JL Bourg
LNB 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %75%100%62%
Points / game88.090.886.6
Allowed / game81.573.885.4
Point differential+6.5+17.0+1.2
Avg total169.5164.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)-60% (5)
Overtime %17%0%25%
Pau-Orthez
LNB 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game81.083.279.1
Allowed / game87.485.389.1
Point differential-6.4-2.2-10.0
Avg total168.4168.5168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %15%17%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1110191%82.971.1+11.8
2 Dijon1512380%79.473.1+6.3
3 JL Bourg129375%88.081.5+6.5
4 Levallois1510567%79.172.2+6.9
5 Strasbourg128467%83.279.9+3.3
6 Lyon-Villeurbanne127558%87.279.8+7.5
7 Le Mans127558%87.083.3+3.7
8 Orleans137654%90.581.5+9.1
9 Gravelines-Dunkerque126650%77.681.0-3.4
10 Nanterre115645%81.680.4+1.3
11 Limoges125742%74.878.6-3.8
12 Le Portel125742%72.482.2-9.8
13 Chalon/Saone135838%76.882.0-5.2
14 Chalons-Reims134931%80.287.0-6.8
15 Cholet103730%79.383.2-3.9
16 Roanne123925%76.685.6-9.0
17 Pau-Orthez1331023%81.087.4-6.4
18 Boulazac101910%74.886.9-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
JL Bourg1722262388
Pau-Orthez1416161258
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