Pinheiros vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

Pinheiros host Caxias do Sul on 2 November 2026 in the NBB, and the Pythia model designates Pinheiros as the clear favourite, giving them a 90% chance of victory largely because of their 3-1 record, 81.8 points scored per game and 70.2 points allowed per game, placing them third in the league, while Caxias do Sul sit 16th with a 0-4 record, 67.0 points per game and 77.8 points allowed per game; the model projects an 84-69 score and a total of 152.1 points, with Pinheiros covering the -14.5 line 52% of the time and the over on the 148.5 line 59% of the time, and a 2% chance of overtime. Pinheiros have won three of their last five games, including victories over Osasco 89-74 away, Uniao Corinthians 75-63 at home and Cearense 98-63 away, while Caxias do Sul have lost all five of their most recent outings, with defeats to Flamengo 59-77 away, Botafogo 82-84 away and Minas 66-78 at home; the teams have met ten times before, with Pinheiros winning nine of those encounters and their last meeting ending 69-62 in Pinheiros' favour. The game will likely see Pinheiros maintain their dominant scoring edge and defensive advantage, a pattern that has held throughout their season.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros winWon

90.5%fair 1.11

Best odds1.10

Implied86.4%

Edge+4.0pp

Caxias do Sul winLost

9.5%fair 10.48

Best odds7.75

Implied13.6%

Edge-4.0pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 14:21 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pinheiros

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPinheiros

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

82-81 OT

74avg 77

A23/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

88-76

+12

77avg 77

H26/05

NBB

Franca

73-82

-9

56avg 77

A31/05

NBB

Franca

75-78

-3

57avg 77

H02/06

NBB

Franca

94-92

83avg 77

H04/06

NBB

Franca

76-85

-9

69avg 77

A07/06

NBB

Unifacisa

65-81

-16

49avg 77

A19/10

NBB

Cearense

#17

98-63

+35

102avg 77

A22/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#10

75-63

+12

68avg 77

H27/10

NBB

Osasco

#15

89-74

+15

74avg 77

A29/10

NBB

12-19

30-8

20-18

11-28

21-18

35-20

23-13

9-25

27-20

18-23

11-26

17-13

21-24

7-21

17-11

30-22

19-24

28-19

27-32

20-17

24-18

22-32

8-10

22-25

19-19

11-23

15-19

20-20

24-15

22-17

26-18

26-13

22-13

13-10

24-22

16-18

25-21

24-18

26-19

14-16

159.0Avg total

81.5Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	81.8	70.2	152.0	+11.5	75%
Season at home (1)	75.0	63.0	138.0	+12.0	100%
Season away (3)	84.0	72.7	156.7	+11.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	77.5	159.0	+4.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	73.2	153.8	+7.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	78.4	83.3	161.7	-4.9	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	86.2	74.3	160.5	+11.9	87%

This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caxias do Sul Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSul

Date

Competition

Sao Jose

65-68

-3

60avg 66

H15/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

79-92

-13

76avg 66

H17/04

NBB

Brasilia

64-73

-9

57avg 66

A22/04

NBB

Brasilia

70-78

-8

59avg 66

H25/04

NBB

Brasilia

66-63

52avg 66

H27/04

NBB

Brasilia

70-71

-1

62avg 66

A30/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

61-72

-11

45avg 66

H17/10

NBB

Minas

66-78

-12

52avg 66

H20/10

NBB

Botafogo

#13

82-84

-2

76avg 66

A28/10

NBB

Flamengo

59-77

-18

no box

A30/10

NBB

16-15

12-20

26-16

11-17

14-18

23-26

24-30

18-18

15-23

20-11

15-19

14-20

23-20

14-26

20-17

13-15

20-20

8-11

20-17

18-15

24-15

9-22

18-19

19-15

20-21

19-12

9-19

13-20

20-25

13-18

10-18

23-17

24-22

16-14

21-25

21-23

15-17

12-18

9-28

23-14

143.8Avg total

68.2Scored

75.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	67.0	77.8	144.8	-10.8	0%
Season at home (2)	63.5	75.0	138.5	-11.5	0%
Season away (2)	70.5	80.5	151.0	-10.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	68.2	75.6	143.8	-7.4	10%
Last 5 (5)	67.6	76.4	144.0	-8.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	68.0	77.7	145.7	-9.7	17%
vs Similar (5)	76.6	75.6	152.2	+1.0	40%
vs Weaker (7)	80.0	71.7	151.7	+8.3	71%

