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Aguada vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 80-65
11-14 21-12 27-29 21-10
Position#6
Record17-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game77.6
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#9
Record13-16
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game82.4
UruguayLiga Uruguaya
Other2021-22
Meetings · Aguada v Nacional
28 May 2026
AGUA92
NACI91
21 May 2026
AGUA89
NACI109
25 Apr 2026
AGUA94
NACI98
20 Dec 2025
AGUA98
NACI94
30 May 2025
AGUA96
NACI97
25 May 2025
AGUA80
NACI72
19 May 2025
AGUA84
NACI75
13 Mar 2025
AGUA99
NACI81
13 Dec 2024
AGUA88
NACI90
21 May 2024
AGUA92
NACI87
14 May 2024
AGUA115
NACI101
23 Mar 2024
AGUA103
NACI89
18 Jan 2024
AGUA105
NACI111
12 Dec 2022
AGUA91
NACI71
19 Apr 2022
AGUA80
NACI65
06 Apr 2022
AGUA93
NACI72
17 Nov 2021
AGUA78
NACI58
10 Apr 2021
AGUA84
NACI80
12 Feb 2021
AGUA72
NACI85
01 Dec 2020
AGUA20
NACI0
24 Jan 2020
AGUA87
NACI67
03 May 2019
AGUA78
NACI86
25 Apr 2019
AGUA69
NACI75
11 Mar 2019
AGUA123
NACI117
18 Jan 2019
AGUA96
NACI90
04 May 2018
AGUA84
NACI77
26 Apr 2018
AGUA81
NACI91
19 Apr 2018
AGUA76
NACI81
26 Mar 2018
AGUA70
NACI68
10 Nov 2017
AGUA86
NACI78
16 Oct 2013
AGUA81
NACI61
28 Sep 2012
AGUA94
NACI86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olivol Mundial
#13
W
91-69
91
69
+22
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#12
W
92-90
92
90
+2
H08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#4
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#8
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A29/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
L
69-97
69
97
-28
H02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H07/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A10/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-6
15-15
22-23
27-25
30-25
17-21
27-20
18-24
25-22
15-20
24-26
20-23
16-9
20-18
18-20
22-24
17-22
11-19
21-24
26-20
13-28
17-25
23-21
30-21
17-30
18-25
15-22
19-20
18-16
24-16
20-18
31-22
17-21
17-14
9-27
18-22
31-19
13-22
14-19
22-25
164.3Avg total
80.4Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.177.6157.7+2.559%
Season at home (14)80.974.6155.6+6.371%
Season away (15)79.380.3159.7-1.047%
Last 10 (10)80.483.9164.3-3.540%
Last 5 (5)77.286.6163.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.077.4138.4-16.40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.979.3161.1+2.660%
vs Weaker (10)87.178.0165.1+9.180%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#10
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#1
L
81-101
81
101
-20
A13/03
Champions League Americas
Capitol
#14
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#12
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A25/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H29/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A01/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A07/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H10/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
13-17
21-19
19-36
19-24
13-16
23-30
26-31
30-11
19-20
21-21
23-15
19-26
17-18
25-28
19-15
24-18
19-17
13-19
28-22
15-24
19-17
25-10
27-22
12-15
22-15
10-23
20-21
16-18
16-24
18-20
22-31
21-17
14-17
27-9
22-18
19-31
22-13
19-14
25-22
160.8Avg total
80.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.982.4165.3+0.445%
Season at home (15)84.579.0163.5+5.553%
Season away (14)81.186.1167.3-5.036%
Last 10 (10)80.180.7160.8-0.650%
Last 5 (5)78.276.2154.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.989.7168.6-10.811%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.181.6161.6-1.538%
vs Weaker (5)90.077.0167.0+13.080%
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
AguadaNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olivol Mundial
#13
W
42-21
42
21
+21
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#4
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#7
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#8
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A29/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H07/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A10/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
77.1Avg total
37.8Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.639.378.8+0.359%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.838.075.8-0.260%-
Last 30 away (14)41.440.682.1+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.377.1-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.280.2-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.047.584.5-10.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.339.278.5+0.160%-
vs Weaker (10)41.036.177.1+4.970%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A13/03
Champions League Americas
Capitol
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A25/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H29/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A01/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A07/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H10/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H15/04
Liga Uruguaya
74.9Avg total
36.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.879.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.339.980.2+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)38.939.778.6-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)36.838.174.9-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.273.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.842.480.2-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.138.577.6+0.650%-
vs Weaker (5)44.639.283.8+5.460%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Aguada wins
3
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
15/04/22Nacional v Aguada85-80
10/04/22Nacional v Aguada84-61
07/04/22Aguada v Nacional93-72
12/02/22Nacional v Aguada86-99
18/11/21Aguada v Nacional78-58
11/04/21Aguada v Nacional84-80
17/02/21Nacional v Aguada74-92
12/02/21Aguada v Nacional72-85
10/02/21Nacional v Aguada74-95
01/12/20Aguada v Nacional20-0
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/22ANacional80-85
10/04/22ANacional61-84
07/04/22HNacional93-72
02/04/22HGoes69-97
29/03/22AOlimpia Kings83-95
23/03/22HTrouville75-85
16/03/22HUrupan76-71
12/03/22ABigua84-91
08/03/22HHebraica y Macabi92-90
19/02/22AOlivol Mundial91-69
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/22HAguada85-80
10/04/22HAguada84-61
07/04/22AAguada72-93
01/04/22APenarol64-74
29/03/22HUrupan86-73
25/03/22AHebraica y Macabi84-76
22/03/22AGoes80-87
18/03/22HCapitol93-67
13/03/22ASao Paulo81-101
12/03/22AQuimsa72-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL59%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayWLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %59%71%47%
Points / game80.180.979.3
Allowed / game77.674.680.3
Point differential+2.5+6.3-1.0
Avg total157.7155.6159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeWWWWW53%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%53%36%
Points / game82.984.581.1
Allowed / game82.479.086.1
Point differential+0.4+5.5-5.0
Avg total165.3163.5167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)29% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Goes2622485%80.370.5+9.8
2 Bigua2622485%89.882.7+7.0
3 Urupan2617965%86.582.6+3.8
4 Penarol2617965%76.272.9+3.3
5 Aguada29171259%80.177.6+2.5
6 Malvin29171259%81.881.1+0.7
7 Trouville28151354%87.285.8+1.4
8 Olimpia Kings29141548%83.281.6+1.7
9 Nacional29131645%82.982.4+0.4
10 Defensor29111838%77.180.2-3.1
11 Urunday30102033%79.585.9-6.4
12 Hebraica y Macabi2891932%83.987.1-3.2
13 Olivol Mundial2781930%76.981.7-4.8
14 Capitol262248%78.390.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada1121272180
Nacional1412291065
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