Boca Juniors vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 80-69

17-27 25-14 15-14 23-14

Position#14

Record9-11

FormLWLWL

Points / game76.2

Allowed / game76.2

Boca Juniors 🏆

Penarol

Position#7

Record13-7

FormLWLWW

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game73.5

Liga A

Other2014-15

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lanus

#17

74-69

A20/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

76-88

-12

H22/11

Liga A

Mogi

85-87 OT

-2

H25/11

South American League

Malvin

76-75

H27/11

South American League

Ciclista

#18

81-74

H30/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

76-101

101

-25

A04/12

Liga A

Penarol

86-66

+20

A06/12

Liga A

Atenas

76-79

-3

A09/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

73-65

A27/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

66-79

-13

A04/01

Liga A

16-22

14-8

28-22

16-17

17-21

12-23

22-16

25-28

17-14

16-17

17-26

25-18

14-16

24-14

18-22

20-23

21-21

23-16

14-24

23-13

20-16

14-27

19-32

23-26

17-15

23-24

25-16

21-11

12-24

19-8

26-21

19-26

14-18

22-22

15-17

22-8

23-16

11-16

19-22

13-25

155.2Avg total

76.9Scored

78.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	76.2	76.2	152.4	-0.0	45%
Season at home (9)	72.6	71.0	143.6	+1.6	44%
Season away (11)	79.2	80.5	159.7	-1.4	45%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	78.3	155.2	-1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	78.0	153.4	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	77.4	78.7	156.1	-1.4	36%
vs Similar (14)	74.0	74.2	148.2	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker (5)	78.0	76.8	154.8	+1.2	60%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

81-87

-6

A11/11

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

64-67

-3

A13/11

Liga A

Argentino

78-65

+13

H19/11

Liga A

Quilmes

88-74

+14

H02/12

Liga A

Quilmes

84-60

+24

A04/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

66-86

-20

H06/12

Liga A

Argentino

99-77

+22

H11/12

Super 4

Quimsa

66-81

-15

A18/12

Super 4

Weber Bahia

#10

69-58

+11

H28/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

85-58

+27

H04/01

Liga A

20-23

13-22

22-24

26-18

13-26

14-14

24-12

13-15

23-12

16-21

25-16

14-16

17-18

25-14

20-25

26-17

14-11

30-21

19-11

21-17

15-17

24-23

16-25

11-21

24-23

25-13

31-18

19-23

14-16

6-17

20-18

26-30

20-17

9-13

24-17

16-11

23-10

15-19

23-15

24-14

149.3Avg total

78.0Scored

71.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	79.7	73.5	153.2	+6.2	65%
Season at home (11)	80.4	70.1	150.5	+10.3	73%
Season away (9)	78.9	77.7	156.6	+1.2	56%
Last 10 (10)	78.0	71.3	149.3	+6.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	72.0	149.0	+5.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	66.0	81.0	147.0	-15.0	0%
vs Similar (22)	82.8	76.3	159.1	+6.5	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	77.7	74.2	151.8	+3.5	50%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.3	35.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	64%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.4	17.3	35.6	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.5	36.4	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	16.9	37.5	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.0	18.1	35.1	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.3	35.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.6	35.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	16.0	30.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (22)	19.6	17.0	36.5	+2.6	59%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	16.3	18.7	35.0	-2.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	17.9	35.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	16.6	34.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.1	37.0	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	17.5	35.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.9	16.9	33.8	-0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	15.8	36.3	+4.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	20.1	37.6	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	17.7	35.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	17.0	32.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	6.0	17.0	23.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (22)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	18.8	15.8	34.7	+3.0	67%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lanus

#17

30-30

A20/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

29-44

-15

H22/11

Liga A

Mogi

33-31

H25/11

South American League

Malvin

38-30

H27/11

South American League

Ciclista

#18

44-37

H30/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

34-43

-9

A04/12

Liga A

Penarol

40-39

A06/12

Liga A

Atenas

31-32

-1

A09/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

36-40

-4

A27/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

34-32

A04/01

Liga A

70.7Avg total

34.9Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	36.1	72.6	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.7	34.0	69.7	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	38.1	75.5	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	35.8	70.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	37.2	72.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	36.5	36.5	73.0	-0.1	55%	-
vs Similar (14)	35.2	34.2	69.4	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.6	40.2	80.8	+0.4	60%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Argentino

