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Plzen vs Decin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-109
13-20 30-28 19-31 17-30
Position#11
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Plzen
Czech Republic
vs
Decin 🏆
Czech Republic
Position#5
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Czech RepublicNBLRound 1· Mestska sportovni hala
Other2026-27
Meetings · Plzen v Decin
17 Sep 2026
PLZE79
DECI109
16 Nov 2016
PLZE50
DECI113
14 Dec 2011
PLZE52
DECI67
22 Jan 2011
PLZE54
DECI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Plzen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Decin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PlzenCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlzen
Date
Competition
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
90-58
90
58
+32
92avg 74
A23/01
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
86-73
86
73
+13
84avg 74
H30/01
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
W
98-52
98
52
+46
88avg 74
H15/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
60avg 74
A20/02
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
68-74
68
74
-6
53avg 74
H01/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
66-87
66
87
-21
52avg 74
A06/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 74
H15/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
87-82
87
82
+5
87avg 74
A20/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
80avg 74
H27/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
L
94-107
94
107
-13
82avg 74
A29/03
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
21-12
24-21
19-11
21-16
16-14
25-21
24-22
27-15
16-10
27-9
28-18
14-16
25-18
18-23
14-14
17-16
10-24
16-18
25-16
15-24
26-25
8-21
17-17
18-15
24-23
22-21
21-18
25-19
21-23
21-20
20-20
22-30
22-20
17-18
24-17
19-28
23-35
28-12
24-32
164.1Avg total
84.6Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.679.5164.1+5.150%
Last 5 (5)84.689.8174.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)65.092.0157.0-27.00%
vs Similar (6)82.278.3160.5+3.850%
vs Weaker (22)83.573.9157.4+9.773%
This opponent (Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Srsni Pisek
#7
L
76-91
76
91
-15
63avg 72
A05/04
NBL
Opava
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
55avg 72
H11/04
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
81avg 72
H18/04
NBL
Brno
#3
L
94-107
94
107
-13
82avg 72
A27/04
NBL
Brno
#3
W
98-89
98
89
+9
92avg 72
A28/04
NBL
Brno
#3
W
82-66
82
66
+16
70avg 72
H01/05
NBL
Brno
#3
W
84-75
84
75
+9
75avg 72
H02/05
NBL
Brno
#3
L
65-75
65
75
-10
55avg 72
A05/05
NBL
Brno
#3
L
81-86
81
86
-5
70avg 72
H08/05
NBL
Brno
#3
L
78-98
78
98
-20
58avg 72
A11/05
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
14-21
15-30
27-20
22-23
13-15
15-24
20-16
26-25
14-20
20-18
25-17
22-29
16-29
29-23
27-26
24-22
21-30
20-16
33-21
23-11
29-23
13-20
17-12
21-19
22-9
19-28
22-19
17-18
17-18
18-18
13-21
32-18
18-20
14-28
17-20
18-27
22-24
22-25
16-22
165.8Avg total
81.3Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.384.5165.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)78.080.0158.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.295.9176.1-15.612%
vs Similar (19)83.883.8167.6-0.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)81.777.7159.3+4.067%
This opponent (Plzen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
PlzenDecin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PlzenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A23/01
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H30/01
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H15/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/02
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H01/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A06/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A20/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H27/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A29/03
1. Liga
80.5Avg total
40.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.679.4+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.578.4+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.838.680.4+3.253%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.780.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.048.491.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)32.547.079.5-14.50%-
vs Similar (6)42.036.878.8+5.283%-
vs Weaker (22)42.636.979.5+5.759%-
This opponent (Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Srsni Pisek
#7
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A05/04
NBL
Opava
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H11/04
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H18/04
NBL
Brno
#3
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A27/04
NBL
Brno
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A28/04
NBL
Brno
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H01/05
NBL
Brno
#3
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H02/05
NBL
Brno
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A05/05
NBL
Brno
#3
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H08/05
NBL
Brno
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A11/05
NBL
83.2Avg total
41.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.686.1-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.986.0+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.947.386.3-8.413%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.183.2-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.481.2+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.048.489.4-7.412%-
vs Similar (19)42.243.685.7-1.442%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)38.741.380.0-2.733%-
This opponent (Plzen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Plzentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Plzen: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.9
50.2%
52.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.29.3
27.2%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.514.2
69.3%
68.8%14.2
They take 75.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Decin: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.917.5
43.9%
52.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.4
31.5%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws29.420.7
70.4%
68.8%20.7
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Plzen
LLWWLLLWWW
Decin
LLLWWWLWLL
#11
League position
#5
+4.6
Net rating
-3.8
87.3
Offensive rating
90.1
82.7
Defensive rating
93.9
46.0%
Effective FG%
45.2%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
13.5%
Turnover %
11.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.44
27.2%
3-point %
31.5%
59.6%
Assist %
63.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence87.3 · 90.1Defence82.7 · 93.9Shooting46.0% · 45.2%3-point %27.2% · 31.5%Ball care13.5% · 11.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Plzen   ■ Decin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Plzen wins
5
Decin wins
DateGameScore
16/11/16Plzen v Decin50-113
14/12/11Plzen v Decin52-67
22/10/11Decin v Plzen79-49
22/01/11Plzen v Decin54-74
30/10/10Decin v Plzen82-68
Plzenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26ASvitavy94-107
27/03/26HSvitavy91-96 OT
20/03/26APardubice 287-82
15/03/26HNovy Jicin85-77
06/03/26AZlin66-87
01/03/26HPardubice 268-74
20/02/26ANovy Jicin81-89 OT
15/02/26HZlin98-52
30/01/26HCZ.ACADEMY86-73
23/01/26ASokol Prazsky90-58
Decinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/26ABrno78-98
08/05/26HBrno81-86
05/05/26ABrno65-75
02/05/26HBrno84-75
01/05/26HBrno82-66
28/04/26ABrno98-89
27/04/26ABrno94-107
18/04/26HUsti n. Labem85-80
11/04/26HOpava70-78
05/04/26ASrsni Pisek76-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Plzen
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Decin
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Plzen1330191779
Decin20283130109
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