Bars Petropavlovsk vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2019

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 70-86

22-23 21-11 16-26 11-26

Position#4

Record19-13

FormWWLLW

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game70.4

Bars Petropavlovsk

Pavlodar 🏆

Position#3

Record18-12

FormWWLLL

Points / game77.7

Allowed / game71.9

Premier LeaguePremier League - 3rd place

Other2018-19

Meetings · Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bars Petropavlovsk winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pavlodar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bars Petropavlovsk Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kazygurt

79-69

+10

H25/03

Premier League

Astana 2

72-27

+45

A26/03

Premier League

SDUSH Almaty

95-62

+33

H27/03

Premier League

SDUSH Almaty

81-89

-8

H18/04

Premier League

SDUSH Almaty

90-62

+28

A19/04

Premier League

SDUSH Almaty

73-61

+12

H20/04

Premier League

Aktobe

74-70

A22/04

Premier League

Aktobe

73-80

-7

H23/04

Premier League

Aktobe

72-75

-3

A24/04

Premier League

Pavlodar

89-59

+30

A26/04

Premier League

10-18

15-10

19-23

35-18

22-9

16-6

21-8

13-4

26-14

30-12

22-22

17-14

23-24

18-23

17-20

23-22

22-21

21-17

30-15

17-9

23-14

8-13

18-18

24-16

19-23

12-14

25-13

18-20

19-19

18-18

19-23

17-20

14-21

30-16

11-12

17-26

18-17

19-18

23-18

29-6

145.2Avg total

79.8Scored

65.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	76.0	70.4	146.4	+5.6	59%
Season at home (18)	75.9	70.5	146.4	+5.4	56%
Season away (14)	76.1	70.4	146.4	+5.7	64%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	65.4	145.2	+14.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	69.0	145.2	+7.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	71.4	72.3	143.7	-0.9	43%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	72.2	75.7	147.9	-3.5	50%
vs Weaker (13)	81.7	62.3	144.0	+19.4	85%

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pavlodar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana 2

99-50

+49

A23/03

Premier League

Bars Petropavlovsk

97-86

+11

H24/03

Premier League

Aktobe

66-85

-19

A25/03

Premier League

SDUSH Almaty

83-75

H26/03

Premier League

Kazygurt

77-61

+16

A27/03

Premier League

Astana 2

83-49

+34

H18/04

Premier League

Astana 2

78-52

+26

A19/04

Premier League

Kazygurt

64-95

-31

A22/04

Premier League

Kazygurt

69-88

-19

H23/04

Premier League

Bars Petropavlovsk

59-89

-30

H26/04

Premier League

23-18

24-4

32-10

20-18

20-26

31-14

25-22

21-24

22-19

17-18

7-26

20-22

26-20

25-22

21-20

11-13

24-18

12-19

17-16

24-8

18-16

32-19

17-6

16-8

17-13

33-14

15-13

13-12

11-22

20-24

16-25

17-24

20-22

14-28

18-18

17-20

17-18

18-19

18-23

6-29

150.5Avg total

77.5Scored

73.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	77.7	71.9	149.6	+5.8	60%
Season at home (14)	78.6	74.6	153.2	+3.9	57%
Season away (16)	76.9	69.5	146.4	+7.4	62%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	73.0	150.5	+4.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	70.6	74.6	145.2	-4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	70.2	85.0	155.2	-14.8	20%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	74.7	77.0	151.7	-2.3	46%
vs Weaker (12)	84.1	60.9	145.0	+23.2	92%

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bars PetropavlovskPavlodar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	16.9	36.2	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	16.6	35.6	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.7	17.3	37.0	+2.3	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.4	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.3	17.1	34.4	+0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.7	16.5	38.2	+5.2	77%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	18.2	39.5	+3.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.2	34.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.4	24.2	45.6	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.7	20.2	39.8	-0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.8	14.6	36.3	+7.2	92%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	17.1	35.7	+1.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.5	17.5	35.9	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.7	16.6	35.2	+2.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	14.7	33.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	15.8	33.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.1	18.9	36.0	-1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.7	15.3	35.0	+4.4	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	19.2	38.7	+0.2	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.1	40.7	+4.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.2	20.8	38.9	-2.6	17%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.7	17.7	39.3	+4.0	58%	-

Bars PetropavlovskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kazygurt

25-28

-3

H25/03

Premier League

Astana 2

38-15

+23

A26/03

Premier League

SDUSH Almaty

56-26

+30

H27/03

Premier League

SDUSH Almaty

41-47

-6

H18/04

Premier League

SDUSH Almaty

43-38

A19/04

Premier League

SDUSH Almaty

31-27

H20/04

Premier League

Aktobe

31-37

-6

A22/04

Premier League

Aktobe

37-37

H23/04

Premier League

Aktobe

44-37

A24/04

Premier League

Pavlodar

37-35

A26/04

Premier League

71.0Avg total

38.3Scored

32.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.8	34.0	71.8	+3.8	66%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.4	34.1	71.5	+3.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.3	33.9	72.2	+4.4	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	32.7	71.0	+5.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	34.6	70.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.4	35.7	71.1	-0.3	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	34.4	36.0	70.4	-1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (13)	41.4	31.8	73.2	+9.6	85%	-

