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Pelister vs Ohrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 97-57
22-19 35-14 25-12 15-12
Position#3
Record2-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#12
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game84.8
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 5· Boro Curlevski Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pelister v Ohrid
28 Oct 2023
PEL97
OHRI57
11 May 2019
PEL87
OHRI73
29 Mar 2019
PEL77
OHRI80
04 Nov 2017
PEL77
OHRI78
11 Mar 2017
PEL66
OHRI83
24 Dec 2016
PEL72
OHRI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelister winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelisterMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelister
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#4
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
A18/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
64-84
64
84
-20
no box
A28/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
A31/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
no box
H04/06
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
68-75
68
75
-7
34avg 65
A01/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
89-92
89
92
-3
76avg 65
H07/10
Prva Liga
Sencur
#12
W
82-78 OT
82
78
+4
70avg 65
A11/10
ABA League 2
MZT Skopje
#6
L
78-91
78
91
-13
72avg 65
H13/10
ABA League 2
MZT Skopje
#1
W
81-71
81
71
+10
79avg 65
H18/10
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
W
66-60
66
60
+6
61avg 65
A21/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-27
16-18
18-20
16-17
18-18
11-23
20-20
15-23
17-25
18-19
15-18
17-13
24-21
15-20
18-27
26-24
18-16
17-25
19-20
14-14
28-21
18-30
18-25
25-16
20-16
20-17
17-21
12-15
25-22
15-23
23-24
15-22
20-13
19-17
21-21
21-20
20-13
13-18
17-14
16-15
156.2Avg total
76.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.074.5150.5+1.550%
Season at home (2)85.081.5166.5+3.550%
Season away (2)67.067.5134.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)76.280.0156.2-3.840%
Last 5 (5)79.278.4157.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.490.0167.4-12.610%
vs Similar (8)85.978.4164.2+7.588%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.076.2164.2+11.873%
This opponent (Ohrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhridMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOhrid
Date
Competition
Pelister
#8
L
62-79
62
79
-17
no box
H19/04
Superleague
Vardar
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
no box
H01/05
Superleague
Feni Industries
#5
L
55-79
55
79
-24
no box
H04/05
Superleague
Shkupi Skopje
#11
W
102-77
102
77
+25
no box
H08/05
Superleague
Pelister
#8
L
73-87
73
87
-14
no box
A11/05
Superleague
Vardar
#9
L
70-78 OT
70
78
-8
no box
A18/05
Superleague
Vardar
#10
L
83-90
83
90
-7
70avg 66
A30/09
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 66
H07/10
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
69-96
69
96
-27
57avg 66
A15/10
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
64-87
64
87
-23
54avg 66
H22/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
11-24
18-14
16-22
22-24
8-17
19-9
21-23
15-24
14-17
12-23
14-15
23-20
32-17
18-23
29-17
21-23
15-17
19-21
18-26
18-17
21-22
10-17
17-10
21-13
21-21
20-22
21-34
30-10
20-21
15-13
17-22
15-25
9-29
21-25
24-17
13-24
21-19
21-27
9-17
154.2Avg total
73.0Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.584.8159.2-10.225%
Season at home (2)73.076.5149.5-3.550%
Season away (2)76.093.0169.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)73.081.2154.2-8.220%
Last 5 (5)73.683.4157.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.986.7155.7-17.87%
vs Similar (10)74.078.3152.3-4.330%
vs Weaker (4)101.282.2183.5+19.0100%
This opponent (Pelister) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
PelisterOhrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelisterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#4
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A18/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A28/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A31/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H04/06
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A01/10
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H07/10
Prva Liga
Sencur
#12
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/10
ABA League 2
MZT Skopje
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H13/10
ABA League 2
MZT Skopje
#1
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H18/10
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A21/10
Prva Liga
78.8Avg total
38.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.283.3+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.940.585.4+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)39.441.881.2-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.278.8-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.077.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.546.084.5-7.520%-
