Penarol vs Weber Bahia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Dec 2012

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 82-76

18-28 18-15 23-14 23-19

Position#2

Record16-7

FormLLLLW

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game76.1

Penarol 🏆

Weber Bahia

Position#12

Record9-15

FormWWLLL

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game81.8

Liga ARound 26

Other2012-13

Meetings · Penarol v Weber Bahia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Weber Bahia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

73-56

+17

A23/11

South American League

Gimnasia

#10

82-72

+10

A26/11

Liga A

La Union

#15

103-79

103

+24

H29/11

Liga A

Progresista

#16

93-71

+22

H01/12

Liga A

Flamengo

78-79

-1

A04/12

South American League

Regatas

58-65

-7

H06/12

South American League

Brasilia

77-87

-10

A06/12

South American League

Olimpico

74-78

-4

A10/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

87-106

106

-19

A12/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

91-78

+13

A15/12

Liga A

26-15

18-6

16-19

13-16

18-23

22-8

20-22

22-19

31-16

21-21

28-16

23-26

35-14

12-20

20-23

26-14

29-17

20-12

17-27

12-23

18-19

13-14

15-15

12-17

20-32

25-24

18-19

14-12

14-20

24-17

20-23

16-18

20-29

21-20

19-32

27-25

22-17

23-23

21-25

25-13

158.7Avg total

81.6Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	81.3	76.1	157.5	+5.2	70%
Season at home (10)	82.3	73.5	155.8	+8.8	70%
Season away (13)	80.6	78.2	158.8	+2.5	69%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	77.1	158.7	+4.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	82.8	160.2	-5.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	75.6	77.6	153.2	-2.0	40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	78.5	72.2	150.7	+6.3	80%
vs Weaker (9)	86.3	76.9	163.2	+9.4	67%

This opponent (Weber Bahia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Weber Bahia Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

72-70

H01/11

Liga A

Regatas

83-88

-5

A14/11

Liga A

Sionista

86-91

-5

A16/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

79-85

-6

A24/11

Liga A

Lanus

64-78

-14

A26/11

Liga A

La Union

#15

75-71

H01/12

Liga A

Progresista

#16

87-67

+20

H03/12

Liga A

Olimpico

64-76

-12

A08/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

89-93

-4

A10/12

Liga A

Penarol

78-91

-13

H15/12

Liga A

17-21

23-10

18-17

14-22

18-28

14-21

17-19

34-20

26-25

19-22

26-16

15-28

17-19

16-26

23-17

23-23

12-26

18-20

12-12

22-20

15-19

20-13

20-18

20-21

19-19

23-11

20-21

25-16

24-15

8-17

16-18

16-26

25-16

14-23

26-26

24-28

17-22

23-23

25-21

13-25

158.7Avg total

77.7Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	80.4	81.8	162.1	-1.4	38%
Season at home (11)	78.4	76.6	155.0	+1.7	64%
Season away (13)	82.1	86.1	168.2	-4.0	15%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	81.0	158.7	-3.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	79.6	158.2	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	80.8	82.4	163.1	-1.6	50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	78.4	81.9	160.3	-3.5	28%
vs Weaker (4)	84.0	74.8	158.8	+9.2	75%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolWeber Bahia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	17.3	38.7	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.8	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.2	43.5	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.4	42.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+2.9	73%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.1	17.7	41.8	+6.4	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.6	39.9	-1.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.8	24.0	42.8	-5.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.7	39%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	16.8	36.5	+3.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	16.1	35.2	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	15.2	34.0	+3.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	16.9	36.1	+2.3	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	16.5	36.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.2	16.8	33.0	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.7	15.9	35.6	+3.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	18.5	35.7	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	16.1	36.1	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	14.9	20.6	35.4	-5.7	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	16.6	18.8	35.4	-2.3	22%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	15.0	34.8	+4.8	75%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

44-21

+23

A23/11

South American League

Gimnasia

#10

40-31

A26/11

Liga A

La Union

#15

52-37

+15

H29/11

Liga A

Progresista

#16

47-34

+13

H01/12

Liga A

Flamengo

49-29

+20

A04/12

South American League

Regatas

31-33

-2

H06/12

South American League

Brasilia

45-56

-11

A06/12

South American League

Olimpico

38-37

A10/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

41-49

-8

A12/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

45-40

A15/12

Liga A

79.9Avg total

43.2Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	33.5	73.9	+6.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.8	31.2	73.0	+10.7	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.3	35.2	74.5	+4.1	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	36.7	79.9	+6.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	43.0	83.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.8	36.8	75.6	+2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.1	32.5	71.6	+6.7	80%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.3	34.7	78.0	+8.7	78%	-

This opponent (Weber Bahia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Weber BahiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

