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Plzen vs Pardubice Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game93.4
Plzen
Czech Republic
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Pardubice
Czech Republic
Position#2
Record12-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game80.4
Czech RepublicNBLRound 20· Mestska sportovni hala
Other2026-27
Meetings · Plzen v Pardubice
30 Dec 2026
PLZE v PAR
upcoming
05 Oct 2011
PLZE54
PAR95
20 Oct 2010
PLZE65
PAR106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Plzen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pardubice win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PlzenCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlzen
Date
Competition
Srsni Pisek
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
71avg 71
H27/09
NBL
USK Prague
#7
L
81-84
81
84
-3
72avg 71
H30/09
NBL
Opava
#10
L
82-92
82
92
-10
68avg 71
A03/10
NBL
Brno
#8
L
69-83
69
83
-14
58avg 71
H11/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
73avg 71
A16/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#9
L
77-84
77
84
-7
73avg 71
H25/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
69avg 71
A28/10
NBL
NH Ostrava
#4
L
64-82
64
82
-18
50avg 71
A31/10
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
82-114
82
114
-32
no box
A06/11
NBL
Decin
#5
L
79-100
79
100
-21
no box
A14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-31
24-24
28-17
22-16
21-20
24-17
14-20
22-27
13-24
30-17
22-26
17-25
20-25
8-23
20-17
21-18
23-19
22-18
16-16
20-19
22-26
20-22
17-13
18-23
21-21
18-24
12-34
23-19
11-17
15-25
16-20
22-20
14-36
26-27
16-32
26-19
21-26
23-28
13-26
22-20
166.7Avg total
77.0Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.993.4170.3-16.58%
Season at home (5)77.489.6167.0-12.20%
Season away (7)76.696.1172.7-19.614%
Last 10 (10)77.089.7166.7-12.710%
Last 5 (5)75.295.6170.8-20.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.595.4171.9-18.80%
vs Similar (5)81.479.2160.6+2.240%
vs Weaker (14)83.474.9158.4+8.571%
This opponent (Pardubice) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PardubiceCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPardubice
Date
Competition
Olomoucko
#12
W
88-61
88
61
+27
87avg 79
H14/10
NBL
Decin
#5
L
79-82
79
82
-3
68avg 79
H17/10
NBL
Unicaja
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
51avg 79
H20/10
Champions League
Usti n. Labem
#6
W
83-64
83
64
+19
71avg 79
A25/10
NBL
Plzen
#11
W
98-74
98
74
+24
92avg 79
H28/10
NBL
USK Prague
#7
W
102-85
102
85
+17
98avg 79
A31/10
NBL
Juventus
#19
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
no box
A03/11
Champions League
Opava
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
no box
H07/11
NBL
Decin
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
A11/11
NBL
Brno
#8
W
109-108 OT
109
108
+1
no box
A14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
25-9
28-16
17-23
27-17
27-23
8-20
17-22
17-21
16-24
15-19
15-15
27-12
23-21
7-13
26-18
21-21
24-18
34-12
19-23
31-24
22-23
21-23
28-15
21-21
25-19
23-35
20-14
34-13
23-28
20-20
22-19
23-13
18-20
18-22
22-20
18-12
12-23
21-25
25-16
170.3Avg total
89.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.080.4171.4+10.686%
Season at home (6)93.279.0172.2+14.283%
Season away (8)89.481.4170.8+8.088%
Last 10 (10)89.780.6170.3+9.170%
Last 5 (5)97.289.2186.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.684.5159.1-9.930%
vs Similar (3)85.085.0170.0+0.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)93.580.2173.7+13.288%
This opponent (Plzen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.2-7.2Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.6+2.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.2-7.2Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.6+2.6
PlzenPardubice
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PlzenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Srsni Pisek
#3
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H27/09
NBL
USK Prague
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H30/09
NBL
Opava
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A03/10
NBL
Brno
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H11/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A16/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H25/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/10
NBL
NH Ostrava
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A31/10
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
40-63
40
63
-23
A06/11
NBL
Decin
#5
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A14/11
NBL
85.3Avg total
38.3Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.081.2-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.640.080.6+0.654%-
