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Pau-Orthez vs Poitiers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-80
18-30 28-10 16-17 17-23
Position#2
Record7-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#4
Record5-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game81.1
FrancePro BRound 11· Palais des Sports de Pau
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Poitiers
18 Jun 2026
POR86
POI73
12 Jun 2026
POR82
POI106
14 Nov 2025
POR79
POI80
11 Apr 2025
POR93
POI78
03 Dec 2023
POR77
POI78
19 Sep 2023
POR81
POI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poitiers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Orleans
#3
W
82-61
82
61
+21
101avg 93
H26/09
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
104avg 93
A30/09
Pro B
ASA
#12
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 93
H04/10
Pro B
Boulazac
#26
L
83-88
83
88
-5
no box
H07/10
French Cup
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 93
A10/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 93
H17/10
Pro B
Evreux
#19
W
98-65
98
65
+33
96avg 93
A24/10
Pro B
Quimper
#20
L
79-104
79
104
-25
76avg 93
H28/10
Pro B
Caen
#17
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 93
A31/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
91-82
91
82
+9
79avg 93
A07/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
19-14
21-21
20-15
29-17
25-18
22-20
14-21
21-11
12-24
24-18
18-16
27-29
13-20
23-22
20-17
17-16
19-30
22-21
30-25
24-18
16-21
16-26
31-13
22-12
21-21
27-16
28-16
24-39
11-27
23-15
21-23
15-21
25-20
18-25
27-23
23-24
20-18
24-22
24-18
166.2Avg total
85.8Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.278.3163.5+6.970%
Season at home (5)80.075.8155.8+4.280%
Season away (5)90.480.8171.2+9.660%
Last 10 (10)85.880.4166.2+5.460%
Last 5 (5)88.083.6171.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.082.0157.0-7.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.082.5165.5+0.557%
vs Weaker (13)85.180.8165.9+4.262%
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoitiers
Date
Competition
Antibes
#15
L
79-87
79
87
-8
95avg 90
H19/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
L
79-88
79
88
-9
89avg 90
A26/09
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
64-76
64
76
-12
81avg 90
H30/09
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
93-70
93
70
+23
80avg 90
H03/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
105-92
105
92
+13
105avg 90
A10/10
Pro B
Vichy
#7
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
68avg 90
H17/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 90
A24/10
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
77avg 90
A28/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
W
95-64
95
64
+31
93avg 90
H31/10
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
96-86
96
86
+10
93avg 90
H07/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
20-26
25-18
13-23
19-20
19-18
16-29
25-21
25-16
15-18
10-20
14-22
25-19
20-18
23-11
25-22
39-23
17-23
25-25
24-21
16-20
21-19
14-20
21-13
26-19
14-19
25-14
21-27
25-25
25-18
22-18
8-24
26-20
24-16
31-15
14-13
25-21
23-14
24-20
24-31
166.5Avg total
85.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.481.1166.5+4.350%
Season at home (6)84.077.8161.8+6.250%
Season away (4)87.586.0173.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)85.481.1166.5+4.350%
Last 5 (5)86.879.6166.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.093.0171.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)82.783.4166.1-0.747%
vs Weaker (8)85.876.4162.1+9.488%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -2.8-2.8
Pau-OrthezPoitiers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#3
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H26/09
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A30/09
Pro B
ASA
#12
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H04/10
Pro B
Boulazac
#26
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H07/10
French Cup
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A10/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/10
Pro B
Evreux
#19
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A24/10
Pro B
Quimper
#20
L
35-66
35
66
-31
H28/10
Pro B
Caen
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A31/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/11
Pro B
81.6Avg total
40.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.740.380.0-0.648%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.139.779.7+0.447%-
Last 30 away (14)39.441.080.4-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.181.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.284.4-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.538.576.0-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.539.179.6+1.450%-
vs Weaker (13)39.241.881.1-2.646%-
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antibes
#15
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H19/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A26/09
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/09
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H03/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A10/10
Pro B
Vichy
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H17/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A24/10
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A28/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H31/10
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H07/11
Pro B
83.7Avg total
44.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.780.7+1.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.538.679.1+1.865%-
Last 30 away (13)41.841.182.8+0.754%-
Last 10 (10)44.539.283.7+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.283.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.047.087.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.639.179.7+1.563%-
vs Weaker (8)42.137.479.5+4.875%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.1
49.8%
53.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.9
39.0%
32.8%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.912.7
67.2%
71.4%12.7
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poitierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poitiers: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.8
50.5%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.9
38.4%
32.8%29.7
🏀 Free throws25.617.9
69.9%
71.4%17.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
WLLWWLLWWW
Poitiers
WWLWLWWLLL
#2
League position
#4
+9.3
Net rating
+6.7
114.6
Offensive rating
114.5
105.3
Defensive rating
107.8
53.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.0%
38.3%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.41
39.0%
3-point %
38.4%
63.9%
Assist %
63.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 114.5Defence105.3 · 107.8Shooting53.0% · 53.4%3-point %39.0% · 38.4%Ball care17.7% · 16.0%Off. rebounds38.3% · 35.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Poitiers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pau-Orthez wins
2
Poitiers wins
DateGameScore
11/04/25Pau-Orthez v Poitiers93-78
20/12/24Poitiers v Pau-Orthez77-72
03/05/24Poitiers v Pau-Orthez78-80
03/12/23Pau-Orthez v Poitiers77-78
19/09/23Pau-Orthez v Poitiers81-69
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/25AAix Maurienne91-82
31/10/25ACaen85-89
28/10/25HQuimper79-104
24/10/25AEvreux98-65
17/10/25HHyeres-Toulon87-78
10/10/25AChalons-Reims88-92
07/10/25HBoulazac83-88
04/10/25HASA75-69
30/09/25ANantes90-76
26/09/25HOrleans82-61
Poitierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/25HRouen96-86
31/10/25HLa Rochelle95-64
28/10/25AOrleans80-85
24/10/25AChalons-Reims86-79
17/10/25HVichy77-84 OT
10/10/25ASt. Chamond105-92
03/10/25HQuimper93-70
30/09/25HDenain-Voltaire64-76
26/09/25AHyeres-Toulon79-88
19/09/25HAntibes79-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW70%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game85.280.090.4
Allowed / game78.375.880.8
Point differential+6.9+4.2+9.6
Avg total163.5155.8171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poitiers
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game85.484.087.5
Allowed / game81.177.886.0
Point differential+4.3+6.2+1.5
Avg total166.5161.8173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Orleans98189%82.876.0+6.8
2 Ada Blois108280%81.374.5+6.8
3 Roanne118373%87.879.4+8.5
4 Pau-Orthez107370%85.278.3+6.9
5 Denain-Voltaire107370%81.077.4+3.6
6 Vichy107370%80.177.3+2.8
7 La Rochelle106460%77.676.2+1.4
8 Nantes116555%80.982.5-1.5
9 Poitiers105550%85.481.1+4.3
10 Antibes105550%83.782.3+1.4
11 Chalons-Reims105550%78.681.9-3.3
12 Hyeres-Toulon115645%85.484.3+1.1
13 Caen104640%81.181.2-0.1
14 ASA104640%82.583.7-1.2
15 St. Chamond114736%87.884.5+3.3
16 Rouen114736%79.183.7-4.6
17 Quimper103730%74.381.2-6.9
18 Aix Maurienne103730%82.389.4-7.1
19 Evreux102820%78.189.7-11.6
20 Challans101910%74.584.9-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez1828161779
Poitiers3010172380
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