This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 143.5Actual: Over 143.5

Over 143.5

70.0%

@ 1.55+10.1pp

Under 143.5

30.0%

@ 2.30-10.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.55

Betano

1.53

Marathon Be

1.51

Under

Betano

2.30

Bet365

2.30

Over/Under 148.5 · main lineActual: Under 148.5

Over 148.5

58.5%

@ 1.95+8.8pp

Under 148.5

41.5%

@ 1.86-8.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.95

Betano

1.91

WilliamHill

1.91

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.84

Under

Pinnacle

1.86

WilliamHill

1.80

Marathon Be

1.79

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.76

Over/Under 153.5Actual: Under 153.5

Over 153.5

46.3%

@ 2.62+10.4pp

Under 153.5

53.7%

@ 1.44-10.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.62

Betano

2.52

Under

Betano

1.44

Bet365

1.44

📊 3. Team Totals

Pinheiros total 77.5Actual: Pinheiros over 77.5

Over 77.5

73.2%

@ 1.55+9.9pp

Under 77.5

26.8%

@ 2.50-9.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.55

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.37

Under

Betano

2.50

1xBet

2.44

Bet365

2.30

Pinheiros total 81.5 · main lineActual: Pinheiros over 81.5

Over 81.5

58.4%

@ 1.90+9.2pp

Under 81.5

41.6%

@ 1.81-9.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.90

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.71

Under

Marathon Be

1.81

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.73

Pinheiros total 85.5Actual: Pinheiros over 85.5

Over 85.5

42.4%

@ 2.80+8.4pp

Under 85.5

57.6%

@ 1.39-8.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.80

Betano

2.70

1xBet

2.38

Under

Betano

1.39

Bet365

1.38

1xBet

1.38

Caxias do Sul total 63.5Actual: Caxias do Sul under 63.5

Over 63.5

68.8%

@ 1.50+7.2pp

Under 63.5

31.2%

@ 2.37-7.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.41

Under

Betano

2.37

1xBet

2.29

Caxias do Sul total 67.5 · main lineActual: Caxias do Sul under 67.5

Over 67.5

53.6%

@ 1.98+6.1pp

Under 67.5

46.4%

@ 1.83-6.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.98

Marathon Be

1.92

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.81

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.73

Betano

1.70

1xBet

1.64

Caxias do Sul total 71.5Actual: Caxias do Sul under 71.5

Over 71.5

37.9%

@ 2.60+4.1pp

Under 71.5

62.1%

@ 1.33-4.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.60

Under

1xBet

1.33

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Pinheiros -17.5Actual: Pinheiros -17.5

