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UMBC Retrievers vs Vermont Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 66-55
34-20 32-35
Position#57
Record13-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game64.7
UMBC Retrievers 🏆
USA
vs
Vermont
USA
Position#71
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game62.6
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Vermont
21 Jan 2027
UMBC v VERM
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
UMBC74
VERM59
19 Feb 2026
UMBC75
VERM62
01 Mar 2025
UMBC69
VERM79
10 Feb 2024
UMBC70
VERM72
01 Jan 2023
UMBC61
VERM74
15 Jan 2022
UMBC69
VERM86
19 Feb 2021
UMBC66
VERM55
18 Feb 2021
UMBC71
VERM80
11 Jan 2020
UMBC50
VERM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vermont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#323
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H28/12
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A09/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A10/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H16/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H17/01
NCAA
NJIT
#270
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A31/01
NCAA
NJIT
#270
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A02/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#262
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#262
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A08/02
NCAA
Vermont
#71
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
37-43
38-26
31-28
29-35
39-31
30-31
33-39
26-27
31-22
39-30
26-39
34-25
41-46
39-28
32-37
26-24
34-24
31-32
40-48
131.5Avg total
66.8Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.364.7134.0+4.772%
Season at home (7)71.769.0140.7+2.757%
Season away (11)67.861.9129.7+5.982%
Last 10 (10)66.864.7131.5+2.160%
Last 5 (5)68.466.6135.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)69.873.2143.0-3.440%
vs Similar (11)65.861.0126.8+4.873%
vs Weaker (14)69.665.4135.0+4.371%
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#270
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
H28/12
NCAA
Albany
#230
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Albany
#230
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A09/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
W
84-44
84
44
+40
A10/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#325
W
65-30
65
30
+35
H16/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#325
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H17/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#262
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H13/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#262
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H14/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#57
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-31
27-33
38-22
24-41
39-39
35-27
44-30
32-30
43-22
41-22
31-12
34-18
47-28
41-32
35-29
51-49
28-26
33-31
32-31
48-40
136.6Avg total
75.6Scored
61.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.062.6137.6+12.477%
Season at home (8)76.064.1140.1+11.975%
Season away (5)73.460.2133.6+13.280%
Last 10 (10)75.661.0136.6+14.680%
Last 5 (5)76.059.2135.2+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)74.460.4134.8+14.087%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +10.4+10.42nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +4.3+4.3
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +10.4+10.42nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +4.3+4.3
UMBC RetrieversVermont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#323
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H28/12
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A09/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#163
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H16/01
NCAA
Hartford
#103
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H17/01
NCAA
NJIT
#270
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A31/01
NCAA
NJIT
#270
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A02/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#262
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A07/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#262
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Vermont
#71
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H19/02
NCAA
61.4Avg total
32.4Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.730.261.9+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.429.962.3+2.554%-
Last 30 away (17)31.130.461.5+0.741%-
Last 10 (10)32.429.061.4+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)33.827.861.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.433.866.2-1.440%-
vs Similar (11)30.328.859.1+1.545%-
vs Weaker (14)32.530.062.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#270
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H28/12
NCAA
Albany
#230
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H02/01
NCAA
Albany
#230
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A09/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#323
W
43-22
43
22
+21
A10/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#325
W
31-12
31
12
+19
H16/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#325
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H17/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#262
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H13/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#262
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H14/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#57
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A19/02
NCAA
64.4Avg total
37.4Scored
27.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.327.764.0+8.687%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.127.364.4+9.888%-
Last 30 away (13)35.228.263.4+6.985%-
Last 10 (10)37.427.064.4+10.490%-
Last 5 (5)34.625.259.8+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)36.327.764.0+8.687%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UMBC Retrievers wins
3
Vermont wins
DateGameScore
19/02/21UMBC Retrievers v Vermont71-80
10/03/20Vermont v UMBC Retrievers81-74
23/02/20Vermont v UMBC Retrievers64-66
11/01/20UMBC Retrievers v Vermont50-74
UMBC Retrieverslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/21HVermont71-80
08/02/21AStony Brook60-48
07/02/21AStony Brook71-65
02/02/21ANJIT75-71
31/01/21ANJIT65-69
17/01/21HHartford57-49
16/01/21HHartford63-70
10/01/21ANew Hampshire68-66
09/01/21ANew Hampshire69-54
28/12/20HBinghamton69-75
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/21AUMBC Retrievers80-71
14/02/21HStony Brook61-57
13/02/21HStony Brook86-78
17/01/21HMaine Black Bears88-60
16/01/21HMaine Black Bears65-30
10/01/21ABinghamton84-44
09/01/21ABinghamton76-60
03/01/21HAlbany74-66
02/01/21HAlbany62-63
28/12/20HNJIT80-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL72%
HomeWLLWL57%
AwayWLWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %72%57%82%
Points / game69.371.767.8
Allowed / game64.769.061.9
Point differential+4.7+2.7+5.9
Avg total134.0140.7129.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%29%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)-80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vermont
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %77%75%80%
Points / game75.076.073.4
Allowed / game62.664.160.2
Point differential+12.4+11.9+13.2
Avg total137.6140.1133.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont1310377%75.062.6+12.4
2 UMBC Retrievers1813572%69.364.7+4.7
3 Bryant University1510567%88.179.0+9.1
4 New Hampshire179853%67.466.3+1.1
5 UMass Lowell1881044%69.171.9-2.9
6 NJIT167944%66.869.3-2.5
7 Albany125742%70.669.3+1.2
8 Maine Black Bears92722%53.164.6-11.4
9 Binghamton1521313%64.773.6-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers343266
Vermont203555
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