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Virginia Tech vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-76
45-34 44-42
Position#122
Record13-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#269
Record10-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Virginia Tech v Notre Dame
17 Jan 2026
VIRG89
NOTR76
09 Mar 2024
VIRG82
NOTR76
07 Mar 2023
VIRG67
NOTR64
15 Jan 2022
VIRG79
NOTR73
10 Jan 2021
VIRG77
NOTR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia Tech winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
A03/12
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H06/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
96-74
96
74
+22
H12/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
82-53
82
53
+29
H14/12
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
95-85 OT
95
85
+10
H31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H08/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H10/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-34
33-36
43-30
30-32
53-34
43-40
38-29
44-24
35-43
37-29
23-24
32-31
32-36
46-45
31-24
37-45
37-37
41-38
38-39
38-38
155.4Avg total
81.4Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.973.9155.9+8.072%
Season at home (12)86.271.9158.2+14.392%
Season away (6)73.378.0151.3-4.733%
Last 10 (10)81.474.0155.4+7.470%
Last 5 (5)79.077.4156.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.676.1144.7-7.633%
vs Similar (17)79.573.9153.4+5.665%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)82.568.2150.8+14.2100%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H03/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H11/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H13/12
NCAA
IPFW
#181
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A31/12
NCAA
California
#79
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A03/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H10/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-39
31-27
33-40
43-31
36-45
40-31
33-33
47-32
41-29
41-29
24-27
45-45
22-17
25-23
31-27
40-45
34-39
27-37
39-39
30-42
138.4Avg total
69.8Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.268.1141.4+5.159%
Season at home (11)78.269.1147.3+9.173%
Season away (6)64.266.3130.5-2.233%
Last 10 (10)69.868.6138.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)63.468.2131.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)66.271.8137.9-5.638%
vs Similar (10)79.171.4150.5+7.770%
vs Weaker (4)74.870.0144.8+4.850%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +2.7+2.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +2.7+2.7
Virginia TechNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A03/12
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H12/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H08/01
NCAA
California
#79
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/01
NCAA
69.7Avg total
36.7Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.767.8+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.734.571.2+2.250%-
Last 30 away (12)30.232.462.7-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)36.733.069.7+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.232.064.2+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)27.733.160.8-5.411%-
vs Similar (17)36.634.971.5+1.847%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.829.867.5+8.0100%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H03/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A06/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H11/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H13/12
NCAA
IPFW
#181
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
22-17
22
17
+5
A31/12
NCAA
California
#79
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A03/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H10/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H14/01
NCAA
65.3Avg total
31.8Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.032.264.2-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.831.464.2+1.450%-
Last 30 away (12)30.833.564.2-2.842%-
Last 10 (10)31.833.565.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.029.859.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.435.666.1-5.225%-
vs Similar (10)32.827.660.4+5.270%-
vs Weaker (4)36.230.266.5+6.075%-
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Virginia Tech wins
2
Notre Dame wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26ASMU Mustangs76-77
10/01/26HCalifornia78-75
08/01/26HStanford68-69
03/01/26AWake Forest78-81
31/12/25HVirginia95-85 OT
20/12/25HElon82-81 OT
14/12/25HMd.-East. Shore82-53
12/12/25HWestern Carolina96-74
06/12/25HGeorge Mason73-62
03/12/25ASouth Carolina86-83 OT
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HMiami (FL)69-81
10/01/26HClemson61-76
03/01/26ACalifornia71-72
31/12/25AStanford47-40
21/12/25HIPFW69-72
13/12/25HEvansville82-58
11/12/25HIdaho80-65
06/12/25ATCU87-85 OT
03/12/25HMissouri76-71
26/11/25AHouston56-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia Tech
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL72%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %72%92%33%
Points / game81.986.273.3
Allowed / game73.971.978.0
Point differential+8.0+14.3-4.7
Avg total155.9158.2151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %22%25%17%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL59%
HomeWWLLL73%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %59%73%33%
Points / game73.278.264.2
Allowed / game68.169.166.3
Point differential+5.1+9.1-2.2
Avg total141.4147.3130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1716194%85.865.9+19.9
2 Miami (FL)1715288%87.869.2+18.6
3 Virginia1815383%83.069.2+13.8
4 Clemson1815383%77.664.8+12.8
5 North Carolina1714382%82.268.7+13.5
6 Stanford1814478%77.971.7+6.2
7 SMU Mustangs1713476%88.477.0+11.4
8 California1813572%78.570.1+8.4
9 Virginia Tech1813572%81.973.9+8.0
10 Louisville1712571%87.270.2+17.1
11 NC State1712571%86.571.2+15.3
12 Syracuse1712571%75.966.9+9.0
13 Wake Forest1710759%81.875.4+6.4
14 Notre Dame1710759%73.268.1+5.1
15 Georgia Tech1810856%75.473.0+2.4
16 Pittsburgh178947%74.169.4+4.8
17 Florida State1771041%83.182.1+1.1
18 Boston College1771041%67.968.2-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia Tech454489
Notre Dame344276
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