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Pau-Orthez vs Rouen Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 71-74
23-23 11-14 14-25 23-12
Position#8
Record15-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Rouen 🏆
France
Position#14
Record13-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game80.2
FrancePro BRound 27· Palais des Sports de Pau
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Rouen
19 Dec 2025
POR86
ROU72
11 Mar 2025
POR71
ROU74
27 Dec 2023
POR70
ROU74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rouen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#2
W
89-87
89
87
+2
97avg 91
H27/12
Pro B
Paris
#1
L
78-107
78
107
-29
no box
H07/01
French Cup
Aix Maurienne
#11
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
107avg 91
A10/01
Pro B
Nantes
#17
W
73-70
73
70
+3
86avg 91
H17/01
Pro B
Caen
#15
W
98-64
98
64
+34
113avg 91
A24/01
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
99-73
99
73
+26
120avg 91
A31/01
Pro B
Chartres
#21
L
75-80
75
80
-5
83avg 91
H04/02
Pro B
Vichy
#6
L
75-87
75
87
-12
86avg 91
A07/02
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
92-78
92
78
+14
104avg 91
H28/02
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
112avg 91
A07/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
17-27
23-23
23-20
35-32
18-27
14-31
11-17
24-15
20-35
25-20
15-14
13-19
22-22
20-17
18-12
28-22
21-18
26-12
23-12
29-20
30-17
18-19
22-17
24-21
16-19
14-18
21-22
18-24
23-13
21-22
13-28
19-19
22-20
25-16
26-23
16-21
28-20
17-26
29-23
171.3Avg total
87.7Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.880.3163.2+2.558%
Season at home (13)78.578.2156.8+0.354%
Season away (13)87.182.5169.5+4.662%
Last 10 (10)87.783.6171.3+4.170%
Last 5 (5)88.283.0171.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)91.595.5187.0-4.075%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.282.1162.3-1.850%
vs Weaker (12)83.076.2159.2+6.858%
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RouenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRouen
Date
Competition
Evreux
#18
W
100-84
100
84
+16
115avg 94
H20/12
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
90-67
90
67
+23
103avg 94
A27/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
89-91
89
91
-2
104avg 94
H10/01
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
66-82
66
82
-16
75avg 94
A17/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
87-93
87
93
-6
105avg 94
A24/01
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
97-89
97
89
+8
112avg 94
H01/02
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
72-94
72
94
-22
81avg 94
H04/02
Pro B
Nantes
#17
L
83-87
83
87
-4
89avg 94
A07/02
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
96-84
96
84
+12
114avg 94
H28/02
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
70-60
70
60
+10
85avg 94
H07/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
23-27
25-22
30-18
22-19
23-18
24-12
21-18
29-23
17-31
24-23
19-14
20-19
17-25
17-19
12-19
26-25
21-24
16-24
24-20
29-22
17-26
23-15
28-26
17-21
13-25
23-29
19-19
28-27
17-13
18-24
20-23
21-28
25-19
28-19
22-18
12-15
23-9
18-14
17-22
168.1Avg total
85.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.380.2164.5+4.050%
Season at home (14)84.482.4166.8+2.150%
Season away (12)84.177.8161.8+6.350%
Last 10 (10)85.083.1168.1+1.950%
Last 5 (5)83.682.8166.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.476.4153.8+1.020%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.586.1168.5-3.633%
vs Weaker (9)87.772.2159.9+15.478%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
Pau-OrthezRouen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H27/12
Pro B
Paris
#1
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H07/01
French Cup
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A10/01
Pro B
Nantes
#17
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H17/01
Pro B
Caen
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A24/01
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
59-37
59
37
+22
A31/01
Pro B
Chartres
#21
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H04/02
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A07/02
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H28/02
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A07/03
Pro B
87.7Avg total
44.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.581.3+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.539.078.5+0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)44.640.084.6+4.671%-
Last 10 (10)44.942.887.7+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.883.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.846.293.0+0.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.139.679.7+0.558%-
