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Pelister vs Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-93
18-25 27-24 15-18 14-26
Position#12
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game53.2
Allowed / game51.0
vs
Position#8
Record4-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game55.2
Allowed / game46.6
EuropeABA League 2Round 6· Boro Curlevski Sports Hall
Other2024
Meetings · Pelister v Podgorica
19 Dec 2024
PEL74
PODG93
11 Mar 2023
PEL84
PODG97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelister winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podgorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelisterLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelister
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#2
W
85-79
85
79
+6
66avg 74
H10/05
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 74
H15/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
82avg 74
A18/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
70avg 74
A21/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
60avg 74
H25/05
Prva Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
74-72
74
72
+2
72avg 74
H01/10
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#8
L
79-90
79
90
-11
71avg 74
A15/10
ABA League 2
Joker
#16
W
20-0
20
0
+20
59avg 74
H30/10
ABA League 2
Joker
#16
W
20-0
20
0
+20
73avg 74
A12/11
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#7
L
73-93
73
93
-20
69avg 74
A04/12
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
22-18
24-22
18-15
29-20
19-17
18-23
22-20
23-28
17-22
23-15
14-17
22-16
21-30
16-22
16-12
19-20
24-19
14-22
10-17
19-19
18-14
18-17
19-22
22-21
21-20
26-22
10-27
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
23-24
16-29
16-26
18-14
131.2Avg total
65.8Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)53.251.0104.2+2.260%
Season at home (2)47.036.083.0+11.0100%
Season away (3)57.361.0118.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)65.865.4131.2+0.450%
Last 5 (5)53.251.0104.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.980.5158.4-2.633%
vs Similar (8)80.270.4150.6+9.975%
vs Weaker (9)67.959.1127.0+8.889%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Danilovgrad
#11
W
86-56
86
56
+30
87avg 78
A26/10
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
92avg 78
A29/10
ABA League 2
Sutjeska
#4
W
68-67
68
67
+1
60avg 78
H01/11
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#7
L
53-67
53
67
-14
44avg 78
H13/11
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#5
W
91-73
91
73
+18
95avg 78
H16/11
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
80-58
80
58
+22
80avg 78
A30/11
Prva A Liga
Joker
#16
W
20-0
20
0
+20
48avg 78
A03/12
ABA League 2
Susanj
#15
W
94-58
94
58
+36
86avg 78
H06/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#3
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 78
A11/12
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
W
88-67
88
67
+21
95avg 78
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
15-16
23-10
21-16
21-17
19-22
23-19
12-17
18-19
18-20
17-10
15-18
14-27
14-8
14-19
11-13
24-22
21-9
21-22
25-20
23-15
16-7
25-18
16-18
–
–
–
–
30-9
18-24
27-9
19-16
19-16
21-21
21-26
26-21
30-13
18-19
29-14
11-21
137.7Avg total
76.0Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)55.246.6101.8+8.680%
Season at home (3)54.348.7103.0+5.767%
Season away (2)56.543.5100.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.061.7137.7+14.390%
Last 5 (5)73.853.4127.2+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)86.885.2172.0+1.680%
vs Similar (6)80.378.0158.3+2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)80.660.9141.5+19.784%
This opponent (Pelister) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
PelisterPodgorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelisterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H10/05
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H15/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A18/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A21/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H25/05
Prva Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H01/10
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A15/10
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#7
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A04/12
ABA League 2
84.6Avg total
42.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.338.979.2+1.464%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.837.177.9+3.679%-
Last 30 away (14)39.840.780.5-0.950%-
Last 10 (8)42.042.684.6-0.662%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.483.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.341.882.2-1.558%-
vs Similar (8)41.633.975.5+7.888%-
vs Weaker (7)39.040.379.3-1.343%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Danilovgrad
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A26/10
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A29/10
ABA League 2
Sutjeska
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H01/11
Prva A Liga
Siroki Brijeg
#7
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H13/11
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H16/11
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#12
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A30/11
Prva A Liga
Susanj
#15
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H06/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A11/12
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H13/12
Prva A Liga
73.8Avg total
40.7Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)43.235.478.6+7.875%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.835.077.8+7.873%-
Last 30 away (13)43.635.979.5+7.777%-
Last 10 (9)40.733.173.8+7.678%-
Last 5 (5)44.031.075.0+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.042.686.6+1.460%-
vs Similar (6)39.237.376.5+1.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.432.677.0+11.782%-
This opponent (Pelister) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelistertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelister: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.7
53.4%
52.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
31.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.215.9
75.0%
72.5%15.9
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.4
52.3%
52.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.97.2
36.2%
31.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.716.1
77.8%
72.5%16.1
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelister
LWWLWLLLWW
Podgorica
WWWWWWLWWW
#12
League position
#8
-6.6
Net rating
-2.0
104.5
Offensive rating
107.1
111.1
Defensive rating
109.1
51.9%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.2%
3-point %
36.2%
61.0%
Assist %
52.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 107.1Defence111.1 · 109.1Shooting51.9% · 53.0%3-point %33.2% · 36.2%Ball care18.1% · 16.1%Off. rebounds24.5% · 23.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Pelister   ■ Podgorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pelister wins
4
Podgorica wins
DateGameScore
15/10/24Podgorica v Pelister90-79
21/03/24Podgorica v Pelister86-81
11/03/23Pelister v Podgorica84-97
11/02/22Podgorica v Pelister79-67
Pelisterlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24ASiroki Brijeg73-93
12/11/24AJoker20-0
30/10/24HJoker20-0
15/10/24APodgorica79-90
01/10/24HSiroki Brijeg74-72
25/05/24HMZT Skopje67-78
21/05/24AMZT Skopje75-80
18/05/24AMZT Skopje77-82
15/05/24HRabotnicki88-80
10/05/24HRabotnicki85-79
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24HVukovi Zeta88-67
11/12/24ATivat87-84
06/12/24HSusanj94-58
03/12/24AJoker20-0
30/11/24AIbar Rozaje80-58
16/11/24HJedinstvo91-73
13/11/24HSiroki Brijeg53-67
01/11/24HSutjeska68-67
29/10/24ASiroki Brijeg93-87 OT
26/10/24ADanilovgrad86-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelister
ABA League 2 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game53.247.057.3
Allowed / game51.036.061.0
Point differential+2.2+11.0-3.7
Avg total104.283.0118.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Podgorica
ABA League 2 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game55.254.356.5
Allowed / game46.648.743.5
Point differential+8.6+5.7+13.0
Avg total101.8103.0100.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vojvodina Novi Sad65183%83.073.3+9.7
2 Podgorica54180%55.246.6+8.6
3 Siroki Brijeg64267%59.848.8+11.0
4 Perspektiva Ilirija64267%81.070.3+10.7
5 KK Bosna64267%77.371.0+6.3
6 Cedevita Junior64267%82.576.3+6.2
7 Zlatibor64267%82.379.7+2.7
8 Helios Domzale64267%72.570.5+2.0
9 Pelister53260%53.251.0+2.2
10 MZT Skopje63350%72.869.0+3.8
11 Sutjeska63350%82.078.3+3.7
12 Borac Banja Luka63350%78.578.8-0.3
13 Tivat61517%62.274.2-12.0
14 GKK Sibenka61517%66.079.0-13.0
15 Rabotnicki6060%66.285.8-19.7
16 Joker6060%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelister1827151474
Podgorica2524182693
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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