PINH -17.5

41.2%

@ 2.30+1.2pp

CAXI +17.5

58.8%

@ 1.58-1.2pp

Best 5 market prices

PINH

Betano

2.30

Bet365

2.22

1xBet

2.21

CAXI

Bet365

1.58

Betano

1.53

Marathon Be

1.52

1xBet

1.47

Spread Pinheiros -14.5 · main lineActual: Pinheiros -14.5

PINH -14.5

51.8%

@ 1.88+2.2pp

CAXI +14.5

48.2%

@ 1.85-2.2pp

Best 5 market prices

PINH

Pinnacle

1.88

Betano

1.87

BetVictor

1.85

Marathon Be

1.84

1xBet

1.84

CAXI

Pinnacle

1.85

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Betfair

1.83

Spread Pinheiros -11.5Actual: Pinheiros -11.5

PINH -11.5

62.4%

@ 1.57+3.5pp

CAXI +11.5

37.6%

@ 2.27-3.5pp

Best 5 market prices

PINH

Betano

1.57

Bet365

1.57

Marathon Be

1.54

1xBet

1.45

CAXI

1xBet

2.27

Bet365

2.25

Betano

2.22

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PinheirosCaxias do Sul

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.5
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+2.0	60%	80%
Last 30 at home (13)	21.9	18.8	40.7	+3.2	69%	69%
Last 30 away (17)	21.9	20.7	42.6	+1.2	53%	88%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.1	40.5	+2.3	60%	80%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.2	40.0	+5.6	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	24.1	21.0	45.1	+3.1	57%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	61%	74%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.5
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	40%	57%
Last 30 at home (17)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.8	29%	47%
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	18.8	38.5	+1.0	54%	69%
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.5	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	44%	61%
vs Similar (5)	17.2	22.2	39.4	-5.0	20%	80%
vs Weaker (7)	18.3	18.3	36.6	+0.0	43%	29%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.25
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	60%	63%
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	20.5	41.9	+1.0	62%	77%
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.5	59%	53%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	17.9	23.6	41.4	-5.7	14%	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.6	18.9	40.5	+2.7	74%	65%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.25
Last 30 (30)	16.4	17.9	34.3	-1.5	33%	27%
Last 30 at home (17)	16.6	17.4	33.9	-0.8	35%	29%
Last 30 away (13)	16.2	18.6	34.8	-2.5	31%	23%
Last 10 (10)	14.6	17.8	32.4	-3.2	30%	20%
Last 5 (5)	13.8	16.8	30.6	-3.0	40%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	14.7	18.4	33.1	-3.7	28%	22%
vs Similar (5)	16.8	16.6	33.4	+0.2	40%	20%
vs Weaker (7)	20.6	17.6	38.1	+3.0	43%	43%

PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

42-27

+15

A23/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

56-38

+18

H26/05

NBB

Franca

45-43

A31/05

NBB

Franca

28-45

-17

H02/06

NBB

Franca

47-43

H04/06

NBB

Franca

46-50

-4

A07/06

NBB

Unifacisa

30-42

-12

A19/10

NBB

Cearense

#17

46-32

+14

A22/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#10

35-23

+12

H27/10

NBB

Osasco

#15

49-39

+10

A29/10

NBB

80.6Avg total

42.4Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75.25
Last 30 (30)	42.6	39.9	82.5	+2.8	60%	77%
Last 30 at home (13)	43.4	39.2	82.6	+4.2	69%	77%
Last 30 away (17)	42.1	40.4	82.4	+1.7	53%	76%
Last 10 (10)	42.4	38.2	80.6	+4.2	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	41.2	37.2	78.4	+4.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	42.0	44.6	86.6	-2.6	57%	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.8	38.4	81.3	+4.4	61%	78%

This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Jose

28-35

-7

H15/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

37-44

-7

H17/04

NBB

Brasilia

35-34

A22/04

NBB

Brasilia

37-46

-9

H25/04

NBB

Brasilia

28-31

-3

H27/04

NBB

Brasilia

33-37

-4

A30/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

39-33

H17/10

NBB

Minas

33-43

-10

H20/10

NBB

Botafogo

#13

40-36

A28/10

NBB

Flamengo

27-35

-8

A30/10

NBB

71.1Avg total

33.7Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75.25
Last 30 (30)	34.9	37.6	72.5	-2.7	43%	37%
Last 30 at home (17)	34.2	37.8	71.9	-3.6	35%	35%
Last 30 away (13)	35.9	37.4	73.3	-1.5	54%	38%
Last 10 (10)	33.7	37.4	71.1	-3.7	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	34.4	36.8	71.2	-2.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	33.7	37.9	71.6	-4.3	44%	39%
vs Similar (5)	34.0	38.8	72.8	-4.8	20%	20%
vs Weaker (7)	38.9	35.9	74.7	+3.0	57%	43%

This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Pinheiros win

PINH win

no forecast

@ 1.22

CAXI win

no forecast

@ 4.65

1st half Spread Pinheiros -8 · main lineActual: Pinheiros -8

PINH -8

no forecast

@ 1.89

CAXI +8

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Over/Under 75.25 · main lineActual: Under 75.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

Pinheiros 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Pinheiros over 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.86

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

Caxias do Sul 1st half total 33.5 · main lineActual: Caxias do Sul under 33.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half: PINH + total 74.5

