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Penrith P. W vs Canberra W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 56-53
10-10 13-4 16-25 17-14
Position#11
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game77.5
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2024
Meetings · Penrith P. W v Canberra W
15 Jun 2025
PENR65
CANB76
04 May 2024
PENR56
CANB53
23 Apr 2023
PENR46
CANB61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrith P. W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penrith P. WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland Mustangs W
#6
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H09/07
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
50-91
50
91
-41
H15/07
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#11
L
53-68
53
68
-15
H22/07
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#12
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A23/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
70-94
70
94
-24
A06/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
L
57-86
57
86
-29
A14/04
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#15
L
72-104
72
104
-32
A19/04
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A20/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
84-72 OT
84
72
+12
H26/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
18-12
9-16
6-6
7-24
15-26
13-22
15-19
13-16
11-18
16-14
13-20
12-16
15-15
14-12
6-14
13-22
22-32
13-27
22-13
15-24
11-23
11-14
20-25
23-28
15-31
17-26
17-19
17-22
5-20
20-23
14-14
13-19
21-15
21-11
14-24
22-25
19-20
10-17
24-18
139.7Avg total
61.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.085.8154.8-16.817%
Season at home (2)79.576.0155.5+3.550%
Season away (4)63.890.8154.5-27.00%
Last 10 (10)61.278.5139.7-17.310%
Last 5 (5)68.884.2153.0-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)56.382.6138.9-26.30%
vs Similar (6)71.874.2146.0-2.350%
vs Weaker (3)76.363.3139.7+13.067%
This opponent (Canberra W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets W
#15
W
91-40
91
40
+51
H08/07
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#8
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H15/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
H22/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#13
W
104-56
104
56
+48
A23/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H06/04
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#13
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A13/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
52-84
52
84
-32
A14/04
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#4
L
54-98
54
98
-44
H20/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
W
100-78
100
78
+22
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#15
W
99-80
99
80
+19
H28/04
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-10
20-10
20-10
23-10
16-17
5-19
15-12
23-25
7-34
21-27
22-10
28-21
21-10
22-12
28-18
33-16
19-14
16-14
18-15
11-11
20-22
13-20
11-9
24-20
14-21
18-20
12-28
8-15
11-27
19-14
9-25
15-32
35-26
21-21
20-16
24-15
20-21
28-24
22-16
29-19
149.5Avg total
76.9Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.877.5150.3-4.750%
Season at home (4)79.277.5156.8+1.875%
Season away (2)60.077.5137.5-17.50%
Last 10 (10)76.972.6149.5+4.350%
Last 5 (5)74.682.2156.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.083.6147.6-19.69%
vs Similar (5)63.868.8132.6-5.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.062.1149.1+24.979%
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
Penrith P. WCanberra W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penrith P. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland Mustangs W
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H09/07
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
22-50
22
50
-28
H15/07
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#11
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H22/07
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#12
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A23/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A06/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A14/04
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#15
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A19/04
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A20/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H26/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
73.0Avg total
30.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)29.641.170.7-11.621%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.939.869.7-9.823%-
Last 30 away (15)29.342.371.6-13.120%-
Last 10 (10)30.242.873.0-12.610%-
Last 5 (5)32.245.477.6-13.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)25.943.869.7-17.811%-
vs Similar (6)37.337.274.5+0.233%-
vs Weaker (3)37.032.369.3+4.767%-
This opponent (Canberra W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets W
#15
W
48-20
48
20
+28
H08/07
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#8
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H15/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
28-61
28
61
-33
H22/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#13
W
43-22
43
22
+21
A23/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H06/04
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A13/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A14/04
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H20/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#15
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H28/04
NBL1 East Women
75.7Avg total
37.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.035.874.8+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.236.175.3+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)38.935.474.3+3.464%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.375.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.283.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.143.976.0-11.818%-
vs Similar (5)35.033.668.6+1.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.930.276.1+15.786%-
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penrith P. W wins
2
Canberra W wins
DateGameScore
03/06/23Canberra W v Penrith P. W93-48
23/04/23Penrith P. W v Canberra W46-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HNewcastle Falcons W75-80
26/04/24HHills Hornets W84-72 OT
20/04/24AIllawarra Hawks W56-79
19/04/24ABankstown Bruins W72-104
14/04/24ACentral Coast W57-86
06/04/24ASutherland Sharks W70-94
23/07/23AInner West Bulls W47-57
22/07/23HCentral Coast W53-68
15/07/23HNorths Bears W50-91
09/07/23HMaitland Mustangs W48-54
Canberra Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24HBankstown Bruins W99-80
27/04/24HHornsby S. W100-78
20/04/24HManly W. W54-98
14/04/24ANewcastle Falcons W52-84
13/04/24AMaitland Mustangs W68-71
06/04/24HIllawarra Hawks W64-54
23/07/23AIllawarra Hawks W104-56
22/07/23HSutherland Sharks W78-92
15/07/23HAlbury W59-73
08/07/23HHills Hornets W91-40

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penrith P. W
NBL1 East Women 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game69.079.563.8
Allowed / game85.876.090.8
Point differential-16.8+3.5-27.0
Avg total154.8155.5154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%50%0%
Canberra W
NBL1 East Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game72.879.260.0
Allowed / game77.577.577.5
Point differential-4.7+1.8-17.5
Avg total150.3156.8137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Albury W660100%94.259.3+34.8
2 Manly W. W440100%89.258.5+30.8
3 Newcastle Falcons W770100%80.461.3+19.1
4 Norths Bears W65183%74.859.0+15.8
5 Central Coast W75271%80.971.6+9.3
6 BA CoE W53260%74.872.4+2.4
7 Maitland Mustangs W63350%72.369.8+2.5
8 Illawarra Hawks W63350%66.065.7+0.3
9 Canberra W63350%72.877.5-4.7
10 Sutherland Sharks W63350%72.579.8-7.3
11 Bankstown Bruins W72529%75.377.7-2.4
12 Sydney Comets W72529%65.076.1-11.1
13 Hills Hornets W51420%66.474.0-7.6
14 Penrith P. W61517%69.085.8-16.8
15 Hornsby S. W81712%66.586.4-19.9
16 Inner West Bulls W81712%55.479.1-23.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penrith P. W1013161756
Canberra W104251453
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