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Pistoia vs Cento Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record6-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#18
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game82.2
ItalySerie A2Round 21· PalaCarrara
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pistoia v Cento
17 Jan 2027
PIS v CENT
upcoming
30 Nov 2025
PIS91
CENT80
22 Mar 2023
PIS58
CENT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
62-63
62
63
-1
49avg 66
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
28avg 66
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 66
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
89-70
89
70
+19
84avg 66
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-52
96
52
+44
103avg 66
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 66
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
64-66
64
66
-2
54avg 66
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
A14/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
18-18
15-11
13-15
20-30
23-19
20-18
14-17
23-24
15-21
12-12
20-21
21-18
27-15
21-20
20-17
24-10
25-13
23-20
24-9
21-20
15-21
14-12
25-19
21-16
17-25
13-13
13-12
14-18
12-22
31-16
29-15
21-22
15-14
20-14
22-20
14-21
13-16
24-16
28-12
146.7Avg total
77.6Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.669.1146.7+8.560%
Season at home (4)77.072.5149.5+4.550%
Season away (6)78.066.8144.8+11.267%
Last 10 (10)77.669.1146.7+8.560%
Last 5 (5)76.468.8145.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.683.0156.6-9.420%
vs Similar (12)78.382.7161.0-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.270.2151.5+11.075%
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
83-63
83
63
+20
80avg 66
A08/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
81-96
81
96
-15
69avg 66
H27/09
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
44avg 66
A03/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
98-88
98
88
+10
94avg 66
H11/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 66
A17/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
52-96
52
96
-44
22avg 66
H21/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
77-71
77
71
+6
61avg 66
A25/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
64-74
64
74
-10
55avg 66
H30/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
63-76
63
76
-13
no box
A04/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
23-10
22-12
17-15
14-31
25-25
19-20
23-20
18-31
19-16
19-18
17-15
24-27
21-21
29-21
24-19
20-24
12-23
22-13
16-20
10-24
13-25
20-23
9-24
14-25
12-17
26-13
25-16
18-16
13-21
21-23
12-14
11-23
21-23
14-15
17-15
17-16
19-17
23-27
18-19
154.1Avg total
73.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.882.2155.0-9.422%
Season at home (5)74.486.6161.0-12.220%
Season away (4)70.876.8147.5-6.025%
Last 10 (10)73.880.3154.1-6.530%
Last 5 (5)66.679.2145.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.982.2155.1-9.37%
vs Similar (9)78.883.6162.3-4.822%
vs Weaker (6)80.073.5153.5+6.567%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -7.6-7.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -7.6-7.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
PistoiaCento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
49-23
49
23
+26
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H11/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A14/11
Serie A2
75.7Avg total
37.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.480.1-2.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.940.680.5-0.636%-
Last 30 away (16)37.842.179.8-4.312%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.275.7-0.720%-
Last 5 (5)32.639.071.6-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.240.376.5-4.120%-
vs Similar (12)41.544.586.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.938.075.9-0.125%-
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A08/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H27/09
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A03/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H11/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
23-49
23
49
-26
H21/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A25/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H30/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A04/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H11/11
Serie A2
78.6Avg total
34.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.241.879.0-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.340.677.9-3.231%-
Last 30 away (14)37.043.380.3-6.329%-
Last 10 (10)34.544.178.6-9.620%-
Last 5 (5)29.641.471.0-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.342.477.7-7.120%-
vs Similar (9)39.243.983.1-4.722%-
vs Weaker (6)38.737.376.0+1.367%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.3
50.6%
51.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.7
29.5%
34.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.916.1
73.5%
71.0%16.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.2
52.3%
51.2%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.2
28.2%
34.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.514.9
76.4%
71.0%14.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WWWLWWWLLL
Cento
LLLWLLWLLW
#8
League position
#18
+12.8
Net rating
-2.3
98.5
Offensive rating
92.8
85.6
Defensive rating
95.1
48.1%
Effective FG%
47.6%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
8.8%
Turnover %
12.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.5%
3-point %
28.2%
54.0%
Assist %
55.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 92.8Defence85.6 · 95.1Shooting48.1% · 47.6%3-point %29.5% · 28.2%Ball care8.8% · 12.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Pistoia   ■ Cento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pistoia wins
3
Cento wins
DateGameScore
21/10/26Cento v Pistoia52-96
26/04/26Cento v Pistoia99-86
30/11/25Pistoia v Cento91-80
22/03/23Pistoia v Cento58-68
04/12/22Cento v Pistoia70-68
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUrania Milano79-65
11/11/26HCaserta78-70
08/11/26AMontecatini86-71
01/11/26HFortitudo Bologna64-66
25/10/26AJuVi Cremona75-72
21/10/26ACento96-52
18/10/26HVigevano89-70
11/10/26ASebastiani Rieti70-78
04/10/26HBasket Torino77-84
27/09/26ALibertas Livorno62-63
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HJuVi Cremona77-79
04/11/26ALibertas Livorno63-76
30/10/26HCividale64-74
25/10/26AMontecatini77-71
21/10/26HPistoia52-96
17/10/26ASassari70-80
11/10/26HVigevano98-88
03/10/26AForli73-80
27/09/26HPesaro81-96
08/05/26ARoseto83-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game77.677.078.0
Allowed / game69.172.566.8
Point differential+8.5+4.5+11.2
Avg total146.7149.5144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cento
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game72.874.470.8
Allowed / game82.286.676.8
Point differential-9.4-12.2-6.0
Avg total155.0161.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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