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Pau-Orthez vs Rouen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 86-72
13-21 21-14 28-23 24-14
Position#2
Record8-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#14
Record6-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game82.9
FrancePro BRound 15· Palais des Sports de Pau
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Rouen
19 Dec 2025
POR86
ROU72
11 Mar 2025
POR71
ROU74
27 Dec 2023
POR70
ROU74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rouen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 92
A10/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 92
H17/10
Pro B
Evreux
#19
W
98-65
98
65
+33
96avg 92
A24/10
Pro B
Quimper
#20
L
79-104
79
104
-25
76avg 92
H28/10
Pro B
Caen
#17
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 92
A31/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
91-82
91
82
+9
79avg 92
A07/11
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
78avg 92
H14/11
Pro B
Vichy
#7
L
80-85
80
85
-5
78avg 92
A21/11
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
104-82
104
82
+22
102avg 92
A05/12
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
97avg 92
H12/12
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
19-30
22-21
30-25
24-18
16-21
16-26
31-13
22-12
21-21
27-16
28-16
24-39
11-27
23-15
21-23
15-21
25-20
18-25
27-23
23-24
20-18
24-22
24-18
18-30
28-10
16-17
17-23
18-21
26-25
24-16
12-23
25-15
22-20
26-32
31-15
28-21
19-26
18-23
22-17
175.7Avg total
89.3Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.981.2168.1+5.757%
Season at home (7)83.080.9163.9+2.157%
Season away (7)90.981.6172.4+9.357%
Last 10 (10)89.386.4175.7+2.940%
Last 5 (5)91.287.2178.4+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.082.0157.0-7.050%
vs Similar (14)81.981.1163.0+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.183.2171.3+4.862%
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RouenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRouen
Date
Competition
Quimper
#20
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 87
A11/10
Pro B
ASA
#12
L
82-100
82
100
-18
70avg 87
H17/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
70avg 87
A24/10
Pro B
Evreux
#19
W
84-78
84
78
+6
84avg 87
H28/10
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
75-83
75
83
-8
68avg 87
H31/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
86-96
86
96
-10
79avg 87
A07/11
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
79-87
79
87
-8
75avg 87
H14/11
Pro B
Antibes
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
75avg 87
A21/11
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
W
93-79
93
79
+14
89avg 87
H05/12
Pro B
Challans
#21
W
79-73
79
73
+6
78avg 87
A12/12
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
19-14
17-17
19-20
22-18
24-30
15-25
21-27
26-14
22-18
14-18
16-26
18-32
21-21
17-15
28-10
11-23
21-20
20-11
23-29
21-25
14-23
20-24
31-24
24-23
19-16
19-24
17-24
21-27
20-19
14-27
27-15
20-20
31-26
20-21
22-12
15-21
21-17
18-14
25-21
165.0Avg total
80.9Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.382.9163.2-2.643%
Season at home (7)83.784.3168.0-0.657%
Season away (7)76.981.6158.4-4.729%
Last 10 (10)80.984.1165.0-3.240%
Last 5 (5)83.884.6168.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.586.8162.3-11.30%
vs Similar (13)80.882.1162.8-1.354%
vs Weaker (10)77.377.2154.5+0.160%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
Pau-OrthezRouen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A10/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/10
Pro B
Evreux
#19
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A24/10
Pro B
Quimper
#20
L
35-66
35
66
-31
H28/10
Pro B
Caen
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A31/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/11
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H14/11
Pro B
Vichy
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A21/11
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A05/12
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H12/12
Pro B
85.6Avg total
42.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.340.781.0-0.345%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.281.1+0.747%-
Last 30 away (14)39.841.281.0-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.585.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.087.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.538.576.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (14)40.939.780.6+1.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.242.182.3-1.846%-
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RouenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimper
#20
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A11/10
Pro B
ASA
#12
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H17/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A24/10
Pro B
Evreux
#19
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H28/10
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H31/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A07/11
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H14/11
Pro B
Antibes
#15
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A21/11
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/12
Pro B
Challans
#21
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/12
Pro B
84.3Avg total
40.6Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.781.1-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.539.681.1+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)37.543.681.1-6.131%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.784.3-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.484.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.244.880.0-9.717%-
vs Similar (13)41.640.882.4+0.854%-
vs Weaker (10)38.138.876.9-0.760%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.923.0
52.4%
53.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.1
37.4%
32.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.514.8
72.2%
71.4%14.8
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rouentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rouen: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.0
48.5%
53.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.6
35.8%
32.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws28.818.9
65.6%
71.4%18.9
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
LWLLWLLWWL
Rouen
WWLLLLWWLL
#2
League position
#14
+5.6
Net rating
-2.9
114.4
Offensive rating
107.0
108.8
Defensive rating
110.0
53.7%
Effective FG%
50.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.0%
Turnover %
20.5%
39.6%
Off. rebound %
38.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.47
37.4%
3-point %
35.8%
64.8%
Assist %
69.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 107.0Defence108.8 · 110.0Shooting53.7% · 50.6%3-point %37.4% · 35.8%Ball care19.0% · 20.5%Off. rebounds39.6% · 38.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.47Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Rouen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pau-Orthez wins
4
Rouen wins
DateGameScore
11/03/25Pau-Orthez v Rouen71-74
11/10/24Rouen v Pau-Orthez79-75
26/03/24Rouen v Pau-Orthez91-88
27/12/23Pau-Orthez v Rouen70-74
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25HAda Blois102-107 OT
05/12/25ASt. Chamond104-82
21/11/25AVichy80-85
14/11/25HPoitiers79-80
07/11/25AAix Maurienne91-82
31/10/25ACaen85-89
28/10/25HQuimper79-104
24/10/25AEvreux98-65
17/10/25HHyeres-Toulon87-78
10/10/25AChalons-Reims88-92
Rouenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25AChallans79-73
05/12/25HDenain-Voltaire93-79
21/11/25AAntibes82-88
14/11/25HNantes79-87
07/11/25APoitiers86-96
31/10/25HOrleans75-83
28/10/25HEvreux84-78
24/10/25AAda Blois78-76
17/10/25HASA82-100
11/10/25AQuimper71-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWWLLL57%
AwayWLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game86.983.090.9
Allowed / game81.280.981.6
Point differential+5.7+2.1+9.3
Avg total168.1163.9172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%29%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Rouen
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game80.383.776.9
Allowed / game82.984.381.6
Point differential-2.6-0.6-4.7
Avg total163.2168.0158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ada Blois1512380%85.478.5+6.9
2 Orleans1512380%82.476.7+5.7
3 Roanne1510567%89.180.7+8.5
4 Denain-Voltaire149564%84.380.9+3.4
5 Vichy149564%80.177.5+2.6
6 Chalons-Reims159660%81.781.0+0.7
7 Nantes159660%81.682.8-1.2
8 Pau-Orthez148657%86.981.2+5.7
9 Poitiers158753%84.381.1+3.2
10 Antibes158753%84.182.9+1.1
11 Hyeres-Toulon158753%84.583.6+0.9
12 La Rochelle158753%76.378.8-2.5
13 ASA147750%82.482.2+0.1
14 Rouen146843%80.382.9-2.6
15 St. Chamond145936%86.485.6+0.7
16 Caen1551033%81.583.1-1.6
17 Quimper134931%74.581.2-6.8
18 Aix Maurienne1441029%80.687.0-6.4
19 Evreux1431121%78.588.4-9.9
20 Challans151147%73.783.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez1321282486
Rouen2114231472
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