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Pelplin vs Gornik Walbrzych Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 64-97
20-18 15-27 6-28 23-24
Position#11
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game75.5
Pelplin
Poland
vs
Gornik Walbrzych 🏆
Poland
Position#1
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game68.0
Poland1 LigaRound 7· Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pelplin v Gornik Walbrzych
21 Oct 2023
PELP64
GORN97
24 Sep 2022
PELP68
GORN89
05 Feb 2022
PELP67
GORN75
12 Dec 2020
PELP72
GORN95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gornik Walbrzych winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Lublin 2
#18
W
130-56
130
56
+74
no box
H05/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
A15/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
A16/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
62-88
62
88
-26
no box
H22/04
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
W
96-78
96
78
+18
100avg 80
A23/09
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
73-78
73
78
-5
64avg 80
H01/10
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
104-54
104
54
+50
106avg 80
H08/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
no box
A11/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
71-66
71
66
+5
63avg 80
H15/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
68avg 80
A18/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-12
40-10
30-12
30-22
16-21
19-14
23-23
15-27
24-13
13-32
14-23
18-14
13-15
12-24
16-23
21-26
24-20
32-23
22-9
18-26
19-19
20-22
18-19
16-18
29-10
23-9
30-18
22-17
18-19
24-26
18-14
20-21
13-17
19-18
17-14
22-17
17-14
20-14
20-20
15-34
160.4Avg total
84.0Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.375.5159.8+8.850%
Season at home (3)82.766.0148.7+16.767%
Season away (3)86.085.0171.0+1.033%
Last 10 (10)84.076.4160.4+7.640%
Last 5 (5)82.075.0157.0+7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.082.4158.4-6.430%
vs Similar (12)75.875.9151.7-0.258%
vs Weaker (8)98.472.6171.0+25.888%
This opponent (Gornik Walbrzych) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gornik WalbrzychPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWalbrzych
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#5
W
92-85
92
85
+7
no box
A06/05
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
H13/05
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
57-72
57
72
-15
no box
H14/05
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
62-66
62
66
-4
no box
A20/05
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
56-63
56
63
-7
45avg 70
A25/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
73-66
73
66
+7
66avg 70
H30/09
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
82-73
82
73
+9
75avg 70
A08/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
W
66-63
66
63
+3
53avg 70
H11/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
88-75
88
75
+13
79avg 70
A14/10
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
98-68
98
68
+30
99avg 70
H18/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
26-22
22-18
21-23
24-13
17-19
16-20
9-21
12-15
11-18
20-18
14-21
14-19
18-14
15-22
15-11
27-11
8-13
13-24
8-15
18-14
28-13
7-20
20-19
21-16
17-20
18-17
26-20
19-18
20-19
11-15
16-11
22-18
24-25
21-18
21-14
23-14
22-18
22-16
31-20
144.4Avg total
74.0Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.268.0145.2+9.283%
Season at home (3)79.065.7144.7+13.3100%
Season away (3)75.370.3145.7+5.067%
Last 10 (10)74.070.4144.4+3.660%
Last 5 (5)81.469.0150.4+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)63.865.2129.0-1.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.172.3156.4+11.892%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
PelplinGornik Walbrzych
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lublin 2
#18
W
70-22
70
22
+48
H05/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A15/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A16/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H22/04
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A23/09
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/10
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
52-19
52
19
+33
H08/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A11/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H15/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A18/10
1 Liga
77.7Avg total
42.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.376.6+3.953%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.433.674.0+6.850%-
Last 30 away (18)40.238.278.3+2.056%-
Last 10 (10)42.535.277.7+7.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.433.674.0+6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.338.876.1-1.530%-