Last 30 away (17)39.841.881.6-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.347.085.3-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.250.488.6-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.448.485.7-11.018%-
vs Similar (5)41.836.678.4+5.280%-
vs Weaker (14)41.736.978.6+4.964%-
This opponent (Pardubice) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PardubiceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olomoucko
#12
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H14/10
NBL
Decin
#5
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H17/10
NBL
Unicaja
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H20/10
Champions League
Usti n. Labem
#6
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A25/10
NBL
Plzen
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H28/10
NBL
USK Prague
#7
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A31/10
NBL
Juventus
#19
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A03/11
Champions League
Opava
#10
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H07/11
NBL
Decin
#5
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A11/11
NBL
Brno
#8
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A14/11
NBL
82.7Avg total
45.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.340.182.4+2.267%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.839.484.2+5.577%-
Last 30 away (17)40.440.681.1-0.259%-
Last 10 (10)45.237.582.7+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.284.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.443.080.4-5.640%-
vs Similar (3)47.037.784.7+9.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.438.883.2+5.676%-
This opponent (Plzen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Plzentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Plzen: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
46%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.514.5
42.0%
52.9%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.510.9
32.5%
32.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.514.5
67.4%
68.8%14.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pardubicetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pardubice: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
46%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.117.9
49.6%
52.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.311.0
32.1%
32.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.215.0
74.3%
68.8%15.0
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Plzen
LLLLLWLLLL
Pardubice
WWWLWWWLLW
#11
League position
#2
-15.7
Net rating
+2.8
82.4
Offensive rating
91.4
98.1
Defensive rating
88.6
45.4%
Effective FG%
48.9%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.5%
3-point %
32.1%
66.9%
Assist %
63.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence82.4 · 91.4Defence98.1 · 88.6Shooting45.4% · 48.9%3-point %32.5% · 32.1%Ball care17.7% · 14.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Plzen   ■ Pardubice
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Plzen wins
5
Pardubice wins
DateGameScore
28/10/26Pardubice v Plzen98-74
03/12/11Pardubice v Plzen73-47
05/10/11Plzen v Pardubice54-95
18/12/10Pardubice v Plzen79-59
20/10/10Plzen v Pardubice65-106
Plzenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ADecin79-100
06/11/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK82-114
31/10/26ANH Ostrava64-82
28/10/26APardubice74-98
25/10/26HHradec Kralove77-84
16/10/26AOlomoucko81-72
11/10/26HBrno69-83
03/10/26AOpava82-92
30/09/26HUSK Prague81-84
27/09/26HSrsni Pisek81-88
Pardubicelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABrno109-108 OT
11/11/26ADecin81-75
07/11/26HOpava99-80
03/11/26AJuventus95-98 OT
31/10/26AUSK Prague102-85
28/10/26HPlzen98-74
25/10/26AUsti n. Labem83-64
20/10/26HUnicaja63-79
17/10/26HDecin79-82
14/10/26HOlomoucko88-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Plzen
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %8%0%14%
Points / game76.977.476.6
Allowed / game93.489.696.1
Point differential-16.5-12.2-19.6
Avg total170.3167.0172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pardubice
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %86%83%88%
Points / game91.093.289.4
Allowed / game80.479.081.4
Point differential+10.6+14.2+8.0
Avg total171.4172.2170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%67%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slavia Prague ERA NBK1211192%98.980.9+18.0
2 Pardubice1412286%91.080.4+10.6
3 Srsni Pisek107370%90.584.0+6.5
4 NH Ostrava117464%84.379.1+5.2
5 Decin138562%85.578.2+7.4
6 Usti n. Labem116555%85.880.6+5.2
7 USK Prague115645%83.885.4-1.5
8 Brno125742%83.284.3-1.1
9 Hradec Kralove124833%85.290.9-5.7
10 Opava124833%82.289.2-7.0
11 Plzen121118%76.993.4-16.5
12 Olomoucko121118%67.389.0-21.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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