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Pittsburgh vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-87
44-55 33-32
Position#301
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game59.2
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#158
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#42
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H20/02
NCAA
NC State
#137
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H02/03
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A06/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H09/03
NCAA
Citadel
#254
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H10/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#206
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A13/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#54
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H17/11
NCAA
Towson
#43
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H19/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
52-68
52
68
-16
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-39
39-40
21-31
41-34
30-29
40-28
36-38
26-39
36-40
37-39
31-43
32-35
24-36
35-38
34-21
25-30
26-29
37-30
23-24
29-44
132.2Avg total
63.5Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)59.266.0125.2-6.840%
Season at home (4)59.264.0123.2-4.850%
Season away (1)59.074.0133.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)63.568.7132.2-5.230%
Last 5 (5)59.266.0125.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)64.769.9134.6-5.233%
vs Similar (15)68.670.4139.0-1.847%
vs Weaker (6)74.567.7142.2+6.850%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#262
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#262
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A08/02
NCAA
Vermont
#71
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H19/02
NCAA
Vermont
#71
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H19/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#200
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H06/03
NCAA
UMass
#220
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A10/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#522
W
85-47
85
47
+38
H16/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#302
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H20/11
NCAA
Longwood
#22
L
55-82
55
82
-27
A20/11
NCAA
American University
#316
W
98-67
98
67
+31
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-28
32-37
26-24
34-24
31-32
40-48
34-20
32-35
40-28
37-51
36-32
24-45
38-29
47-18
47-46
44-29
24-47
31-35
45-31
53-36
140.9Avg total
73.4Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.869.6147.4+8.260%
Season at home (3)91.363.0154.3+28.3100%
Season away (2)57.579.5137.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)73.467.5140.9+5.960%
Last 5 (5)77.869.6147.4+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.273.0141.2-4.840%
vs Similar (7)65.366.1131.4-0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)73.066.8139.8+6.271%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +1.6+1.6
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +1.6+1.6
PittsburghUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#42
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/02
NCAA
NC State
#137
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H02/03
NCAA
Clemson
#78
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A06/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#268
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H09/03
NCAA
Citadel
#254
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H10/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#206
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A13/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#54
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H17/11
NCAA
Towson
#43
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H19/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H25/11
NCAA
62.4Avg total
29.4Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.933.364.2-2.427%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.933.366.2-0.333%-
Last 30 away (12)27.933.361.2-5.417%-
Last 10 (10)29.433.062.4-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)27.630.658.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)28.431.960.3-3.411%-
vs Similar (15)30.433.764.1-3.320%-
vs Weaker (6)36.034.570.5+1.567%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#262
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A07/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#262
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Vermont
#71
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Vermont
#71
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H19/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#200
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H06/03
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A10/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#522
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#302
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H20/11
NCAA
Longwood
#22
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A20/11
NCAA
American University
#316
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H24/11
NCAA
67.7Avg total
36.0Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.765.2+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.831.267.0+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)31.232.363.5-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)36.031.767.7+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.075.0+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.834.666.4-2.840%-
vs Similar (7)31.632.163.7-0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)34.530.965.4+3.659%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pittsburgh wins
0
UMBC Retrievers wins
No previous meetings.
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/21HVanderbilt52-68
19/11/21HTowson63-59
17/11/21HNC Wilmington59-51
13/11/21AWest Virginia59-74
10/11/21HCitadel63-78
09/03/21HMiami (FL)73-79
06/03/21AClemson62-77
02/03/21HWake Forest70-57
28/02/21ANC State62-65
20/02/21HFlorida State72-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/21HAmerican University98-67
20/11/21ALongwood55-82
20/11/21HWestern Carolina91-75
16/11/21HPenn State-York85-47
10/11/21AUMass60-77
06/03/21HUMass Lowell77-79
19/02/21HVermont66-55
19/02/21HVermont71-80
08/02/21AStony Brook60-48
07/02/21AStony Brook71-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pittsburgh
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %40%50%0%
Points / game59.259.259.0
Allowed / game66.064.074.0
Point differential-6.8-4.8-15.0
Avg total125.2123.2133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game77.891.357.5
Allowed / game69.663.079.5
Point differential+8.2+28.3-22.0
Avg total147.4154.3137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke770100%85.664.6+21.0
2 Wake Forest660100%86.365.7+20.7
3 Florida State65183%75.763.0+12.7
4 Georgia Tech65183%75.866.2+9.7
5 Louisville65183%71.563.3+8.2
6 NC State54180%75.468.0+7.4
7 Virginia Tech75271%71.452.7+18.7
8 Clemson75271%74.761.7+13.0
9 Virginia75271%61.453.6+7.9
10 North Carolina64267%83.278.7+4.5
11 Miami (FL)64267%74.871.0+3.8
12 Stanford64267%68.568.5+0.0
13 Notre Dame53260%70.862.4+8.4
14 SMU Mustangs74357%77.468.4+9.0
15 Boston College74357%68.361.7+6.6
16 Syracuse63350%78.777.2+1.5
17 Pittsburgh52340%59.266.0-6.8
18 California62433%64.769.2-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell75271%76.361.7+14.6
2 Vermont75271%64.957.3+7.6
3 UMBC Retrievers53260%77.869.6+8.2
4 New Hampshire42250%77.566.5+11.0
5 Bryant University63350%79.072.0+7.0
6 NJIT42250%62.561.5+1.0
7 Maine Black Bears52340%59.066.2-7.2
8 Binghamton41325%70.277.0-6.8
9 Albany61517%60.371.5-11.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Pittsburgh443377
UMBC Retrievers553287
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