Pavlodar vs Bars Petropavlovsk Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2020

Tip-off: 15:00

Postponed

Position#3

Record14-11

FormWWLWL

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game76.6

Pavlodar

Bars Petropavlovsk

Position#2

Record21-4

FormWWWLW

Points / game84.4

Allowed / game68.7

Premier League

Other2019-20

Meetings · Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Bars Petropavlovsk win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pavlodar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau 2

96-74

+22

H30/01

Premier League

Kazygurt

79-109

109

-30

A31/01

Premier League

BC Almaty

82-78

H01/02

Premier League

Bars Petropavlovsk

79-102

102

-23

H02/02

Premier League

BC Almaty 2

85-56

+29

A03/02

Premier League

Atyrau 2

93-54

+39

A27/02

Premier League

BC Almaty 2

101-77

101

+24

H28/02

Premier League

BC Almaty

71-98

-27

H29/02

Premier League

Kazygurt

100-83

100

+17

A01/03

Premier League

Bars Petropavlovsk

70-81

-11

A02/03

Premier League

28-12

30-23

20-26

18-13

21-21

16-19

22-25

20-44

19-23

19-24

18-11

26-20

28-26

17-13

15-36

19-27

25-17

22-8

20-27

18-4

26-13

30-15

17-14

20-12

27-24

24-19

27-22

23-12

24-20

12-22

17-17

18-39

17-22

19-28

32-11

32-22

15-31

22-14

18-18

15-18

166.8Avg total

85.6Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	82.2	76.6	158.8	+5.7	56%
Season at home (13)	83.4	80.8	164.2	+2.5	46%
Season away (12)	81.0	71.9	152.9	+9.1	67%
Last 10 (10)	85.6	81.2	166.8	+4.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	78.6	165.6	+8.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	76.0	87.8	163.8	-11.8	10%
vs Similar (10)	77.1	84.0	161.1	-6.9	40%
vs Weaker (10)	87.1	61.6	148.7	+25.5	100%

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bars Petropavlovsk Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Almaty 2

89-76

+13

H30/01

Premier League

Atyrau 2

85-65

+20

H31/01

Premier League

Kazygurt

83-110

110

-27

H01/02

Premier League

Pavlodar

102-79

102

+23

A02/02

Premier League

BC Almaty

80-59

+21

H03/02

Premier League

Kazygurt

102-71

102

+31

H27/02

Premier League

Atyrau 2

79-47

+32

H28/02

Premier League

BC Almaty 2

97-60

+37

A29/02

Premier League

BC Almaty

75-98

-23

A01/03

Premier League

Pavlodar

81-70

+11

H02/03

Premier League

20-15

29-16

18-18

22-27

22-13

24-12

21-21

18-19

20-20

18-8

31-47

14-35

26-28

13-17

36-15

27-19

23-10

20-19

24-14

13-16

31-16

13-29

28-14

30-12

20-17

19-11

25-6

15-13

26-21

21-8

31-15

19-16

17-17

24-19

19-28

15-34

31-15

14-22

18-18

18-15

160.8Avg total

87.3Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	84.4	68.7	153.1	+15.7	84%
Season at home (15)	85.7	67.6	153.3	+18.1	93%
Season away (10)	82.4	70.4	152.8	+12.0	70%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	73.5	160.8	+13.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	69.2	156.0	+17.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	72.5	77.5	150.0	-5.0	0%
vs Similar (8)	82.0	83.0	165.0	-1.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	84.5	63.4	147.9	+21.2	95%

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PavlodarBars Petropavlovsk

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	19.0	41.8	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	19.1	39.4	+1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.9	43.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.3	23.2	43.5	-2.9	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.1	20.1	40.2	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.4	13.9	38.3	+10.5	90%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	17.0	39.6	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.9	16.1	39.0	+6.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	18.2	40.4	+4.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	17.2	40.8	+6.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	17.2	42.2	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	20.0	36.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.2	19.9	42.1	+2.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.4	15.6	38.9	+7.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.7	20.6	37.3	-3.9	30%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.4	15.5	40.9	+9.9	90%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	16.6	36.9	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	16.8	38.2	+4.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	16.1	35.6	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.0	17.0	41.0	+7.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.1	15.5	36.6	+5.6	70%	-

PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau 2

58-35

+23

H30/01

Premier League

Kazygurt

37-40

-3

A31/01

Premier League

BC Almaty

38-47

-9

H01/02

Premier League

Bars Petropavlovsk

45-39

H02/02

Premier League

BC Almaty 2

47-25

+22

A03/02

Premier League

Atyrau 2

56-28

+28

A27/02

Premier League

BC Almaty 2

51-43

H28/02

Premier League

BC Almaty

36-42

-6

H29/02

Premier League

Kazygurt

36-50

-14

A01/03

Premier League

Bars Petropavlovsk

37-45

-8

A02/03

Premier League

83.5Avg total

44.1Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	38.1	80.0	+3.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	39.4	82.8	+3.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.2	36.6	76.8	+3.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	39.4	83.5	+4.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	41.6	84.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	37.0	43.8	80.8	-6.8	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.9	41.1	80.0	-2.2	30%	-
vs Weaker (10)	49.8	29.4	79.2	+20.4	90%	-

