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Petrol Olimpija vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 79-77
23-20 19-17 19-19 18-21
Position#2
Record17-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#6
Record14-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game78.6
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMLiga Nova KBM - Quarter-finals
Other2018-19
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Sencur
07 May 2019
POL85
SENC73
30 Apr 2019
POL79
SENC77
21 Jan 2019
POL82
SENC70
03 May 2018
POL91
SENC77
28 Jan 2018
POL64
SENC59
01 Feb 2017
POL96
SENC92
05 Feb 2014
POL96
SENC71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#9
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H14/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A17/03
ABA League
Polzela
#5
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H31/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H05/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H11/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#1
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A14/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A17/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#5
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
17-21
23-16
12-19
13-17
18-15
16-16
12-14
9-21
22-10
15-13
13-21
16-20
14-11
14-6
22-21
29-13
14-15
22-11
14-21
25-24
7-14
15-29
25-18
26-19
16-25
14-18
13-11
21-22
12-4
15-9
21-28
27-21
26-22
21-10
19-19
17-19
13-21
28-14
17-16
138.9Avg total
71.5Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.775.1151.8+1.661%
Season at home (14)80.174.0154.1+6.171%
Season away (14)73.376.2149.5-2.950%
Last 10 (10)71.567.4138.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)75.672.6148.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.282.3152.5-12.10%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.372.2149.5+5.155%
vs Weaker (8)69.467.9137.2+1.562%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A12/02
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A01/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H05/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A17/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
96-85
96
85
+11
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
14-20
22-17
19-22
21-21
17-17
25-17
18-16
16-24
28-11
15-15
25-25
15-17
22-21
25-17
7-16
20-18
17-16
21-15
16-20
21-20
13-25
21-7
16-27
24-20
23-18
21-19
24-25
22-16
11-10
16-26
30-12
23-28
19-21
30-15
24-21
25-23
27-26
18-19
24-13
157.4Avg total
81.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.978.6158.4+1.352%
Season at home (13)83.680.2163.8+3.562%
Season away (14)76.477.1153.5-0.843%
Last 10 (10)81.276.2157.4+5.070%
Last 5 (5)86.478.2164.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.089.0178.0+0.033%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.879.2159.0+0.667%
vs Weaker (18)83.178.8161.9+4.361%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
Petrol OlimpijaSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#9
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H14/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A17/03
ABA League
Polzela
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H31/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H05/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H11/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A17/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#5
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A23/04
Liga Nova KBM
70.8Avg total
36.4Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.238.374.5-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.976.5+0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)33.838.772.5-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)36.434.470.8+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.276.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.545.381.8-8.718%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.234.472.5+3.855%-
vs Weaker (8)32.934.167.0-1.238%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A12/02
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A01/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H05/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A17/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
79.3Avg total
39.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.639.581.1+2.062%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.539.783.3+3.873%-
Last 30 away (14)39.439.378.7+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.879.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.483.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.046.093.0+1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.036.475.4+2.678%-
vs Weaker (17)41.940.081.9+1.959%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.1
51.1%
54.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.9
30.8%
32.8%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.814.2
71.7%
72.4%14.2
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Petrol Olimpija wins
3
Sencur wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/19ARogaska75-70
20/04/19HPolzela93-72
17/04/19AHelios Domzale69-63
14/04/19AKK Primorska69-73
11/04/19HKK Primorska72-85
05/04/19HKK Krka Novo mesto79-60
31/03/19HRogaska66-58
23/03/19APolzela59-65
17/03/19AKK Krka Novo mesto59-62
14/03/19HHelios Domzale74-66
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/19HPerspektiva Ilirija94-81
20/04/19ATajfun Sentjur96-85
17/04/19AZlatorog Lasko79-64
05/04/19HTajfun Sentjur92-82
30/03/19APerspektiva Ilirija71-79
23/03/19HZlatorog Lasko74-69
16/03/19ATajfun Sentjur69-71
09/03/19HPerspektiva Ilirija84-75
01/03/19AZlatorog Lasko81-71
12/02/19ATajfun Sentjur72-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
Liga Nova KBM 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%71%50%
Points / game76.780.173.3
Allowed / game75.174.076.2
Point differential+1.6+6.1-2.9
Avg total151.8154.1149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW52%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%62%43%
Points / game79.983.676.4
Allowed / game78.680.277.1
Point differential+1.3+3.5-0.8
Avg total158.4163.8153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%31%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Primorska2924583%84.270.8+13.3
2 Petrol Olimpija28171161%76.775.1+1.6
3 KK Krka Novo mesto28161257%79.775.9+3.8
4 Polzela28151354%78.376.9+1.4
5 Zlatorog Lasko28151354%78.278.6-0.3
6 Sencur27141352%79.978.6+1.3
7 Rogaska28141450%78.482.2-3.8
8 Tajfun Sentjur27111641%75.979.4-3.5
9 Helios Domzale28101836%72.676.3-3.7
10 Perspektiva Ilirija2732411%76.587.5-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija2319191879
Sencur2017192177
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