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Plzen vs Pardubice Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game91.7
vs
Position#2
Record8-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game77.7
Czech RepublicNBLRound 20· Mestska sportovni hala
Other2026-27
Meetings · Plzen v Pardubice
30 Dec 2026
PLZE v PAR
upcoming
05 Oct 2011
PLZE54
PAR95
20 Oct 2010
PLZE65
PAR106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Plzen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pardubice win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PlzenCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svitavy
#5
L
94-107
94
107
-13
A29/03
1. Liga
Decin
#3
L
79-109
79
109
-30
H17/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#4
L
74-115
74
115
-41
A23/09
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H27/09
NBL
USK Prague
#7
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H30/09
NBL
Opava
#10
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A03/10
NBL
Brno
#8
L
69-83
69
83
-14
H11/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A16/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#9
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H25/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
A28/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
23-35
28-12
24-32
13-20
30-28
19-31
17-30
10-28
20-23
19-30
25-34
7-31
24-24
28-17
22-16
21-20
24-17
14-20
22-27
13-24
30-17
22-26
17-25
20-25
8-23
20-17
21-18
23-19
22-18
16-16
20-19
22-26
20-22
17-13
18-23
21-21
18-24
12-34
23-19
172.4Avg total
79.2Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.691.7169.2-14.111%
Season at home (5)77.489.6167.0-12.20%
Season away (4)77.894.2172.0-16.525%
Last 10 (10)79.293.2172.4-14.010%
Last 5 (5)76.685.8162.4-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.194.1171.2-17.00%
vs Similar (6)82.278.3160.5+3.850%
vs Weaker (16)81.973.6155.4+8.369%
This opponent (Pardubice) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PardubiceCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hradec Kralove
#9
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A26/09
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#6
W
92-82
92
82
+10
A30/09
NBL
NH Ostrava
#5
W
110-98
110
98
+12
H03/10
NBL
Reggiana
#20
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A06/10
Champions League
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
60-105
60
105
-45
A10/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
88-61
88
61
+27
H14/10
NBL
Decin
#3
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H17/10
NBL
Unicaja
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H20/10
Champions League
Usti n. Labem
#4
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A25/10
NBL
Plzen
#11
W
98-74
98
74
+24
H28/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
20-21
25-18
16-10
22-27
28-17
21-21
21-17
29-23
20-27
30-18
31-30
15-15
14-24
22-25
14-18
21-24
17-30
11-21
11-30
18-13
25-9
28-16
17-23
27-17
27-23
8-20
17-22
17-21
16-24
15-19
15-15
27-12
23-21
7-13
26-18
21-21
24-18
34-12
19-23
163.1Avg total
82.6Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.377.7166.0+10.680%
Season at home (5)92.078.8170.8+13.280%
Season away (5)84.676.6161.2+8.080%
Last 10 (10)82.680.5163.1+2.160%
Last 5 (5)82.272.0154.2+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.684.5159.1-9.930%
vs Similar (2)81.073.0154.0+8.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.678.4168.9+12.289%
This opponent (Plzen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.9-1.9
PlzenPardubice
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PlzenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svitavy
#5
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A29/03
1. Liga
Decin
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H17/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#4
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A23/09
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#6
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H27/09
NBL
USK Prague
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H30/09
NBL
Opava
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A03/10
NBL
Brno
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H11/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A16/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H25/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/10
NBL
86.1Avg total
38.8Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.379.4+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.079.5+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.839.679.4+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)38.847.386.1-8.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.883.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.646.684.2-9.025%-
vs Similar (6)42.036.878.8+5.283%-
vs Weaker (16)40.736.677.2+4.162%-
This opponent (Pardubice) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PardubiceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hradec Kralove
#9
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A26/09
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A30/09
NBL
NH Ostrava
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H03/10
NBL
Reggiana
#20
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A06/10
Champions League
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A10/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H14/10
NBL
Decin
#3
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H17/10
NBL
Unicaja
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H20/10
Champions League
Usti n. Labem
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A25/10
NBL
Plzen
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H28/10
NBL
85.4Avg total
43.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.982.7+2.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.939.483.3+4.580%-
Last 30 away (15)41.640.482.0+1.260%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.685.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.035.880.8+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.443.080.4-5.640%-
vs Similar (2)52.036.588.5+15.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.738.683.3+6.283%-
This opponent (Plzen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Plzentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Plzen: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.214.0
40.9%
52.4%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.411.7
34.0%
32.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws23.616.1
68.2%
68.8%16.1
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pardubicetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pardubice: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.4
49.0%
52.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.811.1
31.9%
32.3%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.314.3
74.1%
68.8%14.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Plzen
LLWLLLLLLL
Pardubice
WWLLWLLWWW
#11
League position
#2
-14.9
Net rating
+2.4
84.2
Offensive rating
89.7
99.1
Defensive rating
87.3
46.0%
Effective FG%
48.4%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.0%
3-point %
31.9%
68.5%
Assist %
61.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence84.2 · 89.7Defence99.1 · 87.3Shooting46.0% · 48.4%3-point %34.0% · 31.9%Ball care17.1% · 15.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Plzen   ■ Pardubice
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Plzen wins
5
Pardubice wins
DateGameScore
28/10/26Pardubice v Plzen98-74
03/12/11Pardubice v Plzen73-47
05/10/11Plzen v Pardubice54-95
18/12/10Pardubice v Plzen79-59
20/10/10Plzen v Pardubice65-106
Plzenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26APardubice74-98
25/10/26HHradec Kralove77-84
16/10/26AOlomoucko81-72
11/10/26HBrno69-83
03/10/26AOpava82-92
30/09/26HUSK Prague81-84
27/09/26HSrsni Pisek81-88
23/09/26AUsti n. Labem74-115
17/09/26HDecin79-109
29/03/26ASvitavy94-107
Pardubicelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HPlzen98-74
25/10/26AUsti n. Labem83-64
20/10/26HUnicaja63-79
17/10/26HDecin79-82
14/10/26HOlomoucko88-61
10/10/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK60-105
06/10/26AReggiana65-82
03/10/26HNH Ostrava110-98
30/09/26ASrsni Pisek92-82
26/09/26AHradec Kralove88-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Plzen
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL11%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%0%25%
Points / game77.677.477.8
Allowed / game91.789.694.2
Point differential-14.1-12.2-16.5
Avg total169.2167.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pardubice
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW80%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game88.392.084.6
Allowed / game77.778.876.6
Point differential+10.6+13.2+8.0
Avg total166.0170.8161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%60%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slavia Prague ERA NBK98189%99.280.2+19.0
2 Pardubice108280%88.377.7+10.6
3 Decin86275%85.475.2+10.1
4 Usti n. Labem96367%87.778.2+9.4
5 NH Ostrava85362%85.881.1+4.6
6 Srsni Pisek85362%89.286.4+2.9
7 USK Prague94544%83.683.9-0.3
8 Brno93633%80.984.8-3.9
9 Hradec Kralove93633%86.493.8-7.3
10 Opava93633%83.491.0-7.6
11 Plzen91811%77.691.7-14.1
12 Olomoucko91811%65.087.7-22.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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