Petrol Olimpija vs Polzela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2019

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 93-72

27-21 26-22 21-10 19-19

Position#2

Record15-11

FormWWLLW

Points / game76.2

Allowed / game75.4

Petrol Olimpija 🏆

Polzela

Position#5

Record14-12

FormWLLWW

Points / game78.3

Allowed / game76.9

Liga Nova KBMRound 9

Other2018-19

Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Polzela

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Polzela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol Olimpija Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FMP Beograd

63-64

-1

A04/03

ABA League

Cedevita

70-98

-28

H10/03

ABA League

Helios Domzale

74-66

H14/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

#12

59-62

-3

A17/03

ABA League

Polzela

59-65

-6

A23/03

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

66-58

H31/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

79-60

+19

H05/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

72-85

-13

H11/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

69-73

-4

A14/04

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

69-63

A17/04

Liga Nova KBM

13-17

23-9

13-22

14-16

29-29

11-22

14-20

16-27

22-10

17-21

23-16

12-19

13-17

18-15

16-16

12-14

9-21

22-10

15-13

13-21

16-20

14-11

14-6

22-21

29-13

14-15

22-11

14-21

25-24

7-14

15-29

25-18

26-19

16-25

14-18

13-11

21-22

12-4

15-9

21-28

137.4Avg total

68.0Scored

69.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	76.2	75.4	151.6	+0.7	58%
Season at home (13)	79.2	74.2	153.3	+5.0	69%
Season away (13)	73.2	76.7	149.8	-3.5	46%
Last 10 (10)	68.0	69.4	137.4	-1.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.0	67.8	138.8	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	71.3	82.7	154.0	-11.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	77.5	74.0	151.5	+3.5	55%
vs Weaker (7)	68.6	67.6	136.1	+1.0	57%

This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Polzela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Helios Suns mladi

83-78

H16/02

Slovenian Cup

KK Primorska

72-91

-19

H17/02

Slovenian Cup

KK Primorska

63-81

-18

H02/03

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

81-76

H09/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

61-81

-20

A13/03

Liga Nova KBM

Petrol Olimpija

65-59

H23/03

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

75-84

-9

A30/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

60-78

-18

A08/04

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

85-69

+16

A10/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

82-81

H17/04

Liga Nova KBM

19-16

29-24

20-24

15-14

25-19

15-23

10-24

22-25

20-27

10-16

20-22

13-16

28-17

21-16

17-18

15-25

18-26

25-13

10-26

8-16

21-9

10-22

13-15

21-13

22-32

15-12

16-14

22-26

20-23

17-23

6-10

17-22

25-17

16-13

27-17

17-22

19-17

29-21

18-20

16-23

150.5Avg total

72.7Scored

77.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	78.3	76.9	155.2	+1.5	54%
Season at home (13)	78.6	74.9	153.5	+3.7	62%
Season away (13)	78.1	78.8	156.9	-0.8	46%
Last 10 (10)	72.7	77.8	150.5	-5.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	74.2	147.6	-0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	67.8	86.0	153.8	-18.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	81.3	78.0	159.3	+3.3	64%
vs Weaker (15)	85.9	74.0	159.9	+11.9	80%

This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Petrol OlimpijaPolzela

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.1	38.5	+0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	17.4	38.5	+3.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	20.5	38.6	-2.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.6	43.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.3	17.0	35.3	+1.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.9	29%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	17.5	40.4	+5.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.7	22.7	45.4	+0.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	23.8	42.5	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.6	18.5	41.1	+4.2	64%	-
vs Weaker (14)	24.1	20.2	44.3	+3.9	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	19.2	36.0	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.4	20.1	36.6	-3.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	18.4	35.4	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	14.6	30.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.6	13.8	26.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	15.8	22.8	38.5	-7.0	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	14.9	15.7	30.6	-0.9	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+1.9	69%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.2	35.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.2	73%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	79%	-

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FMP Beograd

36-26

+10

A04/03

ABA League

Cedevita

40-51

-11

H10/03

ABA League

Helios Domzale

39-31

H14/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

#12

31-32

-1

A17/03

ABA League

Polzela

31-31

A23/03

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

30-31

-1

H31/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

43-28

+15

H05/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

32-38

-6

H11/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

42-44

-2

A14/04

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

33-26

A17/04

Liga Nova KBM

69.5Avg total

35.7Scored

33.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	38.3	74.5	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.5	37.6	75.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.1	38.9	74.0	-3.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	33.8	69.5	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	33.4	69.4	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.9	44.6	81.5	-7.7	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	37.3	34.6	71.9	+2.6	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	33.3	33.3	66.6	+0.0	43%	-

This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Helios Suns mladi

48-40

H16/02

Slovenian Cup

KK Primorska

40-42

-2

H17/02

Slovenian Cup

KK Primorska

30-43

-13

H02/03

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

49-33

+16

H09/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

43-39

A13/03

Liga Nova KBM

Petrol Olimpija

31-31

H23/03

Liga Nova KBM

Helios Domzale

37-44

-7

A30/03

Liga Nova KBM

KK Primorska

37-46

-9

A08/04

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

41-30

+11

A10/04

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

48-38

+10

H17/04

Liga Nova KBM

79.0Avg total

40.4Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.3	38.7	82.0	+4.7	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	36.9	80.4	+6.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.1	40.6	83.7	+2.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	38.6	79.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	37.8	76.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.8	45.8	80.5	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	44.3	37.9	82.2	+6.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (14)	45.1	37.2	82.3	+7.9	71%	-

