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Podgorica vs Pelister Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-81
19-21 17-20 22-25 28-15
Position#5
Record7-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game77.6
Podgorica 🏆
vs
Pelister
Position#11
Record5-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeABA League 2Round 12· Sportsko turisticki centar Wai Tai
Other2023
Meetings · Podgorica v Pelister
15 Oct 2024
PODG90
PEL79
21 Mar 2024
PODG86
PEL81
11 Feb 2022
PODG79
PEL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Podgorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelister winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PodgoricaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Siroki Brijeg
#4
W
78-77
78
77
+1
74avg 68
H03/02
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#12
W
102-84
102
84
+18
no box
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
95-52
95
52
+43
no box
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
no box
H13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#2
L
75-94
75
94
-19
no box
A14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Primorje
#4
W
100-91
100
91
+9
no box
H01/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
A06/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
H09/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
A14/03
Prva A Liga
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
85-79
85
79
+6
86avg 68
A19/03
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
19-10
15-14
28-25
21-30
29-15
25-24
27-15
20-16
27-9
22-10
26-17
19-18
30-15
15-21
30-38
20-23
19-28
16-29
20-14
26-23
23-20
33-33
18-15
12-24
20-18
22-15
17-15
22-15
21-25
27-15
22-12
22-24
25-17
16-32
19-14
21-26
22-17
20-16
22-20
166.9Avg total
87.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.677.6156.3+1.064%
Season at home (6)83.379.5162.8+3.867%
Season away (5)73.075.4148.4-2.460%
Last 10 (10)87.479.5166.9+7.970%
Last 5 (5)86.079.2165.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.580.5155.0-6.050%
vs Similar (5)78.480.4158.8-2.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.074.7162.6+13.375%
This opponent (Pelister) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelisterLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelister
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#10
L
78-79
78
79
-1
73avg 75
A04/02
ABA League 2
Ohrid
#12
W
85-77
85
77
+8
82avg 75
A07/02
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
62avg 75
H10/02
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
81-70
81
70
+11
76avg 75
H15/02
Macedonian Cup
Tikvesh
#4
W
78-68
78
68
+10
74avg 75
H16/02
Macedonian Cup
MZT Skopje
#1
L
60-62
60
62
-2
55avg 75
A17/02
Macedonian Cup
TFT Skopje
#6
L
66-77
66
77
-11
57avg 75
A02/03
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
85-55
85
55
+30
80avg 75
H09/03
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
86-74
86
74
+12
87avg 75
A13/03
Prva Liga
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
73-72
73
72
+1
67avg 75
H18/03
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
25-21
16-20
21-14
25-18
22-20
20-19
18-20
10-22
21-15
23-15
17-15
20-16
18-19
24-16
19-19
18-13
21-23
16-18
23-14
9-13
27-18
16-18
8-13
22-19
11-15
10-17
23-26
18-11
23-15
22-19
22-10
22-15
19-22
22-16
23-21
23-18
17-18
11-24
22-12
146.4Avg total
76.3Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.579.0155.5-2.545%
Season at home (5)76.679.6156.2-3.060%
Season away (6)76.578.5155.0-2.033%
Last 10 (10)76.370.1146.4+6.270%
Last 5 (5)74.068.0142.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.878.0151.8-4.233%
vs Similar (9)75.673.0148.6+2.644%
vs Weaker (14)86.273.4159.6+12.893%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
PodgoricaPelister
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H03/02
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H08/02
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#5
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H13/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Primorje
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H01/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A06/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A14/03
Prva A Liga
Cedevita Junior
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A19/03
ABA League 2
83.5Avg total
43.4Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.983.6+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.738.684.3+7.162%-
Last 30 away (14)41.341.482.7-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.183.5+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.884.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.543.585.0-2.025%-
vs Similar (5)38.243.281.4-5.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.138.883.9+6.465%-
This opponent (Pelister) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelisterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A04/02
ABA League 2
Ohrid
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A07/02
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H10/02
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H15/02
Macedonian Cup
Tikvesh
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/02
Macedonian Cup
MZT Skopje
#1
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A17/02
Macedonian Cup
TFT Skopje
#6
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A02/03
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H09/03
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A13/03
Prva Liga
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/03
ABA League 2
74.2Avg total
38.7Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.176.7+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.933.775.6+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)39.338.577.9+0.860%-
Last 10 (10)38.735.574.2+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.232.871.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.335.372.7+2.083%-
vs Similar (9)38.437.275.7+1.256%-
vs Weaker (14)43.635.979.4+7.771%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.2
53.8%
53.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.0
29.9%
31.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
73.7%13.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelistertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelister: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.7
54.5%
53.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.7
32.3%
31.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.512.1
69.1%
73.7%12.1
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Podgorica
WLWLWLWWWW
Pelister
WWWLLWWWWL
#5
League position
#11
+2.5
Net rating
+8.6
104.9
Offensive rating
104.6
102.5
Defensive rating
96.0
50.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.0%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.9%
3-point %
32.3%
52.5%
Assist %
66.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 104.6Defence102.5 · 96.0Shooting50.5% · 51.9%3-point %29.9% · 32.3%Ball care16.1% · 18.0%Off. rebounds29.4% · 28.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Podgorica   ■ Pelister
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Podgorica wins
0
Pelister wins
DateGameScore
11/03/23Pelister v Podgorica84-97
11/02/22Podgorica v Pelister79-67
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/24ACedevita Junior85-79
14/03/24ASutjeska82-87
09/03/24HJedinstvo92-67
06/03/24ALovcen Cetinje71-72
01/03/24HPrimorje100-91
14/02/24ABuducnost75-94
13/02/24HMornar Bar94-92
11/02/24HKotor95-52
08/02/24HDanilovgrad102-84
03/02/24HSiroki Brijeg78-77
Pelisterlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/24HBorac Banja Luka73-72
13/03/24AVardar86-74
09/03/24HCair 203085-55
02/03/24ATFT Skopje66-77
17/02/24AMZT Skopje60-62
16/02/24HTikvesh78-68
15/02/24HFeniks 201081-70
10/02/24HFeniks 201071-67
07/02/24AOhrid85-77
04/02/24ASutjeska78-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Podgorica
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game78.683.373.0
Allowed / game77.679.575.4
Point differential+1.0+3.8-2.4
Avg total156.3162.8148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pelister
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW45%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game76.576.676.5
Allowed / game79.079.678.5
Point differential-2.5-3.0-2.0
Avg total155.5156.2155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %18%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spartak Subotica1210283%85.976.1+9.8
2 Zlatibor119282%89.778.0+11.7
3 Vojvodina Novi Sad1512380%82.074.1+7.9
4 MZT Skopje118373%84.076.8+7.2
5 Siroki Brijeg117464%77.475.0+2.4
6 Podgorica117464%78.677.6+1.0
7 KK Bosna42250%78.078.5-0.5
8 Sutjeska126650%77.177.8-0.8
9 Pelister115645%76.579.0-2.5
10 Helios Domzale125742%70.871.5-0.8
11 Borac Banja Luka125742%65.266.5-1.2
12 Cedevita Junior124833%75.881.5-5.8
13 Sencur113827%73.480.0-6.6
14 TFT Skopje112918%71.581.1-9.6
15 GKK Sibenka121118%73.484.2-10.8
16 Perspektiva Ilirija2020%75.580.0-4.5
17 Spars Ilidza2020%79.095.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Podgorica1917222886
Pelister2120251581
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