PINH & over

no forecast

@ 2.35

PINH & under

no forecast

@ 2.50

1st half: Draw + total 74.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 34.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 36.00

1st half: CAXI + total 74.5

CAXI & over

no forecast

@ 7.25

CAXI & under

no forecast

@ 7.50

1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Under 76.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.10

Under

no forecast

@ 1.76

1st half Spread Pinheiros -9Actual: Pinheiros -9

PINH -9

no forecast

@ 2.08

CAXI +9

no forecast

@ 1.68

1st half Spread Pinheiros -7Actual: Pinheiros -7

PINH -7

no forecast

@ 1.73

CAXI +7

no forecast

@ 2.01

1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Under 73.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.70

Under

no forecast

@ 2.07

1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Under 78.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.55

Under

no forecast

@ 1.47

1st half Spread Pinheiros -10.5Actual: Pinheiros -10.5

PINH -10.5

no forecast

@ 2.55

CAXI +10.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

1st half Spread Pinheiros -5.5Actual: Pinheiros -5.5

PINH -5.5

no forecast

@ 1.50

CAXI +5.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Pinheiros (regulation)

PINH

no forecast

@ 1.27

Draw

no forecast

@ 20.00

CAXI

no forecast

@ 5.01

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 35.25
Last 30 (30)	21.3	17.1	38.4	+4.2	67%	67%
Last 30 at home (13)	23.8	17.8	41.5	+6.0	85%	69%
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.9	53%	65%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	15.6	18.4	34.0	-2.9	29%	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.1	16.7	39.8	+6.4	78%	78%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 35.25
Last 30 (30)	17.4	20.1	37.5	-2.7	30%	60%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.1	18.7	36.8	-0.6	47%	53%
Last 30 away (13)	16.5	21.9	38.5	-5.4	8%	69%
Last 10 (10)	17.2	20.8	38.0	-3.6	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	13.4	21.8	35.2	-8.4	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.1	22.0	38.1	-5.9	17%	61%
vs Similar (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	40%	60%
vs Weaker (7)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	57%	57%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 36.5
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.4	50%	63%
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	62%	62%
Last 30 away (17)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.2	41%	65%
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	20.9	20.3	41.1	+0.6	43%	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	52%	61%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 36.5
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.7	36.9	+1.5	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	17.1	35.5	+1.2	53%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	20.3	18.5	38.8	+1.8	54%	54%
Last 10 (10)	17.3	17.4	34.7	-0.1	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.3	17.7	36.0	+0.6	50%	44%
vs Similar (5)	23.2	19.2	42.4	+4.0	60%	80%
vs Weaker (7)	18.7	16.7	35.4	+2.0	57%	29%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 72
Last 30 (30)	40.6	35.9	76.5	+4.7	63%	63%
Last 30 at home (13)	44.1	36.8	80.8	+7.3	69%	69%
Last 30 away (17)	37.9	35.3	73.2	+2.6	59%	59%
Last 10 (10)	38.2	38.5	76.7	-0.3	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	39.4	36.0	75.4	+3.4	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	36.4	38.7	75.1	-2.3	29%	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	41.9	35.1	77.0	+6.8	74%	65%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 72
Last 30 (30)	36.6	37.8	74.4	-1.2	50%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	36.4	35.8	72.2	+0.6	59%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	36.8	40.5	77.3	-3.6	38%	54%
Last 10 (10)	34.5	38.2	72.7	-3.7	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	33.2	39.6	72.8	-6.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	34.3	39.7	74.1	-5.4	28%	39%
vs Similar (5)	42.6	36.8	79.4	+5.8	100%	80%
vs Weaker (7)	38.1	33.7	71.9	+4.4	71%	43%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

