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Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-68
0-0 23-20 0-0 50-48
Position#282
Record9-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#269
Record12-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game73.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pittsburgh v Notre Dame
21 Feb 2026
PITT73
NOTR68
03 Feb 2024
PITT70
NOTR60
28 Dec 2021
PITT67
NOTR68
30 Jan 2021
PITT58
NOTR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pittsburgh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#309
W
89-66
89
66
+23
A15/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
59-100
59
100
-41
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A22/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H24/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A04/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H07/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
54-70
54
70
-16
H11/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A14/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
45-26
0-0
44-40
0-0
22-53
0-0
37-47
0-0
22-28
0-0
40-37
0-0
33-34
0-0
39-47
0-0
30-36
0-0
36-30
0-0
16-33
0-0
36-30
0-0
20-33
0-0
27-34
0-0
32-34
0-0
35-52
0-0
29-35
0-0
25-35
0-0
32-46
0-0
33-33
140.0Avg total
64.7Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)69.971.8141.7-1.835%
Season at home (16)73.673.6147.1+0.044%
Season away (10)64.168.9133.0-4.820%
Last 10 (10)64.775.3140.0-10.620%
Last 5 (5)57.073.0130.0-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)64.974.9139.8-10.118%
vs Similar ◀ (7)73.773.1146.9+0.643%
vs Weaker (6)79.558.7138.2+20.867%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H14/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A17/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A22/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
H28/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A31/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A05/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H07/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A11/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H14/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-39
0-0
30-42
0-0
34-45
0-0
42-44
0-0
33-42
0-0
36-49
0-0
24-35
0-0
44-29
0-0
44-35
0-0
29-38
0-0
31-40
0-0
41-46
0-0
32-38
0-0
33-38
0-0
32-41
0-0
47-41
0-0
37-43
0-0
44-46
0-0
45-33
0-0
44-41
159.7Avg total
76.5Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.773.4148.1+1.246%
Season at home (15)79.572.0151.5+7.567%
Season away (11)68.075.4143.4-7.418%
Last 10 (10)76.583.2159.7-6.720%
Last 5 (5)77.281.4158.6-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)68.874.5143.3-5.629%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.773.2153.9+7.475%
vs Weaker (1)82.058.0140.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
PittsburghNotre Dame
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#309
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A15/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
22-53
22
53
-31
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A22/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
20-33
20
33
-13
A04/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H07/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H11/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A14/02
NCAA
63.9Avg total
28.1Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.766.9-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.334.269.5+1.147%-
Last 30 away (13)30.533.163.5-2.623%-
Last 10 (10)28.135.863.9-7.710%-
Last 5 (5)25.836.262.0-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)30.235.865.9-5.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.435.370.7+0.129%-
vs Weaker (6)39.226.265.3+13.067%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#38
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H14/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A17/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A22/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H28/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A05/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H07/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H14/02
NCAA
74.2Avg total
35.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.967.1-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.431.666.0+2.956%-
Last 30 away (12)31.337.468.8-6.125%-
Last 10 (10)35.139.174.2-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.074.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.536.368.8-3.829%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.530.964.4+2.658%-
vs Weaker (1)41.029.070.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pittsburgh wins
7
Notre Dame wins
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ANorth Carolina65-79
11/02/26HDuke54-70
07/02/26HSMU Mustangs67-86
04/02/26AVirginia47-67
31/01/26AClemson52-63
27/01/26HWake Forest80-76 OT
24/01/26HNC State72-81
22/01/26ABoston College62-65
18/01/26HLouisville59-100
15/01/26AGeorgia Tech89-66
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HGeorgia Tech89-74
11/02/26ASMU Mustangs81-89
07/02/26HFlorida State79-82
05/02/26ALouisville65-76
31/01/26ASyracuse72-86
28/01/26HVirginia97-100 OT
24/01/26HBoston College68-64
22/01/26ANorth Carolina69-91
17/01/26AVirginia Tech76-89
14/01/26HMiami (FL)69-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pittsburgh
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeLLWLL44%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %35%44%20%
Points / game69.973.664.1
Allowed / game71.873.668.9
Point differential-1.8+0.0-4.8
Avg total141.7147.1133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%31%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW46%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %46%67%18%
Points / game74.779.568.0
Allowed / game73.472.075.4
Point differential+1.2+7.5-7.4
Avg total148.1151.5143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %8%7%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2624292%83.063.2+19.8
2 Virginia2723485%80.968.9+12.0
3 Miami (FL)2621581%82.969.9+13.0
4 North Carolina2721678%80.770.6+10.1
5 Louisville2619773%86.871.8+15.0
6 Clemson2820871%74.565.6+8.9
7 NC State2719870%84.973.8+11.1
8 SMU Mustangs2618869%86.577.8+8.7
9 California2618869%79.073.0+6.0
10 Virginia Tech28181064%78.874.0+4.8
11 Stanford26161062%75.472.5+2.9
12 Syracuse28151354%75.673.4+2.2
13 Florida State27141352%80.077.7+2.3
14 Wake Forest27141352%79.377.2+2.1
15 Notre Dame26121446%74.773.4+1.2
16 Georgia Tech27111641%74.377.0-2.7
17 Pittsburgh2691735%69.971.8-1.8
18 Boston College2691735%67.669.7-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pittsburgh02305073
Notre Dame02004868
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