vs Similar (8)46.940.187.0+6.888%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.937.279.1+4.764%-
This opponent (Ohrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelister
#8
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H19/04
Superleague
Vardar
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H01/05
Superleague
Feni Industries
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H04/05
Superleague
Shkupi Skopje
#11
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H08/05
Superleague
Pelister
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/05
Superleague
Vardar
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/05
Superleague
Vardar
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A30/09
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H07/10
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A15/10
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H22/10
Prva Liga
77.0Avg total
36.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.442.377.7-6.920%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.140.677.7-3.527%-
Last 30 away (15)33.744.077.7-10.313%-
Last 10 (10)36.740.377.0-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.278.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.744.775.4-13.90%-
vs Similar (10)36.537.774.2-1.230%-
vs Weaker (4)50.040.290.2+9.875%-
This opponent (Pelister) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelistertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelister: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.5
51.3%
53.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.2
33.3%
32.2%24.5
🏀 Free throws17.212.8
74.8%
70.3%12.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ohridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ohrid: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.5 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.822.2
49.7%
53.9%44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.85.0
22.0%
32.2%15.0
🏀 Free throws18.214.0
76.7%
70.3%14.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/4 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelister
WWLWLLLLLW
Ohrid
LLWLLLWLLL
#3
League position
#12
-0.7
Net rating
-13.8
101.7
Offensive rating
94.2
102.4
Defensive rating
108.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
44.1%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
21.0%
Turnover %
20.8%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.3%
3-point %
22.0%
56.0%
Assist %
55.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 94.2Defence102.4 · 108.0Shooting50.8% · 44.1%3-point %33.3% · 22.0%Ball care21.0% · 20.8%Off. rebounds31.2% · 32.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Pelister   ■ Ohrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pelister wins
6
Ohrid wins
DateGameScore
11/05/19Pelister v Ohrid87-73
19/04/19Ohrid v Pelister62-79
29/03/19Pelister v Ohrid77-80
22/12/18Ohrid v Pelister69-77
10/02/18Ohrid v Pelister87-77 OT
04/11/17Pelister v Ohrid77-78
01/04/17Ohrid v Pelister53-51
11/03/17Pelister v Ohrid66-83
24/12/16Pelister v Ohrid72-70
19/11/16Ohrid v Pelister73-61
Pelisterlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23ATikvesh66-60
18/10/23HMZT Skopje81-71
13/10/23HMZT Skopje78-91
11/10/23ASencur82-78 OT
07/10/23HRabotnicki89-92
01/10/23AGostivar68-75
04/06/23HMZT Skopje83-92
31/05/23AMZT Skopje67-75
28/05/23AMZT Skopje64-84
18/05/23ATFT Skopje84-82
Ohridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HGostivar64-87
15/10/23AKozuv69-96
07/10/23HFMP Akademija82-66
30/09/23AVardar83-90
18/05/19AVardar70-78 OT
11/05/19APelister73-87
08/05/19HShkupi Skopje102-77
04/05/19HFeni Industries55-79
01/05/19HVardar70-73
19/04/19HPelister62-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelister
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.085.067.0
Allowed / game74.581.567.5
Point differential+1.5+3.5-0.5
Avg total150.5166.5134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohrid
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game74.573.076.0
Allowed / game84.876.593.0
Point differential-10.2-3.5-17.0
Avg total159.2149.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 MZT Skopje54180%77.264.8+12.4
2 TFT Skopje54180%71.664.4+7.2
3 Cair 203043175%85.576.8+8.8
4 Tikvesh53260%84.267.0+17.2
5 Rabotnicki53260%85.073.8+11.2
6 Feniks 201042250%86.884.8+2.0
7 Pelister42250%76.074.5+1.5
8 Gostivar42250%72.080.8-8.8
9 Vardar52340%75.692.2-16.6
10 Ohrid41325%74.584.8-10.2
11 Kozuv51420%73.679.0-5.4
12 FMP Akademija4040%68.594.2-25.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelister2235251597
Ohrid1914121257
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