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Maitland Mustangs W vs Penrith P. W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 May 2024
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 68-69
10-18 19-26 23-8 16-17
Position#13
Record3-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#11
Record2-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game84.8
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2024
Meetings · Maitland Mustangs W v Penrith P. W
24 May 2025
MAIT65
PENR68
18 May 2024
MAIT68
PENR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maitland Mustangs W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penrith P. W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maitland Mustangs WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury W
#8
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A22/07
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A29/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H06/04
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#16
W
81-49
81
49
+32
H07/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H13/04
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A20/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
L
73-78 OT
73
78
-5
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
65-99
65
99
-34
A04/05
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
L
56-72
56
72
-16
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
22-18
21-19
14-15
15-26
16-18
15-15
11-22
13-19
10-18
20-24
20-15
22-20
15-4
22-11
22-14
22-20
20-13
9-11
20-24
17-16
24-20
22-23
21-15
8-19
16-14
16-21
22-20
15-14
15-25
22-20
15-8
8-23
27-22
15-31
15-23
22-16
8-24
17-17
9-15
142.1Avg total
67.9Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.473.8143.1-4.438%
Season at home (5)66.667.8134.4-1.240%
Season away (3)74.083.7157.7-9.733%
Last 10 (10)67.974.2142.1-6.330%
Last 5 (5)68.079.4147.4-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.375.9142.3-9.640%
vs Similar ◀ (3)63.070.0133.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (12)72.656.6129.2+16.083%
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P. WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls W
#12
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A23/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
70-94
70
94
-24
A06/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
L
57-86
57
86
-29
A14/04
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#15
L
72-104
72
104
-32
A19/04
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A20/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
84-72 OT
84
72
+12
H26/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H04/05
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
59-117
59
117
-58
H12/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-16
15-15
14-12
6-14
13-22
22-32
13-27
22-13
15-24
11-23
11-14
20-25
23-28
15-31
17-26
17-19
17-22
5-20
20-23
14-14
13-19
21-15
21-11
14-24
22-25
19-20
10-17
24-18
10-10
13-4
16-25
17-14
7-20
16-28
21-16
24-14
8-32
24-29
16-31
11-25
146.4Avg total
64.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)66.384.8151.1-18.422%
Season at home (4)68.580.5149.0-12.050%
Season away (5)64.688.2152.8-23.60%
Last 10 (10)64.482.0146.4-17.620%
Last 5 (5)68.480.0148.4-11.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)56.882.4139.2-25.75%
vs Similar ◀ (6)71.874.2146.0-2.350%
vs Weaker (3)76.363.3139.7+13.067%
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -7.8-7.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -7.8-7.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
Maitland Mustangs WPenrith P. W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maitland Mustangs WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury W
#8
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A22/07
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A29/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H06/04
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#16
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H07/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H13/04
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A20/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A04/05
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
69.3Avg total
32.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.367.7+1.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.630.865.4+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)34.236.270.4-2.029%-
Last 10 (10)32.536.869.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)32.038.670.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.937.068.9-5.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)29.040.369.3-11.30%-
vs Weaker (12)38.926.965.8+12.075%-
This opponent (Penrith P. W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls W
#12
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A23/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A06/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A14/04
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#15
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A19/04
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A20/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H26/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
W
23-14
23
14
+9
H04/05
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A11/05
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#1
L
32-61
32
61
-29
H12/05
NBL1 East Women
73.6Avg total
30.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.340.870.1-11.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.639.569.1-9.927%-
Last 30 away (15)29.142.171.1-13.020%-
Last 10 (10)30.143.573.6-13.410%-
Last 5 (5)30.640.471.0-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)26.043.069.0-17.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.337.274.5+0.233%-
vs Weaker (3)37.032.369.3+4.767%-
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Maitland Mustangs W wins
0
Penrith P. W wins
DateGameScore
09/07/23Penrith P. W v Maitland Mustangs W48-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24HHills Hornets W56-72
04/05/24AAlbury W65-99
27/04/24ACentral Coast W73-78 OT
25/04/24HHornsby S. W62-74
20/04/24ASutherland Sharks W84-74
13/04/24HCanberra W71-68
07/04/24HInner West Bulls W81-49
06/04/24HNewcastle Falcons W63-76
29/07/23ANorths Bears W57-81
22/07/23AAlbury W67-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24HAlbury W59-117
11/05/24ANorths Bears W68-78
04/05/24HCanberra W56-53
27/04/24HNewcastle Falcons W75-80
26/04/24HHills Hornets W84-72 OT
20/04/24AIllawarra Hawks W56-79
19/04/24ABankstown Bruins W72-104
14/04/24ACentral Coast W57-86
06/04/24ASutherland Sharks W70-94
23/07/23AInner West Bulls W47-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maitland Mustangs W
NBL1 East Women 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game69.466.674.0
Allowed / game73.867.883.7
Point differential-4.4-1.2-9.7
Avg total143.1134.4157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%33%
Penrith P. W
NBL1 East Women 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL22%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game66.368.564.6
Allowed / game84.880.588.2
Point differential-18.4-12.0-23.6
Avg total151.1149.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Albury W990100%97.061.4+35.6
2 Manly W. W880100%86.862.0+24.8
3 Newcastle Falcons W98189%78.863.4+15.3
4 Norths Bears W98189%74.159.7+14.4
5 Central Coast W86275%82.272.5+9.8
6 BA CoE W84450%72.269.2+3.0
7 Sutherland Sharks W84450%72.678.2-5.6
8 Illawarra Hawks W94544%67.767.1+0.6
9 Hills Hornets W94544%69.774.3-4.7
10 Maitland Mustangs W83538%69.473.8-4.4
11 Canberra W93633%71.076.3-5.3
12 Sydney Comets W93633%66.774.8-8.1
13 Bankstown Bruins W82625%75.079.5-4.5
14 Penrith P. W92722%66.384.8-18.4
15 Hornsby S. W101910%65.585.8-20.3
16 Inner West Bulls W101910%54.378.8-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maitland Mustangs W1019231668
Penrith P. W182681769
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