Paulistano vs Sorocabana Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 22:30

Final 92-57

17-18 34-11 26-11 15-17

Position#6

Record11-12

FormLWWWL

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game78.7

Paulistano 🏆

Sorocabana

Position#14

Record5-18

FormLLLLW

Points / game69.8

Allowed / game77.6

NBBRound 26

Other2016-17

Meetings · Paulistano v Sorocabana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sorocabana winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Universo/Vitoria

73-85

-12

A13/01

NBB

Campo Mourao

#10

78-85

-7

H25/01

NBB

Mogi

77-78 OT

-1

H27/01

NBB

Bauru

68-78

-10

A31/01

NBB

Franca

71-78

-7

A02/02

NBB

Brasilia

76-85

-9

A14/02

NBB

Minas

#13

96-85

+11

A16/02

NBB

Macae

#12

85-65

+20

H21/02

NBB

Flamengo

103-96

103

H23/02

NBB

Pinheiros

67-74

-7

H10/03

NBB

14-23

20-16

20-18

19-28

22-18

16-23

20-20

20-24

20-19

10-14

22-15

11-15

19-22

13-13

18-16

18-27

23-19

20-16

15-24

13-19

17-14

9-22

23-17

27-32

34-21

24-22

25-17

13-25

21-16

19-19

26-13

19-17

25-20

26-24

18-27

34-25

19-14

11-19

16-13

21-28

160.3Avg total

79.4Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	81.3	78.7	159.9	+2.6	48%
Season at home (11)	82.7	77.4	160.1	+5.4	45%
Season away (12)	79.9	79.8	159.8	+0.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	80.9	160.3	-1.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	81.0	166.4	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	78.0	85.7	163.7	-7.7	33%
vs Similar (13)	74.5	79.6	154.2	-5.1	15%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	86.6	74.4	161.0	+12.3	86%

This opponent (Sorocabana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sorocabana Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#11

85-86 OT

-1

A13/01

NBB

Mogi

60-90

-30

H25/01

NBB

Campo Mourao

#10

64-74

-10

H27/01

NBB

Franca

68-90

-22

A31/01

NBB

Bauru

55-87

-32

A02/02

NBB

Minas

#13

61-68

-7

A14/02

NBB

Brasilia

77-79

-2

A16/02

NBB

Flamengo

58-90

-32

H21/02

NBB

Macae

#12

73-77 OT

-4

H23/02

NBB

Pinheiros

64-63

H08/03

NBB

17-21

15-17

20-13

22-23

4-9

16-28

16-26

24-27

15-20

12-11

20-17

17-26

20-23

13-18

11-25

24-24

13-18

14-23

17-25

11-21

13-18

9-8

19-19

20-23

10-22

26-10

21-26

20-21

22-21

10-23

10-20

16-26

16-16

12-19

19-11

12-13

23-15

7-21

19-10

15-17

146.9Avg total

66.5Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	69.8	77.6	147.4	-7.8	22%
Season at home (12)	69.4	76.5	145.9	-7.1	33%
Season away (11)	70.3	78.8	149.1	-8.5	9%
Last 10 (10)	66.5	80.4	146.9	-13.9	10%
Last 5 (5)	66.6	75.4	142.0	-8.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	70.4	79.6	150.0	-9.2	20%
vs Similar (5)	74.8	73.6	148.4	+1.2	40%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PaulistanoSorocabana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	19.1	39.4	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.9	40.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.0	40.2	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.8	19.6	38.5	-0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	18.5	35.9	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.2	19.0	35.2	-2.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	18.3	33.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.4	35.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	16.9	18.3	35.2	-1.4	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.1	35.5	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	17.5	35.6	+0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	18.8	35.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	16.7	34.3	+1.0	67%	-
vs Similar (13)	16.2	17.0	33.2	-0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.6	17.3	37.9	+3.3	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.8	18.3	34.1	-2.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	14.5	18.7	33.2	-4.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	17.9	35.0	-0.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.4	17.8	31.2	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.8	16.2	29.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	15.7	18.8	34.4	-3.1	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.6	15.8	32.4	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Universo/Vitoria

34-39

-5

A13/01

NBB

Campo Mourao

#10

38-41

-3

H25/01

NBB

Mogi

30-33

-3

H27/01

NBB

Bauru

32-35

-3

A31/01

NBB

Franca

43-35

A02/02

NBB

Brasilia

26-36

-10

A14/02

NBB

Minas

#13

58-43

+15

A16/02

NBB

Macae

#12

40-35

H21/02

NBB

Flamengo

51-44

H23/02

NBB

Pinheiros

30-33

-3

H10/03

NBB

75.6Avg total

38.2Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	36.7	75.5	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.0	35.8	74.8	+3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.7	37.4	76.1	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	37.4	75.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	38.2	79.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.7	38.7	76.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	35.1	36.6	71.7	-1.5	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	42.6	36.3	78.9	+6.3	71%	-

This opponent (Sorocabana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SorocabanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cearense