PINH win + total 147.5

🔒 Pro

CAXI win + total 147.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PINH leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CAXI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (PINH:CAXI): PINH wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Pinheiros over 73.5	84.6%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Pinheiros over 75.5	79.4%	1.34	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+11.7pp	Won
Pinheiros over 71.5	88.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Over 143	71.6%	1.52	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
Over 142	73.7%	1.47	Bet365 1.47	-	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Over 143.5	70.0%	1.53	Bet365 1.55	Betano 1.53	Marathon Bet 1.51	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Pinheiros over 70.5	90.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Over 140	77.6%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Over 141	75.7%	1.41	Bet365 1.41	-	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
Pinheiros over 77.5	73.2%	1.46	Bet365 1.55	Betano 1.45	1xBet 1.37	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Over 142.5	72.2%	1.48	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Over 141.5	74.2%	1.43	Bet365 1.44	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Over 140.5	76.2%	1.38	Betano 1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
Pinheiros over 69.5	92.2%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Pinheiros over 76.5	76.4%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Over 139.5	78.1%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Over 137.5	81.5%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Pinheiros over 67.5	94.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Over 132.5	88.7%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Pinheiros -6	80.0%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Pinheiros -5.5	80.6%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Pinheiros -3.5	85.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Pinheiros (regulation)	89.1%	1.08	Betano 1.09	Marathon Bet 1.07	1xBet 1.07	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Pinheiros +6.5	96.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Overtime: no	97.9%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	-
Pinheiros +11.5	98.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Pinheiros -7.5	75.1%	1.31	Bet365 1.32	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Pinheiros -8.5	72.1%	1.32	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.36	1xBet 1.24	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Pinheiros -6.5	77.9%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Pinheiros -7	77.3%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Pinheiros +10.5	98.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Pinheiros -8	74.3%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Pinheiros -9	71.2%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Pinheiros +4.5	94.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Pinheiros -4.5	83.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Pinheiros win	90.5%	1.07	WilliamHill 1.10	Betfair 1.08	Betano 1.08	Marathon Bet 1.07	1xBet 1.07	+4.0pp	Won
Pinheiros +1.5	91.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +22	73.9%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Lost
Caxias do Sul under 84.5	93.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +22.5	74.7%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Lost
Caxias do Sul +24.5	79.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Lost
Caxias do Sul under 86.5	95.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +21	70.9%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Lost
Caxias do Sul under 82.5	91.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +21.5	71.8%	1.31	Bet365 1.33	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Lost
Caxias do Sul under 80.5	88.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Pinheiros under 95.5	88.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Caxias do Sul +23.5	77.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Lost
Caxias do Sul under 77.5	81.4%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Won
Caxias do Sul under 78.5	83.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
Under 172.5	89.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Pinheiros under 93.5	84.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
Caxias do Sul under 74.5	72.7%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-2.6pp	Won
Caxias do Sul under 76.5	78.7%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-2.7pp	Won
Pinheiros under 90.5	75.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-3.1pp	Lost
Pinheiros under 91.5	78.8%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-3.5pp	Won
Under 167.5	82.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-4.6pp	Won
Pinheiros under 89.5	72.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-5.3pp	Lost
Under 162.5	74.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-7.4pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 79.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.3	16.7	51.7%	49.8%	33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.3	11.1	34.4%	31.6%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	18.4	12.7	69.0%	71.3%	12.7

They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 70.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀40%

🏀🏀🏀44%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	29.8	14.0	47.0%	49.8%	28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	10.4	34.2%	31.6%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	15.4	11.1	72.1%	71.3%	11.1

They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.7	17.9	54.7%	49.8%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	7.2	27.7%	31.6%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.9	79.7%	71.3%	16.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	18.8	54.5%	49.8%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	8.1	33.5%	31.6%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	15.3	11.6	75.8%	71.3%	11.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.6	17.9	53.2%	49.8%	35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	10.3	33.7%	31.6%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	19.2	13.6	70.8%	71.3%	13.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.9	15.8	49.4%	49.8%	31.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	9.6	34.3%	31.6%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	17.9	12.9	72.2%	71.3%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.0	17.0	48.7%	49.8%	34.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.4	31.5%	31.6%	25.3
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.0	75.4%	71.3%	16.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	19.5	54.3%	49.8%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.0	32.2%	31.6%	24.1
🏀 Free throws	17.4	12.6	72.4%	71.3%	12.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Pinheiros

