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Plzen vs Usti n. Labem Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 78-89
Projected total 166.5
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game92.8
Vs
17%
83%
■ PLZE 17%■ USTI 83%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#6
Record6-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game80.6
Czech RepublicNBLRound 13· Mestska sportovni hala
Other2026-27
Meetings · Plzen v Usti n. Labem
18 Nov 2026
PLZE v USTI
upcoming
14 Nov 2017
PLZE46
USTI113
20 Apr 2012
PLZE68
USTI93
29 Feb 2012
PLZE82
USTI80
04 Feb 2012
PLZE75
USTI68
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Plzen will host Usti n. Labem on 18 November 2026 in the NBL, and the Pythia model names Usti n. Labem the favourite with an 83% chance of winning, a reflection of their 6-5 record, 85.8 points per game and 80.6 allowed, versus Plzen's 1-10 record, 76.7 points per game and 92.8 allowed; the model projects a 78-89 score and 166.5 total points, with a 3% chance of overtime. Plzen has struggled all season, winning only one of eleven games, and has gone 0-5 at home, scoring 77.4 and allowing 89.6; their last five games included a 82-114 loss to Slavia Prague ERA NBK, a 64-82 loss to NH Ostrava and a 74-98 loss to Pardubice. Usti n. Labem, meanwhile, has won six of eleven, with a 2-2 road record, scoring 81.8 and allowing 87.2 on the road, and their last five games feature a 66-92 loss to Decin, an 89-91 loss to Slavia Prague ERA NBK at home and a 61-82 loss to NH Ostrava. In the eight meetings between the clubs, Usti n.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Plzen win
16.9%fair 5.91
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Usti n. Labem win
83.1%fair 1.20
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PlzenCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlzen
Date
Competition
Usti n. Labem
#6
L
74-115
74
115
-41
56avg 70
A23/09
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
71avg 70
H27/09
NBL
USK Prague
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
72avg 70
H30/09
NBL
Opava
#9
L
82-92
82
92
-10
68avg 70
A03/10
NBL
Brno
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
58avg 70
H11/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
73avg 70
A16/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#10
L
77-84
77
84
-7
73avg 70
H25/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
69avg 70
A28/10
NBL
NH Ostrava
#4
L
64-82
64
82
-18
50avg 70
A31/10
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
82-114
82
114
-32
no box
A06/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-28
20-23
19-30
25-34
7-31
24-24
28-17
22-16
21-20
24-17
14-20
22-27
13-24
30-17
22-26
17-25
20-25
8-23
20-17
21-18
23-19
22-18
16-16
20-19
22-26
20-22
17-13
18-23
21-21
18-24
12-34
23-19
11-17
15-25
16-20
22-20
14-36
26-27
16-32
26-19
167.7Avg total
76.5Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.792.8169.5-16.19%
Season at home (5)77.489.6167.0-12.20%
Season away (6)76.295.5171.7-19.317%
Last 10 (10)76.591.2167.7-14.710%
Last 5 (5)75.690.0165.6-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.394.9171.2-18.60%
vs Similar (5)81.479.2160.6+2.240%
vs Weaker (15)82.773.7156.3+9.073%
This opponent (Usti n. Labem) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Usti n. LabemCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLabem
Date
Competition
Plzen
#11
W
115-74
115
74
+41
114avg 80
H23/09
NBL
USK Prague
#8
W
89-80
89
80
+9
73avg 80
A26/09
NBL
Opava
#9
W
86-76
86
76
+10
74avg 80
H30/09
NBL
Brno
#7
W
83-68
83
68
+15
71avg 80
H04/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
102-66
102
66
+36
97avg 80
H11/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#10
W
111-95
111
95
+16
102avg 80
A17/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
64-83
64
83
-19
54avg 80
H25/10
NBL
NH Ostrava
#4
L
61-82
61
82
-21
41avg 80
A28/10
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
H01/11
NBL
Decin
#5
L
66-92
66
92
-26
no box
A07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-10
23-20
30-19
34-25
16-24
16-20
25-20
32-16
24-18
26-20
18-22
18-16
17-17
25-12
18-20
23-19
22-17
23-14
25-19
32-16
25-21
31-22
36-23
19-29
12-27
21-23
13-7
18-26
14-17
20-19
14-20
13-26
21-23
32-24
15-16
21-28
12-26
22-23
13-16
19-27
167.3Avg total
86.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.880.6166.5+5.255%
Season at home (7)88.176.9165.0+11.357%
Season away (4)81.887.2169.0-5.550%
Last 10 (10)86.680.7167.3+5.960%
Last 5 (5)78.288.6166.8-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)85.295.0180.2-9.817%
vs Similar (17)82.485.2167.6-2.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)96.778.0174.7+18.7100%
This opponent (Plzen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163
Over 163
58.2%
Under 163
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168
Over 168
45.7%
Under 168
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173
Over 173
33.8%
Under 173
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Plzen total 82.5
Over 82.5
31.8%
Under 82.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plzen total 86.5
Over 86.5
19.7%
Under 86.5
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plzen total 90.5
Over 90.5
11.1%
Under 90.5
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Usti n. Labem total 78
Over 78
86.5%
Under 78
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Usti n. Labem total 82
Over 82
75.7%
Under 82
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Usti n. Labem total 86
Over 86
61.1%
Under 86
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Plzen -3
PLZE -3
11.8%
USTI +3
88.2%
Best 5 market prices
PLZE
No market prices yet.
