Perth vs Cairns Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2020

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 108-107 (OT)

29-20 16-34 23-17 25-22 15-14

Position#2

Record19-9

FormWLWWW

Points / game90.3

Allowed / game86.0

Perth 🏆

Cairns

Position#3

Record16-12

FormWWWLL

Points / game92.4

Allowed / game91.0

NBLNBL - Semi-finals

Other2019-20

Meetings · Perth v Cairns

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cairns winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

98-85

+13

A28/12

NBL

Adelaide

97-100

100

-3

A01/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

85-97

-12

A05/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

99-77

+22

A10/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

97-71

+26

H17/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

80-79

H25/01

NBL

Melbourne United

67-77

-10

A29/01

NBL

Sydney

110-100

110

100

+10

H01/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

85-72

+13

H09/02

NBL

Adelaide

94-79

+15

H15/02

NBL

24-22

20-28

26-15

28-20

27-25

18-24

21-29

31-22

20-28

27-24

21-21

17-24

27-17

27-19

19-24

26-17

19-10

25-23

30-15

23-23

29-23

16-22

21-15

14-19

13-26

21-14

14-15

19-22

31-27

29-25

29-21

21-27

21-19

20-20

19-16

25-17

24-18

23-18

22-27

25-16

174.9Avg total

91.2Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	90.3	86.0	176.4	+4.3	68%
Season at home (14)	91.5	83.3	174.8	+8.2	79%
Season away (14)	89.1	88.8	177.9	+0.4	57%
Last 10 (10)	91.2	83.7	174.9	+7.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	81.4	168.6	+5.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	87.3	85.5	172.8	+1.8	65%
vs Weaker (10)	97.6	85.0	182.6	+12.6	80%

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

92-84

H31/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

91-89

H03/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

85-79

H09/01

NBL

Sydney

83-92

-9

A11/01

NBL

Adelaide

108-91

108

+17

H18/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

103-102

103

102

A26/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

99-75

+24

H31/01

NBL

Adelaide

99-80

+19

A08/02

NBL

Melbourne United

83-99

-16

A13/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

88-124

124

-36

A15/02

NBL

26-22

11-21

32-19

23-22

23-19

25-24

29-16

14-30

20-25

30-19

14-20

21-15

16-23

21-21

23-24

30-18

24-25

31-28

23-20

31-31

24-20

31-21

17-30

23-17

34-23

28-17

14-18

27-20

30-25

17-16

25-19

18-20

24-25

25-23

16-31

15-39

30-24

24-35

19-26

184.6Avg total

93.1Scored

91.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	92.4	91.0	183.4	+1.4	57%
Season at home (14)	92.2	85.9	178.1	+6.4	79%
Season away (14)	92.6	96.1	188.6	-3.5	36%
Last 10 (10)	93.1	91.5	184.6	+1.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	94.4	96.0	190.4	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	85.5	87.0	172.5	-1.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	88.5	88.9	177.5	-0.4	59%
vs Weaker (11)	98.4	94.1	192.5	+4.3	55%

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PerthCairns

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	22.2	45.2	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.2	21.0	45.2	+3.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	23.3	45.2	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.5	45.0	+2.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.6	46.2	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.9	22.4	44.3	-0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.2	21.7	46.9	+3.5	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.3	45.5	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.9	23.3	46.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	23.4	46.3	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	25.4	48.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	24.0	47.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.0	22.1	43.1	-1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (11)	26.6	22.4	49.0	+4.3	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	21.8	45.2	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	21.7	45.7	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	21.9	44.7	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.7	44.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	23.6	22.1	45.8	+1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.7	21.3	44.0	+1.4	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	23.3	47.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.9	23.2	48.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.2	23.4	46.6	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	22.7	48.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.4	23.4	51.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	20.5	44.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	24.6	22.1	46.8	+2.5	59%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.1	25.6	48.7	-2.5	27%	-

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

44-50

-6

A28/12

NBL

Adelaide

45-49

-4

A01/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

47-52

-5

A05/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

54-36

+18

A10/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

44-33

+11

H17/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

45-45

H25/01

NBL

Melbourne United

34-40

-6

A29/01

NBL

Sydney

60-52

H01/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

41-39

H09/02

NBL

Adelaide

47-36

+11

H15/02

NBL

89.3Avg total

46.1Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.4	44.0	90.4	+2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.1	42.7	90.9	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.6	45.3	89.9	-0.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	43.2	89.3	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	42.4	87.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	45.6	44.5	90.1	+1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	47.9	43.0	90.9	+4.9	50%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