WWWLLWLLWW

Caxias do Sul

LLLLLWLLLL

League position

#18

+6.1

Net rating

-4.0

94.5

Offensive rating

88.6

88.4

Defensive rating

92.7

51.6%

Effective FG%

49.2%

48.9%

Opp. effective FG%

52.7%

15.6%

Turnover %

15.1%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.26

34.4%

3-point %

34.2%

53.2%

Assist %

63.9%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Pinheiros ■ Caxias do Sul

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pinheiros wins

Caxias do Sul wins

Date	Game	Score
11/02/26	Caxias do Sul v Pinheiros	62-69
09/11/25	Pinheiros v Caxias do Sul	82-59
18/04/25	Pinheiros v Caxias do Sul	81-65
21/12/24	Caxias do Sul v Pinheiros	92-101 OT
05/03/24	Pinheiros v Caxias do Sul	80-63
21/12/23	Caxias do Sul v Pinheiros	73-64
22/04/23	Pinheiros v Caxias do Sul	78-60
18/04/23	Caxias do Sul v Pinheiros	59-73
05/04/23	Pinheiros v Caxias do Sul	89-82 OT
04/01/23	Caxias do Sul v Pinheiros	69-77

Pinheiroslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/10/26	A	Osasco	89-74
27/10/26	H	Uniao Corinthians	75-63
22/10/26	A	Cearense	98-63
19/10/26	A	Unifacisa	65-81
07/06/26	A	Franca	76-85
04/06/26	H	Franca	94-92
02/06/26	H	Franca	75-78
31/05/26	A	Franca	73-82
26/05/26	H	Corinthians Paulista	88-76
23/05/26	A	Corinthians Paulista	82-81 OT

Caxias do Sullast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/26	A	Flamengo	59-77
28/10/26	A	Botafogo	82-84
20/10/26	H	Minas	66-78
17/10/26	H	Cruzeiro	61-72
30/04/26	A	Brasilia	70-71
27/04/26	H	Brasilia	66-63
25/04/26	H	Brasilia	70-78
22/04/26	A	Brasilia	64-73
17/04/26	H	Corinthians Paulista	79-92
15/04/26	H	Sao Jose	65-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWW	75%
Home	W	100%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	1	3
Win %	75%	100%	67%
Points / game	81.8	75.0	84.0
Allowed / game	70.2	63.0	72.7
Point differential	+11.5	+12.0	+11.3
Avg total	152.0	138.0	156.7
Over 148.5	50%	0%	67%
Win by 10+	75%	100%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Caxias do Sul

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	67.0	63.5	70.5
Allowed / game	77.8	75.0	80.5
Point differential	-10.8	-11.5	-10.0
Avg total	144.8	138.5	151.0
Over 148.5	25%	0%	50%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	4	4	0	100%	88.0	65.8	+22.2
2	Unifacisa	4	3	1	75%	86.0	74.0	+12.0
3	Pinheiros	4	3	1	75%	81.8	70.2	+11.5
4	Flamengo	4	3	1	75%	80.5	69.2	+11.2
5	Mogi	4	3	1	75%	78.8	73.5	+5.2
6	Brasilia	4	3	1	75%	86.2	86.2	+0.0
7	Paulistano	4	3	1	75%	75.2	75.5	-0.2
8	Franca	4	2	2	50%	72.5	69.0	+3.5
9	Cruzeiro	4	2	2	50%	75.5	75.2	+0.2
10	Bauru	4	2	2	50%	75.2	77.8	-2.5
11	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	40%	73.8	80.0	-6.2
12	Corinthians Paulista	3	1	2	33%	81.0	78.7	+2.3
13	Osasco	3	1	2	33%	79.0	84.7	-5.7
14	Botafogo	4	1	3	25%	80.8	84.8	-4.0
15	Pato	4	1	3	25%	74.0	82.5	-8.5
16	Caxias do Sul	4	0	4	0%	67.0	77.8	-10.8
17	Sao Jose	3	0	3	0%	70.0	90.0	-20.0
18	Cearense	2	0	2	0%	66.0	95.5	-29.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pinheiros	25	20	23	23	91
Caxias do Sul	6	15	14	18	53

← all games of the day

Pinheiros vs Caxias do Sul Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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