Petrol Olimpija vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 96-92

21-33 29-27 31-14 15-18

Position#2

Record12-4

FormWWWWL

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game74.2

Petrol Olimpija 🏆

Sencur

Position#9

Record6-10

FormLLLLW

Points / game73.1

Allowed / game75.4

Liga Nova KBMRound 17

Other2016-17

Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Sencur

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sencur winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol Olimpija Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KK Krka Novo mesto

#14

68-63

A27/12

ABA League

Igokea

80-81

-1

H02/01

ABA League

Polzela

85-74

+11

H04/01

Liga Nova KBM

Mornar Bar

70-93

-23

A08/01

ABA League

Portoroz

#12

93-65

+28

A11/01

Liga Nova KBM

Partizan

74-68

H15/01

ABA League

LTH Castings

#11

90-70

+20

H17/01

Liga Nova KBM

Cibona

79-68

+11

A21/01

ABA League

Zlatorog Lasko

90-86 OT

A25/01

Liga Nova KBM

Karpos

#11

92-97

-5

H29/01

ABA League

18-16

21-11

12-19

17-17

33-16

15-27

16-20

16-18

29-21

19-19

16-17

21-17

14-22

18-27

22-19

16-25

21-13

23-14

23-22

26-16

24-16

14-17

8-20

28-15

19-12

24-17

29-23

18-18

18-21

21-23

16-12

24-12

13-26

14-17

26-8

22-24

24-23

18-28

29-23

21-23

158.6Avg total

82.1Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	82.4	74.2	156.6	+8.2	75%
Season at home (8)	83.8	75.8	159.5	+8.0	75%
Season away (8)	81.0	72.6	153.6	+8.4	75%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	76.5	158.6	+5.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	77.8	162.8	+7.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	72.9	80.5	153.4	-7.6	25%
vs Similar (13)	81.2	80.8	162.0	+0.3	46%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	81.8	67.1	148.9	+14.7	100%

This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sencur

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rogaska

63-77

-14

H10/12

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

77-87

-10

A14/12

Liga Nova KBM

Grosuplje

#16

66-58

H20/12

Slovenian Cup

Polzela

65-72

-7

A23/12

Liga Nova KBM

Portoroz

#12

88-54

+34

H06/01

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

75-76

-1

H10/01

Slovenian Cup

Helios Domzale

71-79

-8

A14/01

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

72-87

-15

A17/01

Slovenian Cup

Zlatorog Lasko

72-88

-16

H21/01

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

69-68

A27/01

Liga Nova KBM

14-23

25-16

10-18

14-20

14-25

15-13

26-23

22-26

13-20

19-8

17-16

17-14

15-24

9-17

26-16

15-15

23-19

26-15

20-9

19-11

23-15

17-21

14-23

21-17

21-23

19-17

10-14

21-25

13-21

26-21

20-27

13-18

20-32

20-15

24-22

8-19

17-17

15-22

20-19

17-10

146.4Avg total

71.8Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	73.1	75.4	148.4	-2.3	38%
Season at home (8)	74.6	76.5	151.1	-1.9	38%
Season away (8)	71.5	74.2	145.8	-2.8	38%
Last 10 (10)	71.8	74.6	146.4	-2.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	79.6	151.4	-7.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	70.8	78.2	149.0	-7.4	20%
vs Similar (5)	68.6	78.2	146.8	-9.6	20%
vs Weaker (15)	80.3	67.5	147.8	+12.9	73%

This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Petrol OlimpijaSencur

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	20.1	38.4	-1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.8	23.5	43.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.5	20.4	39.8	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.0	16.1	37.1	+4.9	89%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	21.9	39.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.0	20.7	37.7	-3.7	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.8	18.4	35.2	-1.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.5	17.2	38.7	+4.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.2	20.2	37.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.8	21.9	39.8	-4.1	23%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.9	16.7	36.6	+3.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.1	35.7	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	14.6	33.5	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.5	35.6	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.2	19.6	35.8	-3.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.1	15.9	35.0	+3.3	53%	-

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KK Krka Novo mesto

#14

39-27

+12

A27/12

ABA League

Igokea

48-43

H02/01

ABA League

Polzela

48-40

H04/01

Liga Nova KBM

Mornar Bar

32-49

-17

A08/01

ABA League

Portoroz

#12

44-27

+17

A11/01

Liga Nova KBM

Partizan

38-33

H15/01

ABA League

LTH Castings

#11

43-29

+14

H17/01

Liga Nova KBM

Cibona

39-44

-5

A21/01

ABA League

Zlatorog Lasko

27-43

-16

A25/01

Liga Nova KBM

Karpos

#11

42-51

-9

H29/01

ABA League

78.6Avg total

40.0Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	39.8	78.1	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	39.6	79.6	+0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.3	40.1	76.4	-3.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	38.6	78.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	40.0	77.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.0	43.8	80.8	-6.8	12%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.3	42.3	79.6	-5.0	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	40.9	32.8	73.7	+8.1	89%	-