37-43

-6

H31/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

48-43

H03/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

50-44

H09/01

NBL

Sydney

37-44

-7

A11/01

NBL

Adelaide

54-43

+11

H18/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

55-51

A26/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

57-40

+17

H31/01

NBL

Adelaide

57-45

+12

A08/02

NBL

Melbourne United

42-45

-3

A13/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

45-63

-18

A15/02

NBL

94.3Avg total

48.2Scored

46.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.2	45.6	92.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	48.4	44.4	92.9	+4.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.1	46.7	92.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.2	46.1	94.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.2	48.8	100.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	46.5	44.5	91.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	45.6	44.2	89.9	+1.4	65%	-
vs Weaker (11)	49.7	48.0	97.7	+1.7	55%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.0	21.8	45.8	+2.2	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	21.3	44.4	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.5	19.6	43.1	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.7	22.8	45.5	-0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	21.9	47.3	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	22.4	47.4	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	59%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.5	21.6	46.2	+2.9	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	21.0	43.7	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.7	41.9	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.0	22.4	45.4	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.7	43.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.7	20.2	45.9	+5.5	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.7	43.8	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	23.4	45.2	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	23.5	43.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.8	43.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	21.5	38.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.7	23.5	44.2	-2.8	29%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.5	21.5	44.1	+1.0	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	41.3	85.7	+3.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	39.5	83.1	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.1	43.2	88.3	+1.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	40.5	85.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.0	80.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	41.7	41.0	82.7	+0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	49.7	42.0	91.7	+7.7	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	44.0	88.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.8	41.4	85.2	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.5	46.2	90.8	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	45.4	90.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	47.2	90.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	42.5	81.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	42.9	44.7	87.6	-1.8	41%	-
vs Weaker (11)	47.1	43.2	90.3	+3.9	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth wins

Cairns wins

Date	Game	Score
12/12/19	Cairns v Perth	84-88
23/11/19	Cairns v Perth	91-84
18/10/19	Perth v Cairns	76-99
11/01/19	Perth v Cairns	79-81
31/12/18	Cairns v Perth	78-93
09/12/18	Perth v Cairns	94-72
17/11/18	Cairns v Perth	83-88 OT
18/02/18	Perth v Cairns	89-61
09/02/18	Perth v Cairns	83-85
31/12/17	Cairns v Perth	68-83

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/20	H	Adelaide	94-79
09/02/20	H	Brisbane Bullets	85-72
01/02/20	H	Sydney	110-100
29/01/20	A	Melbourne United	67-77
25/01/20	H	New Zealand Breakers	80-79
17/01/20	H	South East Melbourne	97-71
10/01/20	A	Illawarra Hawks	99-77
05/01/20	A	Brisbane Bullets	85-97
01/01/20	A	Adelaide	97-100
28/12/19	A	Sydney	98-85

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/20	A	Brisbane Bullets	88-124
13/02/20	A	Melbourne United	83-99
08/02/20	A	Adelaide	99-80
31/01/20	H	Illawarra Hawks	99-75
26/01/20	A	South East Melbourne	103-102
18/01/20	H	Adelaide	108-91
11/01/20	A	Sydney	83-92
09/01/20	H	New Zealand Breakers	85-79
03/01/20	H	Brisbane Bullets	91-89
31/12/19	H	South East Melbourne	92-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	68%
Home	WWWWW	79%
Away	WLLWL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	68%	79%	57%
Points / game	90.3	91.5	89.1
Allowed / game	86.0	83.3	88.8
Point differential	+4.3	+8.2	+0.4
Avg total	176.4	174.8	177.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	57%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	88% (8)	100% (2)	83% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Cairns

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	57%
Home	WWWWW	79%
Away	LWWLL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	57%	79%	36%
Points / game	92.4	92.2	92.6
Allowed / game	91.0	85.9	96.1
Point differential	+1.4	+6.4	-3.5
Avg total	183.4	178.1	188.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	21%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	28	20	8	71%	94.4	88.3	+6.1
2	Perth	28	19	9	68%	90.3	86.0	+4.3
3	Cairns	28	16	12	57%	92.4	91.0	+1.4
4	Melbourne United	28	15	13	54%	94.2	91.4	+2.8
5	Brisbane Bullets	28	15	13	54%	93.1	91.3	+1.8
6	New Zealand Breakers	28	15	13	54%	89.8	88.1	+1.6
7	Adelaide	28	12	16	43%	94.8	98.9	-4.1
8	South East Melbourne	28	9	19	32%	95.4	98.6	-3.2
9	Illawarra Hawks	28	5	23	18%	84.1	94.8	-10.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Perth	29	16	23	25	15	108
Cairns	20	34	17	22	14	107

← all games of the day

Perth vs Cairns Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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