Penarol vs Ciclista Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 106-78

27-17 32-17 27-16 20-28

Position#7

Record17-9

FormWWWWW

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game74.0

Penarol 🏆

Ciclista

Position#18

Record5-21

FormLLLLL

Points / game71.4

Allowed / game81.0

Liga A

Other2014-15

Meetings · Penarol v Ciclista

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ciclista winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#12

85-58

+27

H04/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

69-80

-11

A06/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

73-80

-7

A09/01

Liga A

Lanus

#17

78-77

A11/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

81-79

A13/01

Liga A

Fuerza Regia

84-72

+12

H16/01

Americas League

Leones de Managua

#14

77-67

+10

A17/01

Americas League

Sao Jose

#10

73-72

A18/01

Americas League

Regatas

79-73

H22/01

Liga A

Atenas

84-66

+18

H25/01

Liga A

23-10

15-19

23-15

24-14

27-17

14-25

14-15

14-23

11-16

26-18

18-16

18-30

27-25

14-14

26-29

11-9

23-30

20-17

22-13

16-19

27-18

22-19

17-21

18-14

21-17

19-21

17-16

20-13

16-26

19-9

21-18

17-19

20-19

19-13

25-15

15-26

19-17

23-14

20-13

22-22

150.7Avg total

78.3Scored

72.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	79.2	74.0	153.2	+5.1	65%
Season at home (13)	80.5	70.0	150.5	+10.5	77%
Season away (13)	77.8	78.1	155.8	-0.3	54%
Last 10 (10)	78.3	72.4	150.7	+5.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	70.0	149.4	+9.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	66.0	81.0	147.0	-15.0	0%
vs Similar (19)	80.9	73.6	154.6	+7.3	79%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	76.7	74.3	151.0	+2.3	56%

This opponent (Ciclista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ciclista

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

68-74

-6

H04/12

Liga A

Argentino

75-79

-4

A06/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

73-74

-1

H30/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

51-78

-27

H07/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

60-74

-14

H10/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

58-73

-15

A16/01

Liga A

Sionista

#16

76-95

-19

A18/01

Liga A

Libertad

#15

78-110

110

-32

A20/01

Liga A

San Martin

90-94

-4

H23/01

Liga A

Quilmes

72-94

-22

A26/01

Liga A

16-13

19-22

22-18

11-21

18-19

12-16

25-27

20-17

18-14

12-21

25-19

18-20

11-16

10-22

20-16

10-24

18-10

18-25

15-16

9-23

14-17

14-15

15-21

15-20

28-22

16-24

19-19

13-30

15-27

12-25

19-28

32-30

14-23

12-18

27-19

37-34

26-24

13-25

13-18

20-27

154.6Avg total

70.1Scored

84.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	71.4	81.0	152.4	-9.6	19%
Season at home (13)	72.4	77.5	149.9	-5.2	31%
Season away (13)	70.5	84.5	154.9	-14.0	8%
Last 10 (10)	70.1	84.5	154.6	-14.4	0%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	93.2	168.0	-18.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	71.0	81.3	152.2	-10.3	17%
vs Similar (2)	77.0	77.5	154.5	-0.5	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolCiclista

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	20.1	38.1	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	16.0	30.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.9	18.3	37.2	+0.6	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.2	18.8	37.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.0	17.1	36.1	+1.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.5	36.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.5	16.5	35.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	16.9	35.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	15.4	36.1	+5.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	18.2	35.6	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.9	36.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	15.2	35.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	6.0	17.0	23.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.9	16.9	36.8	+2.9	68%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.6	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	13.6	20.4	34.0	-6.8	12%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	14.3	20.4	34.7	-6.1	8%	-
Last 30 away (13)	12.9	20.4	33.3	-7.5	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	13.8	21.3	35.1	-7.5	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	21.4	34.8	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	13.2	20.7	34.0	-7.5	8%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.0	16.5	34.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#12

38-29

H04/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

41-42

-1

A06/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

37-34

A09/01

Liga A

Lanus

#17

41-39

A11/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

43-47

-4

A13/01

Liga A

Fuerza Regia

49-37

+12

H16/01

Americas League

Leones de Managua

#14

40-38

A17/01

Americas League

Sao Jose

#10

35-35

A18/01

Americas League

Regatas

39-32

H22/01

Liga A

Atenas

42-31

+11

H25/01

Liga A

76.9Avg total

40.5Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	35.5	73.4	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	32.1	73.1	+8.9	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.3	38.4	73.7	-3.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	36.4	76.9	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	34.6	75.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	33.0	53.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	38.8	35.2	74.0	+3.6	68%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	37.0	36.2	73.2	+0.8	56%	-

This opponent (Ciclista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CiclistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

