PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Michigan vs Wisconsin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-91
38-37 50-54
Position#6
Record14-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.1
Allowed / game66.9
Michigan
USA
vs
Wisconsin 🏆
USA
Position#57
Record10-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game74.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Michigan v Wisconsin
14 Mar 2026
MICH68
WISC65
10 Jan 2026
MICH88
WISC91
16 Mar 2025
MICH59
WISC53
07 Feb 2024
MICH72
WISC68
26 Feb 2023
MICH87
WISC79
12 Jan 2021
MICH77
WISC54
27 Feb 2020
MICH74
WISC81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wisconsin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#70
W
94-54
94
54
+40
H25/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
102-72
102
72
+30
A26/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
101-61
101
61
+40
H27/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
101-60
101
60
+41
H06/12
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
89-61
89
61
+28
H09/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
101-83
101
83
+18
A14/12
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
102-50
102
50
+52
H21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
112-71
112
71
+41
H30/12
NCAA
USC
#153
W
96-66
96
66
+30
H03/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-33
49-21
59-31
43-41
53-29
48-32
50-25
51-35
53-23
36-38
45-50
56-33
54-33
48-17
60-29
52-42
49-31
47-35
40-31
34-41
162.2Avg total
97.2Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)95.166.9161.9+28.2100%
Season at home (10)98.764.6163.3+34.1100%
Season away (4)86.072.5158.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)97.265.0162.2+32.2100%
Last 5 (5)97.068.4165.4+28.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.274.7141.8-7.533%
vs Similar (10)77.069.9146.9+7.190%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)93.968.4162.2+25.5100%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#246
W
104-83
104
83
+21
A27/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A28/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H04/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
60-90
60
90
-30
A11/12
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
66-76 OT
66
76
-10
A20/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
88-61
88
61
+27
H23/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H31/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H04/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-32
53-51
37-41
26-33
55-32
30-41
43-31
53-45
31-47
29-43
22-35
34-21
40-28
48-33
37-21
43-39
38-45
35-44
45-31
35-41
154.9Avg total
79.5Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.574.1156.7+8.467%
Season at home (10)87.569.1156.6+18.490%
Season away (5)72.684.2156.8-11.620%
Last 10 (10)79.575.4154.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)77.471.6149.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)73.089.0162.0-16.00%
vs Similar (15)75.877.7153.5-1.940%
vs Weaker (14)85.666.4152.0+19.3100%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-24-12+0+12+241st half1st half: +19.3+19.31st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +12.9+12.92nd half: -0.5-0.5
-24-12+0+12+241st half1st half: +19.3+19.31st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +12.9+12.92nd half: -0.5-0.5
MichiganWisconsin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#70
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
59-31
59
31
+28
A26/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H27/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H06/12
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H09/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A14/12
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H21/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
60-29
60
29
+31
H30/12
NCAA
USC
#153
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H03/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A07/01
NCAA
82.3Avg total
50.8Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.733.575.3+8.267%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.832.676.4+11.374%-
Last 30 away (11)38.135.273.3+2.955%-
Last 10 (10)50.831.582.3+19.390%-
Last 5 (5)49.634.884.4+14.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.734.767.3-2.050%-
vs Similar (10)36.731.868.5+4.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)49.234.383.5+14.979%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#246
W
51-32
51
32
+19
A27/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A28/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H04/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H06/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A11/12
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A20/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H23/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H31/12
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H04/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/01
NCAA
74.2Avg total
39.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.633.773.3+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.632.975.5+9.689%-
Last 30 away (12)35.234.870.0+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)39.934.374.2+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.432.068.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)38.045.083.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (15)37.036.173.1+0.960%-
vs Weaker (14)42.530.472.9+12.193%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Michigan wins
3
Wisconsin wins
DateGameScore
16/03/25Michigan v Wisconsin59-53
04/12/24Wisconsin v Michigan64-67
08/02/24Michigan v Wisconsin72-68
26/02/23Michigan v Wisconsin87-79 OT
15/02/23Wisconsin v Michigan64-59
20/02/22Wisconsin v Michigan77-63
14/02/21Wisconsin v Michigan59-67
13/01/21Michigan v Wisconsin77-54
28/02/20Michigan v Wisconsin74-81
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26APenn State74-72
03/01/26HUSC96-66
30/12/25HMcNeese State112-71
21/12/25HLa Salle102-50
14/12/25AMaryland101-83
09/12/25HVillanova89-61
06/12/25HRutgers101-60
27/11/25HGonzaga101-61
26/11/25AAuburn102-72
25/11/25HSan Diego State94-54
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26HUCLA80-72
04/01/26HPurdue73-89
31/12/25HWisc. Milwaukee80-60
23/12/25HCentral Michigan88-61
20/12/25AVillanova66-76 OT
11/12/25ANebraska60-90
06/12/25HMarquette96-76
04/12/25HNorthwestern85-73
28/11/25ATCU63-74
27/11/25AProvidence104-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.198.786.0
Allowed / game66.964.672.5
Point differential+28.2+34.1+13.5
Avg total161.9163.3158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%90%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %7%10%0%
Wisconsin
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %67%90%20%
Points / game82.587.572.6
Allowed / game74.169.184.2
Point differential+8.4+18.4-11.6
Avg total156.7156.6156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %7%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan14140100%95.166.9+28.2
2 Nebraska16160100%81.266.4+14.8
3 Purdue1514193%86.066.9+19.1
4 Michigan State1614288%78.964.5+14.4
5 USC1613381%84.376.5+7.8
6 Illinois1512380%86.767.3+19.4
7 Iowa1512380%79.860.8+19.0
8 Indiana1612475%84.568.0+16.5
9 Ohio State1511473%83.771.3+12.4
10 UCLA1510567%79.770.0+9.7
11 Wisconsin1510567%82.574.1+8.4
12 Minnesota1610662%73.066.1+6.9
13 Washington159660%81.773.1+8.7
14 Penn State159660%77.774.2+3.5
15 Northwestern158753%79.470.8+8.6
16 Oregon168850%76.773.2+3.4
17 Rutgers168850%69.373.1-3.8
18 Maryland157847%74.678.1-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan385088
Wisconsin375491
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.