40-31

H01/11

Liga A

Regatas

32-49

-17

A14/11

Liga A

Sionista

45-47

-2

A16/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

33-45

-12

A24/11

Liga A

Lanus

30-46

-16

A26/11

Liga A

La Union

#15

35-32

H01/12

Liga A

Progresista

#16

42-30

+12

H03/12

Liga A

Olimpico

32-32

A08/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

39-39

A10/12

Liga A

Penarol

40-45

-5

H15/12

Liga A

76.4Avg total

36.8Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	39.4	76.2	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	36.6	76.0	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.6	41.9	76.4	-7.3	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	39.6	76.4	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	35.6	73.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.4	43.4	79.8	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.4	39.4	75.8	-3.0	28%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.5	31.8	71.2	+7.8	75%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	21.3	41.8	-0.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.1	41.5	-2.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.8	22.2	44.0	-0.4	44%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.9	38.9	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.5	38.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.4	17.9	37.2	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.8	21.8	44.5	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.9	39.5	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.0	35.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.4	23.5	46.9	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	22.9	43.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.9	19.9	42.8	+3.0	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.3	22.8	44.1	-1.4	28%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.5	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	41.1	80.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.4	42.0	82.4	-1.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.9	40.4	79.4	-1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	40.4	78.8	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	39.8	77.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.8	40.8	77.6	-4.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.4	39.7	79.1	-0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.0	42.2	85.2	+0.8	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	41.3	83.7	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	38.8	78.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.6	43.5	88.1	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	41.4	82.3	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	42.2	37.8	80.0	+4.5	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	42.0	42.5	84.5	-0.5	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.5	43.0	87.5	+1.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Weber Bahia wins

Date	Game	Score
15/12/12	Weber Bahia v Penarol	78-91
17/10/12	Penarol v Weber Bahia	85-83
14/10/12	Weber Bahia v Penarol	63-79
19/04/12	Penarol v Weber Bahia	88-67
14/04/12	Weber Bahia v Penarol	90-81
12/04/12	Weber Bahia v Penarol	88-78
07/04/12	Penarol v Weber Bahia	75-71
05/04/12	Penarol v Weber Bahia	84-61
09/01/12	Weber Bahia v Penarol	77-93
07/01/12	Penarol v Weber Bahia	84-80

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/12	A	Weber Bahia	91-78
12/12/12	A	Atenas	87-106
10/12/12	A	Olimpico	74-78
06/12/12	A	Brasilia	77-87
06/12/12	H	Regatas	58-65
04/12/12	A	Flamengo	78-79
01/12/12	H	Progresista	93-71
29/11/12	H	La Union	103-79
26/11/12	A	Gimnasia	82-72
23/11/12	A	Obras Sanitarias	73-56

Weber Bahialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/12	H	Penarol	78-91
10/12/12	A	Atenas	89-93
08/12/12	A	Olimpico	64-76
03/12/12	H	Progresista	87-67
01/12/12	H	La Union	75-71
26/11/12	A	Lanus	64-78
24/11/12	A	Gimnasia	79-85
16/11/12	A	Sionista	86-91
14/11/12	A	Regatas	83-88
01/11/12	H	Quimsa	72-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	70%
Home	WWLWW	70%
Away	LWLLW	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	10	13
Win %	70%	70%	69%
Points / game	81.3	82.3	80.6
Allowed / game	76.1	73.5	78.2
Point differential	+5.2	+8.8	+2.5
Avg total	157.5	155.8	158.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	50%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Weber Bahia

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	38%
Home	WWWWL	64%
Away	LLLLL	15%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	11	13
Win %	38%	64%	15%
Points / game	80.4	78.4	82.1
Allowed / game	81.8	76.6	86.1
Point differential	-1.4	+1.7	-4.0
Avg total	162.1	155.0	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	27%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	30% (10)	100% (2)	12% (8)
Overtime %	4%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	24	18	6	75%	77.2	71.4	+5.8
2	Lanus	24	18	6	75%	77.0	71.8	+5.2
3	Penarol	23	16	7	70%	81.3	76.1	+5.2
4	Olimpico	25	16	9	64%	75.2	74.0	+1.2
5	Libertad	22	14	8	64%	77.5	75.3	+2.2
6	Boca Juniors	26	15	11	58%	78.6	73.8	+4.8
7	Quimsa	25	14	11	56%	78.3	75.6	+2.7
8	Argentino	24	13	11	54%	78.1	78.3	-0.2
9	Atenas	24	13	11	54%	77.2	79.0	-1.8
10	Sionista	25	10	15	40%	78.3	81.7	-3.4
11	Weber Bahia	24	9	15	38%	80.4	81.8	-1.4
12	Gimnasia	25	9	16	36%	78.0	81.0	-3.0
13	de Julio de Morteros	25	9	16	36%	77.9	82.8	-4.9
14	Progresista	25	8	17	32%	72.9	76.9	-4.0
15	Obras Sanitarias	25	7	18	28%	77.5	81.7	-4.2
16	La Union	24	6	18	25%	71.8	75.2	-3.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	18	18	23	23	82
Weber Bahia	28	15	14	19	76

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Weber Bahia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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