35-35

H04/12

Liga A

Argentino

30-35

-5

A06/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

30-35

-5

H30/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

21-38

-17

H07/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

36-35

H10/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

28-32

-4

A16/01

Liga A

Sionista

#16

44-46

-2

A18/01

Liga A

Libertad

#15

27-52

-25

A20/01

Liga A

San Martin

26-41

-15

H23/01

Liga A

Quilmes

39-49

-10

A26/01

Liga A

71.4Avg total

31.6Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	32.8	39.2	71.9	-6.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	33.3	37.5	70.8	-4.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	32.2	40.8	73.1	-8.6	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.6	39.8	71.4	-8.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	44.0	76.8	-11.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	32.5	39.7	72.1	-7.2	17%	-
vs Similar (2)	36.5	33.0	69.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	17.9	39.2	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	18.4	41.1	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	17.6	37.4	+2.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.1	37.4	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.6	36.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.7	17.2	37.8	+3.5	68%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.9	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	42%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.6	20.8	40.5	-1.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.9	46%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	20.3	39.8	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	20.6	40.9	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	18.9	36.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	30.0	56.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	17.3	17.9	35.2	-0.6	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.2	22.1	40.2	-3.9	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.7	21.4	39.1	-3.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	24.6	43.1	-6.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	28.2	51.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	38.4	79.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.3	38.6	80.9	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.2	38.1	78.4	+2.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	36.0	73.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	35.4	73.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	46.0	48.0	94.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	41.6	38.2	79.8	+3.5	63%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	38.8	37.4	76.2	+1.3	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	38.7	41.8	80.5	-3.2	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.1	40.1	79.2	-1.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.2	43.6	81.8	-5.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	44.7	83.2	-6.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	49.2	91.2	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	38.5	41.6	80.1	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	40.5	44.5	85.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Ciclista wins

Date	Game	Score
13/11/14	Ciclista v Penarol	67-64
29/10/14	Penarol v Ciclista	88-66

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/15	H	Atenas	84-66
22/01/15	H	Regatas	79-73
18/01/15	A	Sao Jose	73-72
17/01/15	A	Leones de Managua	77-67
16/01/15	H	Fuerza Regia	84-72
13/01/15	A	Obras Sanitarias	81-79
11/01/15	A	Lanus	78-77
09/01/15	A	Gimnasia	73-80
06/01/15	A	Boca Juniors	69-80
04/01/15	H	Estudiantes	85-58

Ciclistalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/15	A	Quilmes	72-94
23/01/15	H	San Martin	90-94
20/01/15	A	Libertad	78-110
18/01/15	A	Sionista	76-95
16/01/15	A	Estudiantes	58-73
10/01/15	H	Boca Juniors	60-74
07/01/15	H	Obras Sanitarias	51-78
30/12/14	H	Gimnasia	73-74
06/12/14	A	Argentino	75-79
04/12/14	H	Argentino	68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	65%
Home	LWWWW	77%
Away	WLLWW	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	65%	77%	54%
Points / game	79.2	80.5	77.8
Allowed / game	74.0	70.0	78.1
Point differential	+5.1	+10.5	-0.3
Avg total	153.2	150.5	155.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	69%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	0% (1)	83% (6)
Overtime %	8%	0%	15%

Ciclista

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	19%
Home	LLLLL	31%
Away	LLLLL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	19%	31%	8%
Points / game	71.4	72.4	70.5
Allowed / game	81.0	77.5	84.5
Point differential	-9.6	-5.2	-14.0
Avg total	152.4	149.9	154.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	8%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	26	23	3	88%	83.8	71.0	+12.9
2	Obras Sanitarias	27	18	9	67%	79.7	73.1	+6.6
3	Penarol	26	17	9	65%	79.2	74.0	+5.1
4	Quilmes	26	17	9	65%	76.5	74.9	+1.6
5	Regatas	26	16	10	62%	82.3	75.2	+7.0
6	Argentino	24	14	10	58%	77.5	75.3	+2.1
7	San Martin	26	15	11	58%	74.5	76.7	-2.2
8	Gimnasia	27	15	12	56%	78.0	74.3	+3.7
9	Boca Juniors	27	13	14	48%	76.5	76.0	+0.5
10	Olimpico	26	12	14	46%	78.3	79.5	-1.2
11	La Union	26	11	15	42%	77.8	82.2	-4.3
12	Estudiantes	29	12	17	41%	74.1	75.0	-0.9
13	Weber Bahia	26	10	16	38%	75.2	80.4	-5.2
14	Lanus	24	9	15	38%	75.8	81.8	-6.0
15	Sionista	27	10	17	37%	73.7	77.0	-3.4
16	Atenas	27	10	17	37%	74.8	78.6	-3.8
17	Libertad	26	9	17	35%	78.0	81.5	-3.5
18	Ciclista	26	5	21	19%	71.4	81.0	-9.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	27	32	27	20	106
Ciclista	17	17	16	28	78

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Ciclista Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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