33-45

-12

A11/11

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

27-40

-13

A13/11

Liga A

Argentino

39-33

H19/11

Liga A

Quilmes

42-32

+10

H02/12

Liga A

Quilmes

44-32

+12

A04/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

39-40

-1

H06/12

Liga A

Argentino

49-36

+13

H11/12

Super 4

Quimsa

20-33

-13

A18/12

Super 4

Weber Bahia

#10

29-30

-1

H28/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

#12

38-29

H04/01

Liga A

71.0Avg total

36.0Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	35.3	73.3	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	32.8	73.8	+8.3	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.5	38.1	72.6	-3.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	35.0	71.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	33.6	68.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	33.0	53.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (22)	39.1	35.5	74.6	+3.5	68%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	35.2	34.5	69.7	+0.7	50%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	21.7	41.7	-1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	45%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	18.1	41.2	+5.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.1	40.5	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.6	41.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (22)	21.2	18.5	39.7	+2.7	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.2	38.1	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	18.7	36.3	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.5	40.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.7	27%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.6	16.6	35.2	+2.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.8	43.1	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	22.1	45.6	+1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	30.0	56.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (22)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	18.5	19.3	37.8	-0.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	39.6	78.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	37.9	75.0	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	41.3	81.7	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	41.3	82.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.8	81.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	40.4	41.5	81.8	-1.1	45%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.1	39.1	77.2	-1.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (5)	37.4	36.6	74.0	+0.8	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	40.4	83.6	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	39.5	82.2	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	41.4	85.1	+2.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	36.3	78.3	+5.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	38.4	80.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	46.0	48.0	94.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (22)	43.3	40.5	83.8	+2.8	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	41.2	38.7	79.8	+2.5	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
06/12/14	Penarol v Boca Juniors	66-86
19/10/14	Boca Juniors v Penarol	81-83 OT
13/05/14	Boca Juniors v Penarol	73-83
11/05/14	Penarol v Boca Juniors	81-67
09/05/14	Penarol v Boca Juniors	81-79
02/03/14	Boca Juniors v Penarol	77-72
16/12/13	Penarol v Boca Juniors	78-71
23/11/13	Penarol v Boca Juniors	91-81
29/10/13	Boca Juniors v Penarol	84-75
02/03/13	Boca Juniors v Penarol	83-70

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/01/15	A	Gimnasia	66-79
27/12/14	A	Obras Sanitarias	73-65
09/12/14	A	Atenas	76-79
06/12/14	A	Penarol	86-66
04/12/14	A	Gimnasia	76-101
30/11/14	H	Ciclista	81-74
27/11/14	H	Malvin	76-75
25/11/14	H	Mogi	85-87 OT
22/11/14	H	Obras Sanitarias	76-88
20/11/14	A	Lanus	74-69

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/01/15	H	Estudiantes	85-58
28/12/14	H	Weber Bahia	69-58
18/12/14	A	Quimsa	66-81
11/12/14	H	Argentino	99-77
06/12/14	H	Boca Juniors	66-86
04/12/14	A	Quilmes	84-60
02/12/14	H	Quilmes	88-74
19/11/14	H	Argentino	78-65
13/11/14	A	Ciclista	64-67
11/11/14	A	Argentino	81-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	45%
Home	WLWLW	44%
Away	LWLWL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	45%	44%	45%
Points / game	76.2	72.6	79.2
Allowed / game	76.2	71.0	80.5
Point differential	-0.1	+1.6	-1.4
Avg total	152.4	143.6	159.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	22%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	33% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	5%	11%	0%

Penarol

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	65%
Home	WWLWW	73%
Away	LWLLW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	65%	73%	56%
Points / game	79.7	80.4	78.9
Allowed / game	73.5	70.1	77.7
Point differential	+6.2	+10.3	+1.2
Avg total	153.2	150.5	156.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	73%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	0% (1)	75% (4)
Overtime %	10%	0%	22%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	19	17	2	89%	84.7	71.4	+13.3
2	Regatas	20	14	6	70%	83.2	75.1	+8.1
3	Obras Sanitarias	21	14	7	67%	80.4	73.4	+7.0
4	Penarol	20	13	7	65%	79.7	73.5	+6.2
5	Argentino	20	12	8	60%	76.8	74.3	+2.5
6	Quilmes	20	12	8	60%	74.6	74.5	+0.1
7	Gimnasia	21	12	9	57%	78.3	73.5	+4.8
8	Olimpico	20	10	10	50%	78.5	78.6	-0.1
9	San Martin	19	9	10	47%	71.6	75.9	-4.3
10	Boca Juniors	20	9	11	45%	76.2	76.2	-0.1
11	La Union	20	9	11	45%	76.0	81.5	-5.5
12	Libertad	20	8	12	40%	76.5	80.4	-3.9
13	Estudiantes	21	8	13	38%	74.5	75.1	-0.7
14	Atenas	21	8	13	38%	74.8	78.0	-3.1
15	Lanus	19	7	12	37%	74.2	81.3	-7.1
16	Sionista	20	7	13	35%	72.0	76.4	-4.3
17	Weber Bahia	20	6	14	30%	74.0	81.6	-7.5
18	Ciclista	19	5	14	26%	72.2	78.3	-6.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	17	25	15	23	80
Penarol	27	14	14	14	69

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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