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Penn State vs Wisconsin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-98
22-50 49-48
Position#298
Record9-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game76.3
Penn State
USA
vs
Wisconsin 🏆
USA
Position#57
Record13-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game75.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penn State v Wisconsin
22 Jan 2026
PENN71
WISC98
16 Jan 2024
PENN87
WISC83
08 Feb 2023
PENN74
WISC79
30 Jan 2021
PENN81
WISC71
11 Jan 2020
PENN49
WISC58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wisconsin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campbell
#222
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
72-113
72
113
-41
A10/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H13/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
46-80
46
80
-34
H21/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H07/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A10/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H15/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-39
41-37
26-58
46-55
39-36
33-40
20-40
26-40
36-33
54-34
26-40
39-33
31-40
41-34
44-45
41-48
23-29
37-42
26-56
47-40
154.1Avg total
72.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.876.3153.1+0.650%
Season at home (14)76.173.4149.6+2.757%
Season away (4)79.286.2165.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)72.281.9154.1-9.720%
Last 5 (5)71.081.4152.4-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.175.6150.6-0.544%
vs Similar (10)76.477.5153.9-1.140%
vs Weaker (4)67.574.0141.5-6.525%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#290
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
60-90
60
90
-30
A11/12
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
66-76 OT
66
76
-10
A20/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
88-61
88
61
+27
H23/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H31/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H04/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H07/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A10/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A14/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-31
53-45
31-47
29-43
22-35
34-21
40-28
48-33
37-21
43-39
38-45
35-44
45-31
35-41
37-38
54-50
28-35
50-40
51-29
45-58
158.2Avg total
80.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.575.7159.2+7.872%
Season at home (11)88.370.7159.0+17.591%
Season away (7)76.083.4159.4-7.443%
Last 10 (10)80.877.4158.2+3.470%
Last 5 (5)83.682.2165.8+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.088.5170.5-6.550%
vs Similar (14)74.577.2151.7-2.736%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.468.9156.2+18.5100%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.9-9.91st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +1.2+1.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.9-9.91st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +1.2+1.2
Penn StateWisconsin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campbell
#222
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
26-58
26
58
-32
A10/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H13/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H21/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H07/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A10/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H15/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A18/01
NCAA
73.3Avg total
31.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.336.071.3-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.033.469.4+2.658%-
Last 30 away (11)34.040.574.5-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)31.741.673.3-9.930%-
Last 5 (5)30.042.072.0-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.735.871.4-0.144%-
vs Similar (10)36.538.775.2-2.240%-
vs Weaker (4)30.530.260.8+0.275%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#290
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A11/12
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A20/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H23/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H31/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H04/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H17/01
NCAA
71.2Avg total
37.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.733.673.3+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.233.076.2+10.289%-
Last 30 away (12)34.534.669.1-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.234.071.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.675.4+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.541.579.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (14)37.136.073.1+1.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.630.172.8+12.593%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Penn State wins
6
Wisconsin wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Wisconsin v Penn State75-86
17/01/24Penn State v Wisconsin87-83
09/02/23Penn State v Wisconsin74-79 OT
18/01/23Wisconsin v Penn State63-60
05/02/22Wisconsin v Penn State51-49
12/03/21Wisconsin v Penn State75-74
03/02/21Wisconsin v Penn State72-56
30/01/21Penn State v Wisconsin81-71
11/01/20Penn State v Wisconsin49-58
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26AMaryland73-96
15/01/26HUCLA60-71
10/01/26APurdue85-93
07/01/26HMichigan72-74
04/01/26HIllinois65-73
29/12/25HN. Carolina Central90-67
21/12/25HPittsburgh46-80
13/12/25HMichigan State72-76
10/12/25AIndiana72-113
02/12/25HCampbell87-76
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HRutgers96-87
14/01/26AMinnesota78-75
10/01/26AMichigan91-88
07/01/26HUCLA80-72
04/01/26HPurdue73-89
31/12/25HWisc. Milwaukee80-60
23/12/25HCentral Michigan88-61
20/12/25AVillanova66-76 OT
11/12/25ANebraska60-90
06/12/25HMarquette96-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeLWLLL57%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18144
Win %50%57%25%
Points / game76.876.179.2
Allowed / game76.373.486.2
Point differential+0.6+2.7-7.0
Avg total153.1149.6165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wisconsin
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeWWLWW91%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %72%91%43%
Points / game83.588.376.0
Allowed / game75.770.783.4
Point differential+7.8+17.5-7.4
Avg total159.2159.0159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%73%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska19190100%81.265.4+15.8
2 Michigan1817194%92.769.0+23.7
3 Purdue1917289%84.168.1+16.0
4 Michigan State1917289%78.563.5+14.9
5 Illinois1916384%85.367.6+17.7
6 Iowa1914574%77.962.4+15.5
7 USC1914574%82.675.7+6.9
8 Ohio State1813572%83.272.2+11.1
9 Wisconsin1813572%83.575.7+7.8
10 UCLA1913668%77.769.4+8.3
11 Indiana1912763%81.169.9+11.2
12 Washington1910953%79.474.1+5.3
13 Minnesota1910953%72.868.1+4.7
14 Penn State189950%76.876.3+0.6
15 Northwestern1991047%77.271.7+5.4
16 Rutgers1991047%70.374.1-3.8
17 Oregon1981142%73.974.3-0.3
18 Maryland1981142%74.378.4-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State224971
Wisconsin504898
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