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NC State vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 65-62
31-21 34-41
Position#137
Record11-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#215
Record9-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · NC State v Pittsburgh
06 Jan 2027
NC S v PITT
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
NC S98
PITT88
05 Mar 2025
NC S71
PITT63
07 Feb 2024
NC S64
PITT67
02 Dec 2022
NC S60
PITT68
28 Feb 2021
NC S65
PITT62
11 Mar 2020
NC S73
PITT58
29 Feb 2020
NC S77
PITT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#105
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A23/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H28/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H04/02
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A06/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H09/02
NCAA
Duke
#154
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H13/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A17/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
80-62
80
62
+18
A20/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-43
43-43
32-21
40-46
47-38
26-38
24-28
33-36
44-24
37-41
33-34
35-43
21-39
32-30
40-39
34-34
51-35
29-27
29-23
39-38
140.2Avg total
70.2Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.569.8143.3+3.855%
Season at home (11)73.464.9138.3+8.564%
Season away (9)73.875.8149.6-2.044%
Last 10 (10)70.270.0140.2+0.250%
Last 5 (5)68.668.4137.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.375.9145.1-6.629%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.971.5143.4+0.555%
vs Weaker (12)79.766.4146.1+13.275%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#96
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H16/01
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H20/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A23/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H27/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
58-84
58
84
-26
H31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H04/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A06/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A14/02
NCAA
NC State
#137
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-37
64-39
43-34
36-39
45-38
30-38
27-34
38-41
29-41
29-43
31-31
52-41
27-30
39-43
22-31
43-40
39-40
34-34
33-39
39-40
148.5Avg total
73.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.270.3142.4+1.950%
Season at home (12)74.171.7145.8+2.450%
Season away (6)68.367.5135.8+0.850%
Last 10 (10)73.275.3148.5-2.130%
Last 5 (5)71.873.8145.6-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.776.1143.9-8.414%
vs Similar ◀ (19)67.368.9136.2-1.747%
vs Weaker (4)76.067.5143.5+8.550%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: +0.6+0.6
NC StatePittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#105
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A23/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H28/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H04/02
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A06/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#96
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H09/02
NCAA
Duke
#154
L
21-39
21
39
-18
H13/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#215
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A17/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A20/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A24/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
35.4Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.333.070.3+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.230.466.6+5.875%-
Last 30 away (14)38.536.174.6+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)35.432.467.8+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)34.834.068.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.133.066.1+0.157%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.035.771.7+0.364%-
vs Weaker (12)40.830.671.4+10.383%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#96
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H16/01
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H20/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#312
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A23/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H27/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#236
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H31/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#65
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H04/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A14/02
NCAA
NC State
#137
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#42
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/02
NCAA
68.3Avg total
32.8Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.733.364.0-2.530%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.233.065.2-0.835%-
Last 30 away (13)28.833.662.4-4.823%-
Last 10 (10)32.835.568.3-2.720%-
Last 5 (5)30.434.264.6-3.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.335.965.1-6.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)29.832.161.9-2.232%-
vs Weaker (4)37.534.572.0+3.075%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
NC State wins
0
Pittsburgh wins
DateGameScore
17/02/21Pittsburgh v NC State73-74
11/03/20NC State v Pittsburgh73-58
29/02/20NC State v Pittsburgh77-73
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/21AVirginia68-61
20/02/21AWake Forest80-62
17/02/21APittsburgh74-73
13/02/21HDuke53-69
09/02/21HSyracuse68-77
06/02/21ABoston College81-65
04/02/21HVirginia57-64
31/01/21ASyracuse73-76
28/01/21HWake Forest72-67
23/01/21ANorth Carolina76-86
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/21HFlorida State72-79
17/02/21HNC State73-74
14/02/21AGeorgia Tech65-71
06/02/21AVirginia66-73
04/02/21HVirginia Tech83-72
31/01/21HNotre Dame58-84
27/01/21HNorth Carolina65-75
23/01/21AWake Forest75-76
20/01/21HDuke79-73
16/01/21HSyracuse96-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeLWLLL64%
AwayLWWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %55%64%44%
Points / game73.573.473.8
Allowed / game69.864.975.8
Point differential+3.8+8.5-2.0
Avg total143.3138.3149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game72.274.168.3
Allowed / game70.371.767.5
Point differential+1.9+2.4+0.8
Avg total142.4145.8135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State1814478%79.269.7+9.6
2 Virginia Tech2015575%72.164.8+7.3
3 Clemson2015575%65.361.6+3.7
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%74.366.6+7.7
5 Louisville1813572%69.266.2+2.9
6 Virginia2115671%68.860.6+8.2
7 North Carolina2315865%74.369.4+4.9
8 Georgia Tech2113862%75.370.0+5.4
9 Syracuse2113862%76.371.6+4.7
10 Stanford25141156%71.369.0+2.4
11 Duke2011955%75.971.6+4.3
12 NC State2011955%73.569.8+3.8
13 Pittsburgh189950%72.270.3+1.9
14 Notre Dame2291341%72.772.8-0.1
15 Miami (FL)2271532%66.071.4-5.5
16 Wake Forest1961332%66.471.5-5.1
17 California2781930%65.370.0-4.7
18 Boston College1741324%72.778.3-5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State313465
Pittsburgh214162
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