Perth vs Cairns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Nov 2010

Tip-off: 08:00

Final 64-72

15-18 11-17 16-11 22-26

Position#4

Record5-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game89.8

Allowed / game81.2

Perth

Cairns 🏆

Position#3

Record4-2

FormWLWWW

Points / game84.2

Allowed / game76.8

NBLRound 7

Other2010-11

Meetings · Perth v Cairns

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cairns winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Wolves

63-75

-12

A09/03

NBL

Wolves

96-72

+24

H12/03

NBL

Adelaide

69-74

-5

A17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

94-96

-2

A20/10

NBL

Melbourne United

91-66

+25

A24/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

87-84

H29/10

NBL

Townsville

101-86

101

+15

A05/11

NBL

Cairns

69-86

-17

A06/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

114-74

114

+40

H14/11

NBL

Melbourne United

93-84

A19/11

NBL

20-16

13-16

18-22

12-21

25-31

22-17

31-15

18-9

13-19

12-16

18-15

26-24

33-23

22-26

23-21

16-26

24-17

22-22

23-15

22-12

30-30

17-10

19-27

21-17

20-20

30-24

18-18

33-24

11-16

22-17

17-21

19-32

33-24

25-21

24-19

32-10

32-24

20-20

17-25

24-15

167.4Avg total

87.7Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	89.8	81.2	171.0	+8.5	62%
Season at home (2)	100.5	79.0	179.5	+21.5	100%
Season away (6)	86.2	82.0	168.2	+4.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	87.7	79.7	167.4	+8.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	92.8	82.8	175.6	+10.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	87.6	81.9	169.5	+5.7	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	83.3	77.9	161.2	+5.4	63%

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

87-81 OT

H23/01

NBL

Perth

79-76

H03/02

NBL

Townsville

76-89

-13

A06/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

79-84

-5

H13/02

NBL

Townsville

70-79

-9

A16/10

NBL

Adelaide

85-74

+11

H23/10

NBL

Gold Coast

81-92

-11

A29/10

NBL

Perth

86-69

+17

H06/11

NBL

Gold Coast

96-76

+20

H13/11

NBL

Adelaide

87-71

+16

H20/11

NBL

23-15

14-28

20-11

17-20

15-26

26-20

20-16

18-14

23-27

12-22

24-13

17-27

22-20

23-24

15-23

19-17

15-16

19-22

20-23

16-18

21-15

20-23

25-17

19-19

29-15

18-29

14-21

20-27

16-11

17-22

21-17

32-19

33-26

25-18

18-16

20-16

24-21

25-14

20-19

18-17

161.7Avg total

82.6Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	84.2	76.8	161.0	+7.3	67%
Season at home (4)	88.5	72.5	161.0	+16.0	100%
Season away (2)	75.5	85.5	161.0	-10.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	79.1	161.7	+3.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	76.4	163.4	+10.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	72.4	78.0	150.4	-5.6	33%
vs Similar (10)	78.9	84.4	163.3	-5.5	40%
vs Weaker (2)	86.0	72.5	158.5	+13.5	100%

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PerthCairns

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.0	43.5	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.6	21.0	44.6	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.5	21.1	42.6	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	22.0	46.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	22.8	48.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	24.2	21.5	45.7	+2.6	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.4	20.7	42.2	+0.7	53%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.9	39.5	-2.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.2	41.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	17.6	42.2	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.7	20.2	37.8	-2.5	28%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	18.0	40.5	+4.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	21.8	42.5	-1.0	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.4	41.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.6	39.2	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	21.3	38.7	-3.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.2	42.1	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.2	20.2	38.3	-2.0	28%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.4	21.9	40.3	-3.5	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	50%	-

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Wolves

33-32

A09/03

NBL

Wolves

47-48

-1

H12/03

NBL

Adelaide

25-35

-10

A17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

55-49

A20/10

NBL

Melbourne United

46-39

A24/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

47-40

H29/10

NBL

Townsville

50-44

A05/11

NBL

Cairns

33-33

A06/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

58-45

+13

H14/11

NBL

Melbourne United

52-44

A19/11

NBL

85.5Avg total

44.6Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	41.0	84.0	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.0	38.5	82.5	+5.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.3	42.8	85.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	40.9	85.5	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	41.2	89.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	46.2	42.7	88.9	+3.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	41.2	39.9	81.2	+1.3	58%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