This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rogaska

39-39

H10/12

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

29-38

-9

A14/12

Liga Nova KBM

Grosuplje

#16

32-28

H20/12

Slovenian Cup

Polzela

24-41

-17

A23/12

Liga Nova KBM

Portoroz

#12

49-34

+15

H06/01

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

40-36

H10/01

Slovenian Cup

Helios Domzale

40-40

A14/01

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

39-42

-3

A17/01

Slovenian Cup

Zlatorog Lasko

40-47

-7

H21/01

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

32-39

-7

A27/01

Liga Nova KBM

74.8Avg total

36.4Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	35.6	73.4	+2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	33.1	71.9	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	38.1	75.0	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	38.4	74.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	40.8	79.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	36.0	38.3	74.3	-2.3	30%	-
vs Similar (5)	33.0	38.0	71.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.6	33.1	73.7	+7.5	73%	-

This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	18.1	37.7	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	16.9	36.9	+3.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.2	38.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.2	19.6	36.9	-2.4	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.4	16.2	37.5	+5.2	85%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.8	17.7	37.4	+2.1	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.9	38.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.7	37.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	17.4	37.3	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.5	39.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.6	17.1	35.8	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.5	21.1	41.6	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.1	16.7	37.8	+4.4	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.3	36.1	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.2	19.3	36.5	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	17.3	35.6	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	17.5	34.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	17.8	33.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.2	19.3	35.5	-3.1	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.9	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	36.2	76.2	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.5	35.5	75.0	+4.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.6	37.1	77.6	+3.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	36.8	77.4	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	35.6	79.8	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.9	36.8	72.6	-0.9	62%	-
vs Similar (13)	41.9	37.2	79.2	+4.7	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	40.9	34.3	75.2	+6.6	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	37.2	74.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	38.2	75.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	36.2	73.9	+1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	36.2	71.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	38.8	72.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	34.8	39.9	74.7	-5.1	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	35.6	40.2	75.8	-4.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	39.7	34.4	74.1	+5.3	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 78.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game

51%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	18.3	52.6%	54.1%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	9.3	33.9%	32.8%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	21.4	13.8	64.5%	72.4%	13.8

They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	19.0	50.9%	54.1%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	8.1	33.5%	32.8%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.6	75.3%	72.4%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.8	17.1	52.2%	54.1%	34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	9.4	34.9%	32.8%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	22.1	15.5	69.9%	72.4%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.7	51.5%	54.1%	39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	7.9	33.5%	32.8%	23.8
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.1	75.7%	72.4%	16.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Petrol Olimpija wins

Sencur wins

Date	Game	Score
11/11/16	Sencur v Petrol Olimpija	57-64
05/02/14	Petrol Olimpija v Sencur	96-71

Petrol Olimpijalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/01/17	H	Karpos	92-97
25/01/17	A	Zlatorog Lasko	90-86 OT
21/01/17	A	Cibona	79-68
17/01/17	H	LTH Castings	90-70
15/01/17	H	Partizan	74-68
11/01/17	A	Portoroz	93-65
08/01/17	A	Mornar Bar	70-93
04/01/17	H	Polzela	85-74
02/01/17	H	Igokea	80-81
27/12/16	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	68-63

Sencurlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/01/17	A	Tajfun Sentjur	69-68
21/01/17	H	Zlatorog Lasko	72-88
17/01/17	A	Rogaska	72-87
14/01/17	A	Helios Domzale	71-79
10/01/17	H	Rogaska	75-76
06/01/17	H	Portoroz	88-54
23/12/16	A	Polzela	65-72
20/12/16	H	Grosuplje	66-58
14/12/16	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	77-87
10/12/16	H	Rogaska	63-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija

Liga Nova KBM 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	75%
Home	WWWWW	75%
Away	WLLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	75%	75%	75%
Points / game	82.4	83.8	81.0
Allowed / game	74.2	75.8	72.6
Point differential	+8.2	+8.0	+8.4
Avg total	156.6	159.5	153.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	62%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Sencur

Liga Nova KBM 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	38%
Home	LWLWL	38%
Away	LLLLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	38%	38%	38%
Points / game	73.1	74.6	71.5
Allowed / game	75.4	76.5	74.2
Point differential	-2.3	-1.9	-2.8
Avg total	148.4	151.1	145.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	25%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KK Krka Novo mesto	17	14	3	82%	83.1	71.8	+11.4
2	Petrol Olimpija	16	12	4	75%	82.4	74.2	+8.2
3	Zlatorog Lasko	16	12	4	75%	80.8	73.2	+7.6
4	Rogaska	16	11	5	69%	79.8	70.3	+9.4
5	Polzela	16	11	5	69%	81.4	75.7	+5.7
6	Helios Domzale	15	10	5	67%	75.1	66.6	+8.5
7	KK Primorska	16	8	8	50%	79.4	73.4	+5.9
8	Tajfun Sentjur	16	7	9	44%	67.7	71.9	-4.2
9	Sencur	16	6	10	38%	73.1	75.4	-2.3
10	Terme Olimia Podčetrtek	16	3	13	19%	70.4	75.2	-4.8
11	Portoroz	15	1	14	7%	67.2	88.9	-21.7
12	LTH Castings	17	1	16	6%	65.9	89.5	-23.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Petrol Olimpija	21	29	31	15	96
Sencur	33	27	14	18	92

← all games of the day

Petrol Olimpija vs Sencur Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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