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Penrith P. W vs BA CoE W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 68-78
20-23 17-20 17-17 14-18
Position#11
Record3-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#7
Record6-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game71.0
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrith P. W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BA CoE W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penrith P. WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast W
#6
L
57-86
57
86
-29
A14/04
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#15
L
72-104
72
104
-32
A19/04
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A20/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
84-72 OT
84
72
+12
H26/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H04/05
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
59-117
59
117
-58
H12/05
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#13
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A18/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
76-99
76
99
-23
A25/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
11-23
11-14
20-25
23-28
15-31
17-26
17-19
17-22
5-20
20-23
14-14
13-19
21-15
21-11
14-24
22-25
19-20
10-17
24-18
10-10
13-4
16-25
17-14
7-20
16-28
21-16
24-14
8-32
24-29
16-31
11-25
18-10
26-19
8-23
17-16
18-28
17-22
20-24
21-25
150.8Avg total
67.2Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)67.584.5152.0-17.127%
Season at home (4)68.580.5149.0-12.050%
Season away (7)66.986.9153.7-20.014%
Last 10 (10)67.283.6150.8-16.430%
Last 5 (5)65.683.0148.6-17.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)56.583.0139.5-26.45%
vs Similar (6)69.573.2142.7-3.750%
vs Weaker (3)76.363.3139.7+13.067%
This opponent (BA CoE W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BA CoE WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast W
#6
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A26/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
69-56
69
56
+13
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H04/05
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H05/05
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#16
W
83-46
83
46
+37
A12/05
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A18/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H19/05
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
L
66-88
66
88
-22
H25/05
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H26/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
20-18
18-9
16-11
23-11
17-15
18-14
11-16
19-28
12-17
21-13
16-17
13-14
18-19
12-22
14-18
13-20
26-19
11-10
14-24
23-12
26-7
16-18
18-9
15-13
24-11
19-19
15-25
21-24
18-20
14-22
20-20
19-16
15-26
16-22
16-24
19-10
19-12
10-15
27-19
138.1Avg total
69.7Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.171.0143.1+1.150%
Season at home (6)72.075.5147.5-3.533%
Season away (6)72.266.5138.7+5.767%
Last 10 (10)69.768.4138.1+1.350%
Last 5 (5)74.068.8142.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.183.1155.2-11.00%
vs Similar (9)77.876.8154.6+1.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.862.3145.2+20.592%
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
Penrith P. WBA CoE W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penrith P. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast W
#6
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A14/04
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#15
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A19/04
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A20/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H26/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
W
23-14
23
14
+9
H04/05
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
32-61
32
61
-29
H12/05
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#13
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A18/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A25/05
NBL1 East Women
74.7Avg total
31.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.540.970.3-11.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.639.569.1-9.927%-
Last 30 away (15)29.342.371.6-12.920%-
Last 10 (10)31.842.974.7-11.120%-
Last 5 (5)31.440.471.8-9.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)26.243.269.4-17.014%-
vs Similar (6)37.237.074.2+0.233%-
vs Weaker (3)37.032.369.3+4.767%-
This opponent (BA CoE W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BA CoE WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast W
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H04/05
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/05
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#16
W
49-19
49
19
+30
A12/05
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A18/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/05
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H25/05
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H26/05
NBL1 East Women
71.2Avg total
37.5Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.776.2+2.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.239.078.2+0.238%-
Last 30 away (17)39.834.974.7+4.953%-
Last 10 (10)37.533.771.2+3.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.830.270.0+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.042.478.4-6.412%-
vs Similar (9)39.740.179.8-0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.730.872.5+10.969%-
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penrith P. W wins
1
BA CoE W wins
DateGameScore
25/03/23BA CoE W v Penrith P. W88-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/24AAlbury W76-99
18/05/24AMaitland Mustangs W69-68
12/05/24HAlbury W59-117
11/05/24ANorths Bears W68-78
04/05/24HCanberra W56-53
27/04/24HNewcastle Falcons W75-80
26/04/24HHills Hornets W84-72 OT
20/04/24AIllawarra Hawks W56-79
19/04/24ABankstown Bruins W72-104
14/04/24ACentral Coast W57-86
BA CoE Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/24HIllawarra Hawks W75-56
25/05/24HCentral Coast W66-88
19/05/24HAlbury W73-86
18/05/24ASutherland Sharks W73-68
12/05/24AInner West Bulls W83-46
11/05/24ANewcastle Falcons W64-73
05/05/24HNorths Bears W57-73
04/05/24HSydney Comets W68-75
27/04/24AHills Hornets W69-56
26/04/24ACentral Coast W69-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penrith P. W
NBL1 East Women 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL27%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %27%50%14%
Points / game67.568.566.9
Allowed / game84.580.586.9
Point differential-17.1-12.0-20.0
Avg total152.0149.0153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%25%0%
BA CoE W
NBL1 East Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game72.172.072.2
Allowed / game71.075.566.5
Point differential+1.1-3.5+5.7
Avg total143.1147.5138.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Albury W12120100%98.264.5+33.7
2 Norths Bears W1312192%76.063.0+13.0
3 Manly W. W109190%83.962.8+21.1
4 Newcastle Falcons W1311285%81.868.8+12.9
5 Central Coast W118373%82.874.3+8.5
6 BA CoE W126650%72.171.0+1.1
7 Illawarra Hawks W136746%68.667.0+1.6
8 Sutherland Sharks W115645%75.079.4-4.4
9 Sydney Comets W125742%68.671.9-3.3
10 Hills Hornets W104640%70.876.0-5.2
11 Canberra W135838%74.578.8-4.4
12 Maitland Mustangs W124833%67.672.9-5.3
13 Penrith P. W113827%67.584.5-17.1
14 Hornsby S. W1331023%69.885.0-15.2
15 Bankstown Bruins W1321115%74.881.2-6.4
16 Inner West Bulls W131128%52.079.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penrith P. W2017171468
BA CoE W2320171878
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