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana 2

47-22

+25

A23/03

Premier League

Bars Petropavlovsk

51-40

+11

H24/03

Premier League

Aktobe

39-37

A25/03

Premier League

SDUSH Almaty

51-42

H26/03

Premier League

Kazygurt

36-37

-1

A27/03

Premier League

Astana 2

50-35

+15

H18/04

Premier League

Astana 2

50-27

+23

A19/04

Premier League

Kazygurt

31-46

-15

A22/04

Premier League

Kazygurt

34-50

-16

H23/04

Premier League

Bars Petropavlovsk

35-37

-2

H26/04

Premier League

79.7Avg total

42.4Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.3	37.8	78.1	+2.5	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.6	38.7	78.3	+0.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	37.1	77.9	+3.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	37.3	79.7	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	39.0	79.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.6	43.6	82.2	-5.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	37.8	40.9	78.8	-3.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (12)	43.4	32.2	75.7	+11.2	75%	-

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	17.9	37.2	+1.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	18.2	37.2	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	17.2	37.7	+3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.4	15.4	33.9	+3.0	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.4	21.4	39.9	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.5	54%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	16.8	35.7	+2.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	16.2	34.5	+2.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.9	36.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.0	33.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	13.8	21.4	35.2	-7.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.9	18.5	37.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.1	13.1	34.2	+8.0	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.9	16.8	36.6	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.8	17.3	35.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	15.5	36.5	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.6	38.6	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.6	21.1	38.7	-3.6	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.8	18.6	37.3	+0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.9	13.7	33.6	+6.2	92%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	17.2	35.8	+1.5	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	16.2	34.1	+1.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	17.8	34.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	18.6	32.4	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.1	17.6	35.7	+0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.6	15.6	35.2	+4.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.3	34.9	73.2	+3.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.8	35.0	73.8	+3.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.6	34.8	72.4	+2.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	32.7	74.2	+8.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	34.4	74.6	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.0	36.6	72.6	-0.6	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.2	40.0	77.2	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (13)	40.3	30.5	70.8	+9.8	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.6	33.9	71.5	+3.7	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.4	35.8	75.2	+3.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	32.4	68.6	+3.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	35.7	70.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	35.6	66.2	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	31.6	41.4	73.0	-9.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	37.0	36.1	73.1	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	40.7	28.7	69.3	+12.0	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bars Petropavlovsk wins

Pavlodar wins

Date	Game	Score
26/04/19	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	59-89
24/03/19	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	97-86
27/02/19	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	73-77
31/01/19	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	71-77
06/12/18	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	61-76
01/11/18	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	87-77
15/04/18	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	65-85
14/04/18	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	94-79
16/03/18	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	54-79
26/01/18	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	59-70

Bars Petropavlovsklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/19	A	Pavlodar	89-59
24/04/19	A	Aktobe	72-75
23/04/19	H	Aktobe	73-80
22/04/19	A	Aktobe	74-70
20/04/19	H	SDUSH Almaty	73-61
19/04/19	A	SDUSH Almaty	90-62
18/04/19	H	SDUSH Almaty	81-89
27/03/19	H	SDUSH Almaty	95-62
26/03/19	A	Astana 2	72-27
25/03/19	H	Kazygurt	79-69

Pavlodarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/19	H	Bars Petropavlovsk	59-89
23/04/19	H	Kazygurt	69-88
22/04/19	A	Kazygurt	64-95
19/04/19	A	Astana 2	78-52
18/04/19	H	Astana 2	83-49
27/03/19	A	Kazygurt	77-61
26/03/19	H	SDUSH Almaty	83-75
25/03/19	A	Aktobe	66-85
24/03/19	H	Bars Petropavlovsk	97-86
23/03/19	A	Astana 2	99-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bars Petropavlovsk

Premier League 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	59%
Home	WWLWL	56%
Away	WWWLW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	18	14
Win %	59%	56%	64%
Points / game	76.0	75.9	76.1
Allowed / game	70.4	70.5	70.4
Point differential	+5.6	+5.4	+5.7
Avg total	146.4	146.4	146.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	39%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pavlodar

Premier League 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	60%
Home	WWWLL	57%
Away	WLWWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	14	16
Win %	60%	57%	62%
Points / game	77.7	78.6	76.9
Allowed / game	71.9	74.6	69.5
Point differential	+5.8	+3.9	+7.4
Avg total	149.6	153.2	146.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	36%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Aktobe	29	21	8	72%	80.8	67.9	+12.8
2	Kazygurt	28	19	9	68%	77.3	69.5	+7.8
3	Pavlodar	30	18	12	60%	77.7	71.9	+5.8
4	Bars Petropavlovsk	32	19	13	59%	76.0	70.4	+5.6
5	SDUSH Almaty	28	7	21	25%	69.8	80.0	-10.2
6	Astana 2	27	3	24	11%	55.7	80.0	-24.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bars Petropavlovsk	22	21	16	11	70
Pavlodar	23	11	26	26	86

← all games of the day

Bars Petropavlovsk vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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