vs Similar (12)35.936.272.1-0.250%-
vs Weaker (8)50.533.584.0+17.088%-
This opponent (Gornik Walbrzych) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gornik WalbrzychLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A06/05
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/05
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H14/05
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A20/05
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A25/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H30/09
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A08/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H11/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A14/10
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H18/10
1 Liga
73.5Avg total
39.4Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.835.778.5+7.183%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.233.776.9+9.594%-
Last 30 away (13)42.238.480.6+3.869%-
Last 10 (10)39.434.173.5+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.835.077.8+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)35.831.667.4+4.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.236.680.8+7.688%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.8
52.4%
51.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.6
35.6%
32.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.615.0
69.4%
69.4%15.0
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gornik Walbrzychtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gornik Walbrzych: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.7
48.6%
51.8%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.7
27.0%
32.7%20.0
🏀 Free throws25.717.2
66.9%
69.4%17.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/6 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
LWLWLWLLLW
Gornik Walbrzych
WWWWWLLLLW
#11
League position
#1
+16.2
Net rating
+12.5
109.2
Offensive rating
101.0
93.0
Defensive rating
88.5
52.8%
Effective FG%
45.5%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
40.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.5%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.6%
3-point %
27.0%
70.1%
Assist %
67.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 101.0Defence93.0 · 88.5Shooting52.8% · 45.5%3-point %35.6% · 27.0%Ball care18.3% · 16.5%Off. rebounds32.3% · 31.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Pelplin   ■ Gornik Walbrzych
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pelplin wins
6
Gornik Walbrzych wins
DateGameScore
08/01/23Gornik Walbrzych v Pelplin72-60
24/09/22Pelplin v Gornik Walbrzych68-89
05/02/22Pelplin v Gornik Walbrzych67-75
24/10/21Gornik Walbrzych v Pelplin73-54
27/03/21Gornik Walbrzych v Pelplin93-87
12/12/20Pelplin v Gornik Walbrzych72-95
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23AKrosno72-82
15/10/23HGKS Tychy71-66
11/10/23ABydgoszcz90-95 OT
08/10/23HSokol Miedzychod104-54
01/10/23HWKK Wroclaw73-78
23/09/23APoznan96-78
22/04/23HDziki Warszawa62-88
16/04/23ADziki Warszawa69-82
15/04/23ADziki Warszawa73-85
05/04/23HLublin 2130-56
Gornik Walbrzychlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23HSokol Miedzychod98-68
14/10/23AWKK Wroclaw88-75
11/10/23HPoznan66-63
08/10/23ANiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl82-73
30/09/23HPolonia Warszawa73-66
25/09/23AKotwica Kolobrzeg56-63
20/05/23ADziki Warszawa62-66
14/05/23HDziki Warszawa57-72
13/05/23HDziki Warszawa66-73
06/05/23AStarogard Gdanski92-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game84.382.786.0
Allowed / game75.566.085.0
Point differential+8.8+16.7+1.0
Avg total159.8148.7171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Gornik Walbrzych
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game77.279.075.3
Allowed / game68.065.770.3
Point differential+9.2+13.3+5.0
Avg total145.2144.7145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slask Wroclaw II220100%100.577.5+23.0
2 Krosno65183%86.575.2+11.3
3 Gornik Walbrzych65183%77.268.0+9.2
4 Bydgoszcz75271%82.075.0+7.0
5 WKK Wroclaw64267%84.779.0+5.7
6 Kotwica Kolobrzeg53260%73.871.4+2.4
7 Starogard Gdanski53260%68.667.8+0.8
8 MKKS Koszalin53260%74.478.6-4.2
9 Poli. Opolska74357%81.678.3+3.3
10 Pelplin63350%84.375.5+8.8
11 Poznan63350%82.779.8+2.8
12 GKS Tychy63350%78.280.7-2.5
13 HydroTruck Radom63350%77.584.0-6.5
14 AWF Katowice72529%80.787.4-6.7
15 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl41325%73.079.2-6.2
16 Polonia Warszawa51420%72.679.6-7.0
17 Alstom Krakow61517%76.284.0-7.8
18 Sokol Miedzychod7070%73.992.7-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelplin201562364
Gornik Walbrzych1827282497
← all games of the day
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