USTI
No market prices yet.
Spread Plzen 0
PLZE 0
16.9%
USTI 0
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
PLZE
No market prices yet.
USTI
No market prices yet.
Spread Plzen +3
PLZE +3
22.5%
USTI -3
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
PLZE
No market prices yet.
USTI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.5-8.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.5-8.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
PlzenUsti n. Labem
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PlzenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Usti n. Labem
#6
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A23/09
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#3
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H27/09
NBL
USK Prague
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H30/09
NBL
Opava
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A03/10
NBL
Brno
#7
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H11/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A16/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H25/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/10
NBL
NH Ostrava
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A31/10
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
40-63
40
63
-23
A06/11
NBL
83.6Avg total
36.9Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.180.0-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.339.179.4+1.257%-
Last 30 away (16)39.541.180.6-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)36.946.783.6-9.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.447.085.4-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.747.884.5-11.120%-
vs Similar (5)41.836.678.4+5.280%-
vs Weaker (15)41.336.277.5+5.167%-
This opponent (Usti n. Labem) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Usti n. LabemLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plzen
#11
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H23/09
NBL
USK Prague
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A26/09
NBL
Opava
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H30/09
NBL
Brno
#7
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H04/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H11/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#10
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A17/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H25/10
NBL
NH Ostrava
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A28/10
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H01/11
NBL
Decin
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A07/11
NBL
82.7Avg total
43.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.142.485.5+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.140.185.2+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)40.945.185.9-4.236%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.782.7+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.087.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.350.393.7-7.033%-
vs Similar (17)42.242.284.4+0.047%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.136.381.4+8.986%-
This opponent (Plzen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Plzentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Plzen: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.514.5
42.0%
52.9%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.510.9
32.5%
32.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.514.5
67.4%
68.8%14.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Usti n. Labemtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Usti n. Labem: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.2
55.2%
52.9%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.3
29.3%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.017.0
70.8%
68.8%17.0
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Plzen
LLLLWLLLLL
Usti n. Labem
LLLLWWWWWW
#11
League position
#6
-15.7
Net rating
+6.0
82.4
Offensive rating
92.3
98.1
Defensive rating
86.3
45.4%
Effective FG%
50.6%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
17.7%
Turnover %
13.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.5%
3-point %
29.3%
66.9%
Assist %
47.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence82.4 · 92.3Defence98.1 · 86.3Shooting45.4% · 50.6%3-point %32.5% · 29.3%Ball care17.7% · 13.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Plzen   ■ Usti n. Labem
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Plzen wins
5
Usti n. Labem wins
DateGameScore
23/09/26Usti n. Labem v Plzen115-74
14/11/17Plzen v Usti n. Labem46-113
20/04/12Plzen v Usti n. Labem68-93
07/04/12Usti n. Labem v Plzen81-84
25/03/12Usti n. Labem v Plzen92-90
29/02/12Plzen v Usti n. Labem82-80
04/02/12Plzen v Usti n. Labem75-68
13/11/11Usti n. Labem v Plzen69-61
Plzenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK82-114
31/10/26ANH Ostrava64-82
28/10/26APardubice74-98
25/10/26HHradec Kralove77-84
16/10/26AOlomoucko81-72
11/10/26HBrno69-83
03/10/26AOpava82-92
30/09/26HUSK Prague81-84
27/09/26HSrsni Pisek81-88
23/09/26AUsti n. Labem74-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ADecin66-92
01/11/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK89-91
28/10/26ANH Ostrava61-82
25/10/26HPardubice64-83
17/10/26AHradec Kralove111-95
11/10/26HOlomoucko102-66
04/10/26HBrno83-68
30/09/26HOpava86-76
26/09/26AUSK Prague89-80
23/09/26HPlzen115-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Plzen
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %9%0%17%
Points / game76.777.476.2
Allowed / game92.889.695.5
Point differential-16.1-12.2-19.3
Avg total169.5167.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Usti n. Labem
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL55%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %55%57%50%
Points / game85.888.181.8
Allowed / game80.676.987.2
Point differential+5.2+11.3-5.5
Avg total166.5165.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slavia Prague ERA NBK1211192%98.980.9+18.0
2 Pardubice1311285%89.678.2+11.4
3 Srsni Pisek107370%90.584.0+6.5
4 NH Ostrava106460%85.079.8+5.2
5 Decin127558%84.378.1+6.2
6 Usti n. Labem116555%85.880.6+5.2
7 Brno115645%81.082.1-1.1
8 USK Prague115645%83.885.4-1.5
9 Opava114736%83.190.3-7.2
10 Hradec Kralove113827%83.491.7-8.4
11 Plzen111109%76.792.8-16.1
12 Olomoucko111109%66.087.5-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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