This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	17.1	38.1	+3.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.4	17.6	34.0	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	16.0	32.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	14.6	30.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.9	18.8	36.7	-0.8	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.2	73%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.9	13.4	31.3	+4.4	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.3	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.7	19.0	34.7	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	15.2	31.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.8	20.2	35.0	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.5	21.7	40.2	-3.3	18%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.8	17.2	38.0	+3.6	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.3	38.5	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	20.8	38.6	-2.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	19.6	35.8	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.5	19.3	35.8	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.5	20.9	41.5	-0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.4	20.9	38.3	-3.4	29%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	18.9	37.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	20.2	36.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.4	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	37.7	74.4	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	36.9	76.4	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.2	38.4	72.6	-4.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.3	35.6	67.9	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	34.4	69.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	34.4	38.1	72.5	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.2	39.4	79.5	+0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (7)	35.3	34.3	69.6	+1.0	29%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.4	38.7	77.0	-0.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	38.5	76.7	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.5	38.9	77.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.3	39.2	71.5	-6.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	36.4	71.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.0	40.2	73.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	37.0	40.1	77.1	-3.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (14)	41.0	37.1	78.1	+3.9	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 71.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game

51%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	18.1	51.1%	54.1%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	6.9	30.8%	32.8%	20.7
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.2	71.7%	72.4%	14.2

They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	18.7	48.2%	54.1%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.1	7.5	33.9%	32.8%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	22.9	17.1	74.7%	72.4%	17.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	18.4	50.0%	54.1%	36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	8.0	35.7%	32.8%	24.1
🏀 Free throws	20.7	15.3	73.9%	72.4%	15.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	19.4	50.7%	54.1%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	8.5	35.2%	32.8%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.9	74.0%	72.4%	15.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Petrol Olimpija wins

Polzela wins

Date	Game	Score
23/03/19	Polzela v Petrol Olimpija	65-59
30/12/18	Polzela v Petrol Olimpija	76-78
21/10/18	Petrol Olimpija v Polzela	98-95
07/01/18	Polzela v Petrol Olimpija	98-104 OT
23/10/17	Petrol Olimpija v Polzela	80-75
15/04/17	Polzela v Petrol Olimpija	89-85
22/03/17	Petrol Olimpija v Polzela	78-60
04/01/17	Petrol Olimpija v Polzela	85-74
14/10/16	Polzela v Petrol Olimpija	78-80
22/04/14	Polzela v Petrol Olimpija	62-71

Petrol Olimpijalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/19	A	Helios Domzale	69-63
14/04/19	A	KK Primorska	69-73
11/04/19	H	KK Primorska	72-85
05/04/19	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	79-60
31/03/19	H	Rogaska	66-58
23/03/19	A	Polzela	59-65
17/03/19	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	59-62
14/03/19	H	Helios Domzale	74-66
10/03/19	H	Cedevita	70-98
04/03/19	A	FMP Beograd	63-64

Polzelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/19	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	82-81
10/04/19	A	Rogaska	85-69
08/04/19	A	KK Primorska	60-78
30/03/19	A	Helios Domzale	75-84
23/03/19	H	Petrol Olimpija	65-59
13/03/19	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	61-81
09/03/19	H	Rogaska	81-76
02/03/19	H	KK Primorska	63-81
17/02/19	H	KK Primorska	72-91
16/02/19	H	Helios Suns mladi	83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija

Liga Nova KBM 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	58%
Home	WWWWL	69%
Away	LWLLW	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	58%	69%	46%
Points / game	76.2	79.2	73.2
Allowed / game	75.4	74.2	76.7
Point differential	+0.7	+5.0	-3.5
Avg total	151.6	153.3	149.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	38%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Polzela

Liga Nova KBM 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	54%
Home	LLWWW	62%
Away	WLLLW	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	54%	62%	46%
Points / game	78.3	78.6	78.1
Allowed / game	76.9	74.9	78.8
Point differential	+1.5	+3.7	-0.8
Avg total	155.2	153.5	156.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	38%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	50% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KK Primorska	26	21	5	81%	84.4	71.0	+13.4
2	KK Krka Novo mesto	26	15	11	58%	79.4	76.0	+3.5
3	Petrol Olimpija	26	15	11	58%	76.2	75.4	+0.7
4	Polzela	26	14	12	54%	78.3	76.9	+1.5
5	Zlatorog Lasko	26	14	12	54%	77.7	78.6	-0.8
6	Rogaska	26	14	12	54%	79.0	81.8	-2.8
7	Sencur	25	12	13	48%	78.6	78.2	+0.4
8	Tajfun Sentjur	25	11	14	44%	76.2	78.1	-1.9
9	Helios Domzale	26	10	16	38%	73.3	76.3	-3.1
10	Perspektiva Ilirija	26	3	23	12%	76.3	87.3	-11.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Petrol Olimpija	27	26	21	19	93
Polzela	21	22	10	19	72

← all games of the day

Petrol Olimpija vs Polzela Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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