37-43

-6

H23/01

NBL

Perth

41-46

-5

H03/02

NBL

Townsville

35-49

-14

A06/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

45-44

H13/02

NBL

Townsville

34-38

-4

A16/10

NBL

Adelaide

41-38

H23/10

NBL

Gold Coast

47-44

A29/10

NBL

Perth

33-33

H06/11

NBL

Gold Coast

58-44

+14

H13/11

NBL

Adelaide

49-35

+14

H20/11

NBL

83.4Avg total

42.0Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	40.9	78.5	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.2	39.7	78.9	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	42.2	78.1	-6.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	41.4	83.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	38.8	84.4	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	35.8	40.3	76.2	-4.5	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.2	42.9	82.1	-3.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	45.0	36.5	81.5	+8.5	100%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	19.1	40.5	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.9	19.8	38.6	-0.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	20.5	19.1	39.5	+1.4	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.1	37%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.3	36.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	18.1	38.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.4	18.6	35.0	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.6	37.3	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.9	18.0	34.9	-1.1	39%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	18.0	40.5	+4.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	15.9	37.7	+5.8	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.0	41.3	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	19.6	45.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.7	17.9	39.6	+3.8	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.7	38.5	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.9	39.2	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	20.5	37.9	-3.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.9	19.3	38.2	-0.4	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.8	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	18.0	36.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	38.2	79.6	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.2	35.0	78.2	+8.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.1	40.6	80.6	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	38.8	81.9	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	41.6	86.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	41.5	39.2	80.6	+2.3	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	41.4	37.6	79.0	+3.8	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	38.0	75.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	36.9	77.3	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.8	39.1	72.9	-5.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	37.0	76.3	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	37.6	79.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	35.8	37.3	73.1	-1.4	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.5	39.7	78.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	36.0	77.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth wins

Cairns wins

Date	Game	Score
06/11/10	Cairns v Perth	86-69
03/02/10	Cairns v Perth	79-76
16/01/10	Perth v Cairns	86-61
14/11/09	Perth v Cairns	79-64
03/10/09	Cairns v Perth	89-71

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/11/10	A	Melbourne United	93-84
14/11/10	H	New Zealand Breakers	114-74
06/11/10	A	Cairns	69-86
05/11/10	A	Townsville	101-86
29/10/10	H	Illawarra Hawks	87-84
24/10/10	A	Melbourne United	91-66
20/10/10	A	New Zealand Breakers	94-96
17/10/10	A	Adelaide	69-74
12/03/10	H	Wolves	96-72
09/03/10	A	Wolves	63-75

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/10	H	Adelaide	87-71
13/11/10	H	Gold Coast	96-76
06/11/10	H	Perth	86-69
29/10/10	A	Gold Coast	81-92
23/10/10	H	Adelaide	85-74
16/10/10	A	Townsville	70-79
13/02/10	H	New Zealand Breakers	79-84
06/02/10	A	Townsville	76-89
03/02/10	H	Perth	79-76
23/01/10	H	Townsville	87-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	62%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LWWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	2	6
Win %	62%	100%	50%
Points / game	89.8	100.5	86.2
Allowed / game	81.2	79.0	82.0
Point differential	+8.5	+21.5	+4.2
Avg total	171.0	179.5	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Cairns

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	67%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	67%	100%	0%
Points / game	84.2	88.5	75.5
Allowed / game	76.8	72.5	85.5
Point differential	+7.3	+16.0	-10.0
Avg total	161.0	161.0	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Illawarra Hawks	8	7	1	88%	84.4	76.1	+8.2
2	New Zealand Breakers	8	6	2	75%	84.0	83.5	+0.5
3	Cairns	6	4	2	67%	84.2	76.8	+7.3
4	Perth	8	5	3	62%	89.8	81.2	+8.5
5	Townsville	8	5	3	62%	80.0	76.6	+3.4
6	Adelaide	7	2	5	29%	77.0	81.6	-4.6
7	Gold Coast	7	2	5	29%	83.0	90.1	-7.1
8	Sydney	6	1	5	17%	73.2	78.5	-5.3
9	Melbourne United	8	1	7	12%	76.5	88.4	-11.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Perth	15	11	16	22	64
Cairns	18	17	11	26	72

← all games of the day

Perth vs Cairns Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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