vs Weaker (12)42.537.580.0+5.058%-
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RouenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evreux
#18
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H20/12
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A27/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H10/01
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A17/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A24/01
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H01/02
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H04/02
Pro B
Nantes
#17
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A07/02
Pro B
Vichy
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H28/02
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H07/03
Pro B
85.5Avg total
42.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.482.4+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.440.681.0-0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)43.940.184.1+3.864%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.385.5-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.081.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.839.678.4-0.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.544.385.8-2.740%-
vs Weaker (9)43.934.077.9+9.9100%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.117.8
49.3%
52.3%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.5
38.2%
33.6%34.5
🏀 Free throws21.816.8
77.1%
73.2%16.8
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rouentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rouen: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.520.0
61.5%
52.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.6
38.3%
33.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws25.417.1
67.3%
73.2%17.1
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
WWLLWWWWLW
Rouen
WWLLWLLLWW
#8
League position
#14
+5.7
Net rating
+5.4
114.3
Offensive rating
120.8
108.7
Defensive rating
115.4
52.9%
Effective FG%
59.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
16.3%
Turnover %
20.3%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
37.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.40
38.2%
3-point %
38.3%
66.6%
Assist %
58.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 120.8Defence108.7 · 115.4Shooting52.9% · 59.6%3-point %38.2% · 38.3%Ball care16.3% · 20.3%Off. rebounds32.8% · 37.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Rouen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pau-Orthez wins
3
Rouen wins
DateGameScore
11/10/24Rouen v Pau-Orthez79-75
26/03/24Rouen v Pau-Orthez91-88
27/12/23Pau-Orthez v Rouen70-74
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25ARoanne100-97 OT
28/02/25HFos-sur-Mer92-78
07/02/25AVichy75-87
04/02/25HChartres75-80
31/01/25AHyeres-Toulon99-73
24/01/25ACaen98-64
17/01/25HNantes73-70
10/01/25AAix Maurienne98-93 OT
07/01/25HParis78-107
27/12/24HBoulazac89-87
Rouenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25HFos-sur-Mer70-60
28/02/25HVichy96-84
07/02/25ANantes83-87
04/02/25HPoitiers72-94
01/02/25HSt. Chamond97-89
24/01/25AAix Maurienne87-93
17/01/25AASA66-82
10/01/25HOrleans89-91
27/12/24AVichy90-67
20/12/24HEvreux100-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW58%
HomeWWWLW54%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%54%62%
Points / game82.878.587.1
Allowed / game80.378.282.5
Point differential+2.5+0.3+4.6
Avg total163.2156.8169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%15%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)71% (7)71% (7)
Overtime %12%0%23%
Rouen
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.384.484.1
Allowed / game80.282.477.8
Point differential+4.0+2.1+6.3
Avg total164.5166.8161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%36%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boulazac2720774%80.673.4+7.3
2 Orleans2720774%84.178.9+5.2
3 Ada Blois2719870%87.480.3+7.0
4 Roanne27171063%86.783.1+3.6
5 Aix Maurienne27161159%90.287.1+3.1
6 ASA26151158%85.381.3+4.0
7 Pau-Orthez26151158%82.880.3+2.5
8 St. Chamond25131252%85.683.9+1.7
9 Caen25131252%76.479.8-3.5
10 Poitiers27141352%83.582.8+0.7
11 Rouen26131350%84.380.2+4.0
12 Denain-Voltaire26131350%81.479.0+2.4
13 Antibes26121446%78.880.0-1.2
14 Vichy27121544%79.879.1+0.7
15 Chalons-Reims27111641%80.084.5-4.6
16 Nantes26101638%81.884.5-2.7
17 Hyeres-Toulon2691735%73.980.2-6.3
18 Evreux2781930%80.284.9-4.7
19 Chartres2671927%77.589.5-12.0
20 Fos-sur-Mer2772026%74.281.9-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez2311142371
Rouen2314251274
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