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bars PetropavlovskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Almaty 2

49-31

+18

H30/01

Premier League

Atyrau 2

46-25

+21

H31/01

Premier League

Kazygurt

38-28

+10

H01/02

Premier League

Pavlodar

39-45

-6

A02/02

Premier League

BC Almaty

43-29

+14

H03/02

Premier League

Kazygurt

44-45

-1

H27/02

Premier League

Atyrau 2

39-28

+11

H28/02

Premier League

BC Almaty 2

47-29

+18

A29/02

Premier League

BC Almaty

41-36

A01/03

Premier League

Pavlodar

45-37

H02/03

Premier League

76.4Avg total

43.1Scored

33.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	33.6	76.5	+9.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.2	32.9	77.2	+11.3	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.1	34.5	75.6	+6.5	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	33.3	76.4	+9.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	35.0	78.2	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	37.0	77.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.5	39.2	78.8	+0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.5	31.1	75.5	+13.4	85%	-

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	21.5	40.5	-2.5	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	18.3	38.6	+2.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	16.4	38.6	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	30%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.1	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.1	18.2	40.2	+3.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	19.6	44.7	+5.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	16.2	40.4	+8.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	17.5	32.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.9	24.4	46.2	-2.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	15.5	37.4	+6.4	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	20.7	38.3	-3.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.9	23.0	40.9	-5.1	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.2	22.7	41.9	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.6	13.4	32.0	+5.2	90%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.9	36.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.8	18.3	36.1	-0.5	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	17.4	37.5	+2.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	23.0	40.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.2	16.8	35.0	+1.4	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	39.7	77.9	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.6	42.2	78.8	-5.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	36.9	76.8	+3.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	41.8	83.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	37.0	80.8	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	39.0	44.0	83.0	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.2	42.9	81.1	-4.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	37.3	32.2	69.5	+5.1	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	35.9	76.1	+4.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.8	36.5	76.3	+3.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.7	35.2	75.8	+5.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	40.2	84.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	34.2	77.8	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.0	40.5	72.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.5	43.8	86.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.1	32.3	72.4	+7.8	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pavlodar wins

Bars Petropavlovsk wins

Date	Game	Score
02/03/20	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	81-70
02/02/20	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	79-102
13/12/19	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	67-73
19/11/19	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	65-74
14/10/19	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	78-68
28/04/19	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	68-78
27/04/19	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	70-86
26/04/19	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	59-89
24/03/19	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	97-86
27/02/19	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	73-77

Pavlodarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/20	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	70-81
01/03/20	A	Kazygurt	100-83
29/02/20	H	BC Almaty	71-98
28/02/20	H	BC Almaty 2	101-77
27/02/20	A	Atyrau 2	93-54
03/02/20	A	BC Almaty 2	85-56
02/02/20	H	Bars Petropavlovsk	79-102
01/02/20	H	BC Almaty	82-78
31/01/20	A	Kazygurt	79-109
30/01/20	H	Atyrau 2	96-74

Bars Petropavlovsklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/20	H	Pavlodar	81-70
01/03/20	A	BC Almaty	75-98
29/02/20	A	BC Almaty 2	97-60
28/02/20	H	Atyrau 2	79-47
27/02/20	H	Kazygurt	102-71
03/02/20	H	BC Almaty	80-59
02/02/20	A	Pavlodar	102-79
01/02/20	H	Kazygurt	83-110
31/01/20	H	Atyrau 2	85-65
30/01/20	H	BC Almaty 2	89-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar

Premier League 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	56%
Home	WWLWL	46%
Away	LWWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	56%	46%	67%
Points / game	82.2	83.4	81.0
Allowed / game	76.6	80.8	71.9
Point differential	+5.7	+2.5	+9.1
Avg total	158.8	164.2	152.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	38%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bars Petropavlovsk

Premier League 2019-20

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	84%
Home	LWWWW	93%
Away	WWWWL	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	15	10
Win %	84%	93%	70%
Points / game	84.4	85.7	82.4
Allowed / game	68.7	67.6	70.4
Point differential	+15.7	+18.1	+12.0
Avg total	153.1	153.3	152.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	68%	80%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Kazygurt	25	21	4	84%	92.2	75.0	+17.3
2	Bars Petropavlovsk	25	21	4	84%	84.4	68.7	+15.7
3	Pavlodar	25	14	11	56%	82.2	76.6	+5.7
4	BC Almaty	25	13	12	52%	79.5	76.9	+2.6
5	Atyrau 2	25	5	20	20%	63.4	81.6	-18.2
6	BC Almaty 2	25	1	24	4%	65.6	88.7	-23.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Pavlodar vs Bars Petropavlovsk Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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