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Cento vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 99-86
33-36 28-19 17-12 21-19
Position#18
Record10-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.2
Cento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#19
Record9-27
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game82.9
ItalySerie A2Round 38· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cento v Pistoia
21 Oct 2026
CENT52
PIS96
26 Apr 2026
CENT99
PIS86
04 Dec 2022
CENT70
PIS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
68-90
68
90
-22
A22/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
61-82
61
82
-21
H07/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A11/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
A21/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H25/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A29/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H04/04
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A08/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H12/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A19/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
14-28
19-17
21-25
17-23
16-19
16-28
12-12
24-17
16-19
20-24
10-18
18-30
32-11
11-18
18-20
20-15
19-24
19-19
16-17
25-18
16-28
15-21
27-17
17-13
12-21
23-23
13-10
17-26
17-21
26-18
11-24
14-16
22-26
24-24
23-22
18-23
16-21
18-22
17-14
156.9Avg total
73.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)77.281.2158.5-4.027%
Season at home (18)78.477.7156.1+0.844%
Season away (19)76.184.6160.7-8.611%
Last 10 (10)73.883.1156.9-9.30%
Last 5 (5)74.281.6155.8-7.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.079.9154.9-4.920%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.184.3164.4-4.225%
vs Weaker (3)78.782.7161.3-4.033%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H15/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A21/02
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A01/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H08/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H22/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A25/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H29/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H08/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
48-93
48
93
-45
A11/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H19/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
17-28
13-19
14-19
18-28
26-17
15-23
26-22
18-24
16-17
16-20
21-26
24-18
24-19
17-28
17-32
20-23
11-23
17-22
24-12
19-14
12-19
14-16
23-11
18-18
18-25
23-22
30-26
25-17
17-27
23-25
19-21
16-15
14-29
12-22
6-27
14-22
25-18
17-16
23-15
158.9Avg total
75.0Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)76.682.9159.5-6.325%
Season at home (19)79.183.0162.1-3.926%
Season away (17)73.882.8156.6-9.024%
Last 10 (10)75.083.9158.9-8.920%
Last 5 (5)73.681.0154.6-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)74.383.5157.8-9.210%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.083.1161.1-5.130%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
CentoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A22/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H07/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A11/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A21/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/03
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A29/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H04/04
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A08/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H12/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A19/04
Serie A2
78.3Avg total
36.4Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.841.178.9-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.339.776.9-2.427%-
Last 30 away (15)38.442.580.9-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)36.441.978.3-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)34.842.677.4-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.140.177.2-2.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.742.080.7-3.333%-
vs Weaker (3)38.042.380.3-4.333%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H15/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A21/02
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A01/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H08/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A25/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H29/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H08/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A11/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H19/04
Serie A2
79.5Avg total
38.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.478.7-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.539.879.3-0.453%-
Last 30 away (13)36.641.277.8-4.615%-
Last 10 (10)38.041.579.5-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.876.4-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)36.439.776.1-3.335%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.941.983.8+0.040%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.5
50.6%
50.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.1
26.3%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.213.5
70.3%
74.4%13.5
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.714.9
47.0%
50.8%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.6
35.0%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.212.7
83.6%
74.4%12.7
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
LLLLLLLLLL
Pistoia
WLLLWLLLLL
#18
League position
#19
-10.8
Net rating
-12.4
85.5
Offensive rating
92.8
96.3
Defensive rating
105.1
46.0%
Effective FG%
49.6%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
14.8%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
26.3%
3-point %
35.0%
51.5%
Assist %
51.0%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 92.8Defence96.3 · 105.1Shooting46.0% · 49.6%3-point %26.3% · 35.0%Ball care14.8% · 14.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)0% · 20%
■ Cento   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cento wins
1
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
30/11/25Pistoia v Cento91-80
22/03/23Pistoia v Cento58-68
04/12/22Cento v Pistoia70-68
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26ABasket Torino69-80
12/04/26HScafati83-88
08/04/26ARoseto71-89
04/04/26HUrania Milano65-67
29/03/26AVerona83-84
25/03/26HBrindisi74-75
21/03/26AAvellino Basket94-98 OT
11/03/26AFortitudo Bologna70-78
07/03/26HMestre61-82
22/02/26AJuVi Cremona68-90
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26HBrindisi79-71
11/04/26ACividale48-93
08/04/26HRimini84-90
29/03/26HPesaro89-91
25/03/26ALibertas Livorno68-60
22/03/26HBasket Torino72-80
08/03/26HScafati82-97
01/03/26ARoseto71-87
21/02/26AMestre85-90
15/02/26HUrania Milano72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWLLLL44%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %27%44%11%
Points / game77.278.476.1
Allowed / game81.277.784.6
Point differential-4.0+0.8-8.6
Avg total158.5156.1160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won9% (11)0% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW25%
HomeLLLLW26%
AwayLLLWL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %25%26%24%
Points / game76.679.173.8
Allowed / game82.983.082.8
Point differential-6.3-3.9-9.0
Avg total159.5162.1156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%11%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)14% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %8%5%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro37271073%82.879.1+3.7
2 Scafati37261170%83.677.5+6.0
3 Fortitudo Bologna36241267%76.372.8+3.6
4 Verona37241365%78.973.4+5.6
5 Cividale37241365%78.874.4+4.5
6 Brindisi36221461%77.874.1+3.7
7 Rimini36211558%82.178.8+3.2
8 Avellino Basket36211558%81.379.1+2.2
9 Libertas Livorno37211657%79.373.9+5.4
10 Sebastiani Rieti37211657%79.877.7+2.1
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 Basket Torino36171947%73.373.9-0.6
13 JuVi Cremona36171947%75.677.3-1.7
14 Urania Milano36162044%79.581.7-2.2
15 Mestre36142239%78.181.4-3.3
16 Forli36132336%76.781.6-5.0
17 Ruvo Di Puglia36112531%77.187.1-9.9
18 Cento37102727%77.281.2-4.0
19 Pistoia3692725%76.682.9-6.3
20 Roseto3672919%77.785.0-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cento3328172199
Pistoia3619121986
← all games of the day
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