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Krosno vs Pelplin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-72
14-17 14-20 20-20 34-15
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game75.8
Krosno 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#11
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game74.2
Poland1 LigaRound 6· Hala Sportowo-Widowiskowa
Other2023-24
Meetings · Krosno v Pelplin
23 Jan 2027
KROS v PELP
upcoming
04 Dec 2024
KROS92
PELP89
18 Oct 2023
KROS82
PELP72
12 Feb 2023
KROS83
PELP82
12 Mar 2022
KROS81
PELP87
15 Nov 2020
KROS99
PELP83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krosno winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelplin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrosno
Date
Competition
Bytom
#16
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A18/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#11
W
87-62
87
62
+25
no box
H26/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#15
W
67-58
67
58
+9
no box
A30/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#13
L
77-78
77
78
-1
no box
A01/04
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#14
L
68-82
68
82
-14
no box
H05/04
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
92-67
92
67
+25
79avg 81
A24/09
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
90-64
90
64
+26
86avg 81
H30/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
L
68-78
68
78
-10
64avg 81
A07/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
95-85
95
85
+10
85avg 81
H11/10
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
92-85
92
85
+7
91avg 81
H15/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
23-19
20-15
22-21
31-10
21-14
17-19
18-19
21-16
17-21
11-12
18-9
20-17
17-24
12-24
28-13
23-17
18-17
11-26
16-22
22-14
18-19
27-14
25-20
23-11
24-9
13-27
30-17
18-12
16-21
12-25
22-20
24-23
24-23
28-15
19-24
27-24
24-15
18-24
23-22
156.0Avg total
82.1Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.475.8163.2+11.680%
Season at home (3)92.378.0170.3+14.3100%
Season away (2)80.072.5152.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)82.173.9156.0+8.270%
Last 5 (5)87.475.8163.2+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.685.6166.2-5.040%
vs Similar (15)73.171.6144.7+1.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.575.8162.3+10.770%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Alstom Krakow
#14
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A01/04
1 Liga
Lublin 2
#18
W
130-56
130
56
+74
no box
H05/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
A15/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
A16/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
62-88
62
88
-26
no box
H22/04
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
W
96-78
96
78
+18
100avg 83
A23/09
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
73-78
73
78
-5
64avg 83
H01/10
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
104-54
104
54
+50
106avg 83
H08/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
no box
A11/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
71-66
71
66
+5
63avg 83
H15/10
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-9
28-28
12-19
26-28
30-12
40-10
30-12
30-22
16-21
19-14
23-23
15-27
24-13
13-32
14-23
18-14
13-15
12-24
16-23
21-26
24-20
32-23
22-9
18-26
19-19
20-22
18-19
16-18
29-10
23-9
30-18
22-17
18-19
24-26
18-14
20-21
13-17
19-18
17-14
22-17
162.2Avg total
85.6Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.874.2161.0+12.660%
Season at home (3)82.766.0148.7+16.767%
Season away (2)93.086.5179.5+6.550%
Last 10 (10)85.676.6162.2+9.050%
Last 5 (5)86.874.2161.0+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.482.4158.9-6.033%
vs Similar (13)75.875.4151.2+0.462%
vs Weaker (8)98.472.6171.0+25.888%
This opponent (Krosno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
KrosnoPelplin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bytom
#16
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A18/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#11
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H26/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A30/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A01/04
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H05/04
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A24/09
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H30/09
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A07/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H11/10
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H15/10
1 Liga
78.2Avg total
43.1Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.177.5+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.536.979.4+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.337.375.5+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)43.135.178.2+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)44.034.278.2+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.243.683.8-3.440%-
vs Similar (15)37.335.672.9+1.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.136.181.2+9.080%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alstom Krakow
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A01/04
1 Liga
Lublin 2
#18
W
70-22
70
22
+48
H05/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A15/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A16/04
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#1
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H22/04
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A23/09
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/10
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
52-19
52
19
+33
H08/10
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A11/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H15/10
1 Liga
79.9Avg total
43.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.576.8+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.233.573.7+6.654%-
Last 30 away (17)40.438.879.1+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)43.836.179.9+7.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.236.680.8+7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.340.077.3-2.722%-
vs Similar (13)36.035.971.9+0.154%-
vs Weaker (8)50.533.584.0+17.088%-
This opponent (Krosno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.823.0
59.3%
51.8%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.4
33.3%
32.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.412.4
67.4%
69.4%12.4
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.8
54.6%
51.8%41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.0
35.7%
32.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.815.2
70.1%
69.4%15.2
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/4 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Krosno
WWLWWLLWWW
Pelplin
WLWLWLLLWW
#2
League position
#11
+14.7
Net rating
+24.3
113.4
Offensive rating
114.1
98.7
Defensive rating
89.7
55.4%
Effective FG%
54.2%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.7%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.3%
3-point %
35.7%
58.0%
Assist %
68.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 114.1Defence98.7 · 89.7Shooting55.4% · 54.2%3-point %33.3% · 35.7%Ball care16.7% · 17.7%Off. rebounds30.9% · 34.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Krosno   ■ Pelplin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Krosno wins
2
Pelplin wins
DateGameScore
12/02/23Krosno v Pelplin83-82
06/11/22Pelplin v Krosno74-80
12/03/22Krosno v Pelplin81-87
27/11/21Pelplin v Krosno78-70
27/02/21Pelplin v Krosno83-91
15/11/20Krosno v Pelplin99-83
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HSokol Miedzychod92-85
11/10/23HWKK Wroclaw95-85
07/10/23APoznan68-78
30/09/23HNiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl90-64
24/09/23APolonia Warszawa92-67
05/04/23HAlstom Krakow68-82
01/04/23AWKK Wroclaw77-78
30/03/23ASlask Wroclaw II67-58
26/03/23HPoznan87-62
18/03/23ABytom85-80
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HGKS Tychy71-66
11/10/23ABydgoszcz90-95 OT
08/10/23HSokol Miedzychod104-54
01/10/23HWKK Wroclaw73-78
23/09/23APoznan96-78
22/04/23HDziki Warszawa62-88
16/04/23ADziki Warszawa69-82
15/04/23ADziki Warszawa73-85
05/04/23HLublin 2130-56
01/04/23AAlstom Krakow88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Krosno
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game87.492.380.0
Allowed / game75.878.072.5
Point differential+11.6+14.3+7.5
Avg total163.2170.3152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pelplin
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game86.882.793.0
Allowed / game74.266.086.5
Point differential+12.6+16.7+6.5
Avg total161.0148.7179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slask Wroclaw II220100%100.577.5+23.0
2 Krosno54180%87.475.8+11.6
3 Bydgoszcz54180%84.675.6+9.0
4 Gornik Walbrzych54180%73.068.0+5.0
5 Kotwica Kolobrzeg43175%75.871.8+4.0
6 Starogard Gdanski43175%68.065.0+3.0
7 Pelplin53260%86.874.2+12.6
8 Poli. Opolska53260%81.273.8+7.4
9 WKK Wroclaw53260%82.877.0+5.8
10 GKS Tychy53260%80.882.4-1.6
11 MKKS Koszalin42250%75.581.8-6.2
12 Poznan52340%83.481.6+1.8
13 HydroTruck Radom52340%73.084.2-11.2
14 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl41325%73.079.2-6.2
15 Alstom Krakow51420%75.883.8-8.0
16 AWF Katowice51420%77.686.4-8.8
17 Polonia Warszawa4040%69.580.0-10.5
18 Sokol Miedzychod5050%72.692.6-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Krosno1414203482
Pelplin1720201572
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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