Paulistano vs Sorocabana Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jan 2013

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 94-96 (OT)

19-15 30-26 18-27 16-15 11-13

Position#9

Record8-6

FormLLLLW

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game79.0

Paulistano

Sorocabana 🏆

Position#12

Record6-7

FormLWWWW

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game76.7

NBBRound 16

Other2012-13

Meetings · Paulistano v Sorocabana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sorocabana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

89-88

H06/12

NBB

Minas

#10

92-78

+14

H13/12

NBB

Vila Velha

#16

80-90

-10

H15/12

NBB

Mogi

#15

73-77

-4

A20/12

NBB

Sao Jose

76-68

A22/12

NBB

Franca

51-77

-26

H05/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

76-88

-12

H07/01

NBB

Cearense

76-95

-19

A10/01

NBB

Brasilia

67-68

-1

A12/01

NBB

Bauru

76-73

H17/01

NBB

22-32

13-23

28-14

26-19

14-11

20-17

26-22

32-28

14-12

28-22

18-27

20-29

19-22

22-18

15-16

17-21

21-18

16-18

21-20

18-12

18-16

5-22

17-19

11-20

10-27

26-14

23-19

17-28

18-20

20-31

20-24

17-21

18-22

17-16

15-9

18-17

16-24

18-19

24-13

155.8Avg total

75.6Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	79.1	79.0	158.1	+0.1	57%
Season at home (9)	81.0	79.9	160.9	+1.1	67%
Season away (5)	75.6	77.4	153.0	-1.8	40%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	80.2	155.8	-4.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	69.2	80.2	149.4	-11.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	69.1	80.0	149.1	-10.9	29%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	78.4	78.1	156.5	+0.4	50%
vs Weaker (9)	80.8	76.1	156.9	+4.7	67%

This opponent (Sorocabana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sorocabana Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unitri Universo

74-63

+11

H01/12

NBB

Cearense

62-71

-9

A06/12

NBB

Bauru

76-90

-14

H13/12

NBB

Flamengo

59-87

-28

H20/12

NBB

Tijuca

#17

72-67

H22/12

NBB

Limeira

#11

66-85

-19

A05/01

NBB

Joinville

#14

93-86

A07/01

NBB

Palmeiras

#13

93-73

+20

H10/01

NBB

Suzano

#18

87-70

+17

H12/01

NBB

Pinheiros

94-77

+17

A17/01

NBB

19-19

12-21

28-11

15-12

22-19

13-15

17-14

10-23

15-20

23-22

16-26

22-22

11-25

19-22

18-19

11-21

20-18

14-4

19-23

19-22

27-22

17-23

8-15

14-25

21-23

32-16

19-27

21-20

17-26

25-16

23-16

28-15

23-9

19-23

26-25

19-13

8-18

23-28

25-15

38-16

154.5Avg total

77.6Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	74.4	76.7	151.1	-2.3	46%
Season at home (7)	74.3	75.7	150.0	-1.4	57%
Season away (6)	74.5	77.8	152.3	-3.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	76.9	154.5	+0.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	78.2	164.8	+8.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	72.3	80.4	152.7	-8.1	20%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	81.0	75.7	156.7	+5.3	67%
vs Weaker (4)	83.5	75.8	159.2	+7.8	100%

This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PaulistanoSorocabana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.6	36.7	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.2	36.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.4	18.6	35.0	-2.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.5	18.1	36.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.2	17.4	36.7	+1.8	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.0	37.4	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	18.1	36.3	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	17.6	19.8	37.3	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	12.5	34.2	+9.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	17.7	35.1	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.5	17.8	33.4	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.4	37.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.3	18.7	35.0	-2.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	16.6	17.6	34.3	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.3	17.1	36.4	+2.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	19.5	36.3	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.2	44.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	17.6	19.9	37.4	-2.3	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.3	16.8	37.2	+3.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.5	16.2	33.8	+1.2	50%	-

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

35-55

-20

H06/12

NBB

Minas

#10

34-28

H13/12

NBB

Vila Velha

#16

42-34

H15/12

NBB

Mogi

#15

41-40

A20/12

NBB

Sao Jose

37-36

A22/12

NBB

Franca

23-38

-15

H05/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

36-41

-5

H07/01

NBB

Cearense

36-40

-4

A10/01

NBB

Brasilia

35-43

-8

A12/01

NBB

Bauru

34-41

-7

H17/01

NBB

74.9Avg total

35.3Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	35.7	71.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.9	35.6	72.6	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	33.8	35.8	69.7	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	39.6	74.9	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	40.6	73.4	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	32.7	37.3	70.0	-4.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	35.1	35.7	70.9	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (9)	38.6	34.6	73.1	+4.0	67%	-

This opponent (Sorocabana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SorocabanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unitri Universo