#11

32-38

-6

A13/01

NBB

Mogi

20-37

-17

H25/01

NBB

Campo Mourao

#10

27-31

-4

H27/01

NBB

Franca

33-41

-8

A31/01

NBB

Bauru

27-41

-14

A02/02

NBB

Minas

#13

22-26

-4

A14/02

NBB

Brasilia

36-32

A16/02

NBB

Flamengo

32-44

-12

H21/02

NBB

Macae

#12

28-35

-7

H23/02

NBB

Pinheiros

30-36

-6

H08/03

NBB

64.8Avg total

28.7Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.3	36.7	70.0	-3.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.2	36.6	69.8	-3.4	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.3	36.9	70.2	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.7	36.1	64.8	-7.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	34.6	64.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	32.6	37.1	69.6	-4.5	28%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.8	35.0	71.8	+1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	19.1	38.3	+0.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+3.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.0	38.3	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.4	39.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	23.0	41.7	-4.3	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.9	18.0	40.9	+4.9	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	19.1	36.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	17.6	34.3	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.7	38.3	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.2	36.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.2	34.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	16.9	19.0	35.9	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.0	43.1	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	20.6	41.9	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	23.3	44.1	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	24.0	43.5	-4.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	25.4	48.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	24.0	45.7	-2.3	67%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.8	23.7	44.5	-2.9	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.1	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	21.7	41.3	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	21.9	41.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	22.1	40.2	-4.0	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.0	36.6	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	19.9	22.4	42.3	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	40.6	81.8	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.5	39.7	80.2	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.9	41.4	83.2	+0.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	42.0	81.8	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	42.8	87.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.3	47.0	87.3	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.4	41.8	80.2	-3.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	44.1	38.1	82.1	+6.0	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	40.9	77.9	-3.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.4	39.3	75.7	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	42.5	80.2	-4.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	41.3	76.6	-6.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	37.2	71.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	36.8	41.4	78.2	-4.5	32%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.0	38.6	76.6	-0.6	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Paulistano wins

Sorocabana wins

Date	Game	Score
07/01/17	Sorocabana v Paulistano	71-92
29/03/16	Sorocabana v Paulistano	65-81
08/01/16	Paulistano v Sorocabana	84-51
13/03/15	Sorocabana v Paulistano	78-76
22/12/14	Paulistano v Sorocabana	83-69
22/03/14	Sorocabana v Paulistano	60-82
11/01/14	Paulistano v Sorocabana	96-70
26/03/13	Sorocabana v Paulistano	73-78
19/01/13	Paulistano v Sorocabana	94-96 OT
17/03/12	Paulistano v Sorocabana	87-83

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/17	H	Pinheiros	67-74
23/02/17	H	Flamengo	103-96
21/02/17	H	Macae	85-65
16/02/17	A	Minas	96-85
14/02/17	A	Brasilia	76-85
02/02/17	A	Franca	71-78
31/01/17	A	Bauru	68-78
27/01/17	H	Mogi	77-78 OT
25/01/17	H	Campo Mourao	78-85
13/01/17	A	Universo/Vitoria	73-85

Sorocabanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/17	H	Pinheiros	64-63
23/02/17	H	Macae	73-77 OT
21/02/17	H	Flamengo	58-90
16/02/17	A	Brasilia	77-79
14/02/17	A	Minas	61-68
02/02/17	A	Bauru	55-87
31/01/17	A	Franca	68-90
27/01/17	H	Campo Mourao	64-74
25/01/17	H	Mogi	60-90
13/01/17	A	Cearense	85-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano

NBB 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	48%
Home	LLWWL	45%
Away	LLLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	48%	45%	50%
Points / game	81.3	82.7	79.9
Allowed / game	78.7	77.4	79.8
Point differential	+2.6	+5.4	+0.1
Avg total	159.9	160.1	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	36%	42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	4%	9%	0%

Sorocabana

NBB 2016-17

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	22%
Home	LLLLW	33%
Away	LLLLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	22%	33%	9%
Points / game	69.8	69.4	70.3
Allowed / game	77.6	76.5	78.8
Point differential	-7.8	-7.1	-8.5
Avg total	147.4	145.9	149.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	67% (3)	17% (6)
Overtime %	9%	8%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	23	17	6	74%	87.7	78.1	+9.6
2	Mogi	24	17	7	71%	81.0	74.0	+7.0
3	Brasilia	24	17	7	71%	81.4	75.7	+5.8
4	Bauru	24	16	8	67%	79.8	74.0	+5.8
5	Franca	24	15	9	62%	80.7	79.6	+1.1
6	Universo/Vitoria	23	14	9	61%	75.7	74.3	+1.4
7	Pinheiros	24	14	10	58%	81.1	80.4	+0.8
8	Campo Mourao	24	13	11	54%	78.8	80.2	-1.4
9	Vasco	24	12	12	50%	75.2	78.6	-3.4
10	Paulistano	23	11	12	48%	81.3	78.7	+2.6
11	Cearense	23	10	13	43%	76.4	78.0	-1.6
12	Minas	24	7	17	29%	77.1	81.3	-4.2
13	Macae	23	5	18	22%	73.5	79.6	-6.1
14	Sorocabana	23	5	18	22%	69.8	77.6	-7.8
15	Caxias do Sul	24	4	20	17%	72.4	82.0	-9.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Paulistano	17	34	26	15	92
Sorocabana	18	11	11	17	57

← all games of the day

Paulistano vs Sorocabana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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