31-40

-9

H01/12

NBB

Cearense

35-34

A06/12

NBB

Bauru

38-42

-4

H13/12

NBB

Flamengo

30-47

-17

H20/12

NBB

Tijuca

#17

34-22

+12

H22/12

NBB

Limeira

#11

44-45

-1

A05/01

NBB

Joinville

#14

53-39

+14

A07/01

NBB

Palmeiras

#13

42-42

H10/01

NBB

Suzano

#18

42-32

+10

H12/01

NBB

Pinheiros

31-46

-15

A17/01

NBB

76.9Avg total

38.0Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	37.7	74.3	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	36.2	73.7	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.6	39.3	74.9	-3.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	38.9	76.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	40.8	83.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	35.1	39.6	74.7	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	39.7	37.5	77.2	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.2	28.8	68.0	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.5	40.7	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.3	40.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.9	21.5	43.4	+0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	44%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.5	20.1	38.5	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	20.5	39.5	-1.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.7	21.0	37.7	-4.3	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.4	20.9	42.2	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.7	21.6	42.2	-0.9	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	20.1	39.7	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	17.8	41.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.7	20.8	39.5	-2.1	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.0	17.7	38.7	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	41.6	81.9	-1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.8	41.5	83.2	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.5	41.7	80.2	-3.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	40.6	80.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	39.6	76.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	34.0	41.0	75.0	-7.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	43.3	42.4	85.6	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.7	40.8	81.4	-0.1	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	40.8	79.2	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	40.0	79.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	41.6	78.7	-4.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	38.0	77.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	37.4	81.6	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	37.2	40.8	78.0	-3.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	41.3	38.2	79.5	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.0	44.8	84.8	-4.8	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Paulistano wins

Sorocabana wins

Date	Game	Score
17/03/12	Paulistano v Sorocabana	87-83
07/01/12	Sorocabana v Paulistano	74-103

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/13	H	Bauru	76-73
12/01/13	A	Brasilia	67-68
10/01/13	A	Cearense	76-95
07/01/13	H	Unitri Universo	76-88
05/01/13	H	Franca	51-77
22/12/12	A	Sao Jose	76-68
20/12/12	A	Mogi	73-77
15/12/12	H	Vila Velha	80-90
13/12/12	H	Minas	92-78
06/12/12	H	Pinheiros	89-88

Sorocabanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/13	A	Pinheiros	94-77
12/01/13	H	Suzano	87-70
10/01/13	H	Palmeiras	93-73
07/01/13	A	Joinville	93-86
05/01/13	A	Limeira	66-85
22/12/12	H	Tijuca	72-67
20/12/12	H	Flamengo	59-87
13/12/12	H	Bauru	76-90
06/12/12	A	Cearense	62-71
01/12/12	H	Unitri Universo	74-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano

NBB 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	57%
Home	WLLLW	67%
Away	WLWLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	9	5
Win %	57%	67%	40%
Points / game	79.1	81.0	75.6
Allowed / game	79.0	79.9	77.4
Point differential	+0.1	+1.1	-1.8
Avg total	158.1	160.9	153.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	7%	0%	20%

Sorocabana

NBB 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	46%
Home	LLWWW	57%
Away	LLLWW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	46%	57%	33%
Points / game	74.4	74.3	74.5
Allowed / game	76.7	75.7	77.8
Point differential	-2.3	-1.4	-3.3
Avg total	151.1	150.0	152.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	43%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	12	12	0	100%	90.4	72.8	+17.6
2	Unitri Universo	14	11	3	79%	83.1	75.9	+7.3
3	Brasilia	12	9	3	75%	86.9	81.0	+5.9
4	Pinheiros	14	10	4	71%	90.2	86.9	+3.3
5	Franca	16	11	5	69%	80.3	70.8	+9.5
6	Sao Jose	14	9	5	64%	82.1	77.7	+4.4
7	Bauru	13	8	5	62%	82.8	73.8	+8.9
8	Paulistano	14	8	6	57%	79.1	79.0	+0.1
9	Cearense	14	8	6	57%	78.6	79.2	-0.6
10	Minas	13	6	7	46%	82.8	82.1	+0.8
11	Sorocabana	13	6	7	46%	74.4	76.7	-2.3
12	Limeira	15	6	9	40%	82.3	81.8	+0.5
13	Joinville	15	6	9	40%	74.8	76.8	-2.0
14	Mogi	15	5	10	33%	73.5	81.5	-7.9
15	Vila Velha	14	4	10	29%	79.6	83.6	-3.9
16	Palmeiras	14	2	12	14%	75.4	83.9	-8.6
17	Tijuca	14	2	12	14%	67.8	78.1	-10.4
18	Suzano	14	2	12	14%	73.9	93.1	-19.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Paulistano	19	30	18	16	11	94
Sorocabana	15	26	27	15	13	96

← all games of the day

Paulistano vs Sorocabana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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