PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Plzen vs Valecnici Decin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-74
25-13 18-25 22-18 21-18
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game73.0
Plzen 🏆
Czech Republic
vs
Position#6
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game66.6
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 6· Mestska sportovni hala
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Plzen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valecnici Decin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PlzenCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlzen
Date
Competition
Radotin
#12
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 76
H28/03
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
W
96-82
96
82
+14
92avg 76
A30/03
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
W
81-73
81
73
+8
77avg 76
H01/04
1. Liga
Svitavy
#2
L
55-97
55
97
-42
39avg 76
A04/04
1. Liga
Svitavy
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
64avg 76
H06/04
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
97-86
97
86
+11
91avg 76
H19/09
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
78-54
78
54
+24
77avg 76
A28/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
W
93-62
93
62
+31
95avg 76
H03/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
L
79-93
79
93
-14
67avg 76
H10/10
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
W
85-70
85
70
+15
76avg 76
A17/10
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
20-22
34-29
12-21
26-28
31-7
15-18
24-29
16-19
18-15
23-14
24-25
17-23
16-24
13-20
9-30
23-24
9-23
25-22
18-18
24-15
16-22
29-30
28-19
28-12
25-21
13-7
12-14
30-15
24-9
21-15
18-23
30-26
20-31
19-14
10-22
23-22
21-22
22-15
19-11
160.8Avg total
82.0Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.473.0159.4+13.480%
Season at home (3)89.780.3170.0+9.367%
Season away (2)81.562.0143.5+19.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.078.8160.8+3.260%
Last 5 (5)86.473.0159.4+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.887.5158.3-16.717%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.878.7159.5+2.283%
vs Weaker (17)86.871.6158.4+15.282%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#22
L
68-71
68
71
-3
62avg 62
H21/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
77-65
77
65
+12
58avg 62
A26/09
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
L
67-70
67
70
-3
58avg 62
H05/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
70avg 62
A10/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
79-61
79
61
+18
62avg 62
H19/10
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
16-14
17-29
15-12
16-14
21-24
16-12
24-15
15-14
22-23
15-26
15-7
22-15
8-21
22-18
28-12
15-18
17-16
31-15
16-12
140.8Avg total
74.2Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.266.6140.8+7.660%
Season at home (3)71.367.3138.7+4.033%
Season away (2)78.565.5144.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (5)74.266.6140.8+7.660%
Last 5 (5)74.266.6140.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (5)74.266.6140.8+7.660%
This opponent (Plzen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +8.0+8.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +8.0+8.0
PlzenValecnici Decin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PlzenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radotin
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H28/03
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A30/03
1. Liga
Radotin
#12
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H01/04
1. Liga
Svitavy
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A04/04
1. Liga
Svitavy
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H06/04
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H19/09
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A28/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H03/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H10/10
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A17/10
1. Liga
82.4Avg total
43.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.480.6+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.838.180.8+4.750%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.980.4-1.343%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.282.4+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)48.239.087.2+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.248.884.0-13.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.740.778.3-3.033%-
vs Weaker (17)45.135.480.4+9.765%-
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#22
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H21/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/09
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H05/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A10/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H19/10
1. Liga
69.4Avg total
34.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)34.435.069.4-0.620%-
Last 30 at home (3)35.033.768.7+1.333%-
Last 30 away (2)33.537.070.5-3.50%-
Last 10 (5)34.435.069.4-0.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.069.4-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (5)34.435.069.4-0.620%-
This opponent (Plzen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Plzentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Plzen: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.3
49.5%
51.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.4
31.0%
29.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws26.817.6
65.7%
65.8%17.6
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.2
50.9%
51.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.08.4
24.7%
29.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.814.2
55.0%
65.8%14.2
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Plzen
WLWWWLLWWL
Valecnici Decin
WWLWL
#4
League position
#6
+4.3
Net rating
+9.6
103.5
Offensive rating
93.4
99.2
Defensive rating
83.8
48.3%
Effective FG%
44.0%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
21.3%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.0%
3-point %
24.7%
64.3%
Assist %
57.0%
60%
Form (last 10/5)
60%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 93.4Defence99.2 · 83.8Shooting48.3% · 44.0%3-point %31.0% · 24.7%Ball care16.5% · 21.3%Off. rebounds30.1% · 36.4%Free throws0.41 · 0.38Form (last 10/5)60% · 60%
■ Plzen   ■ Valecnici Decin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Plzen wins
0
Valecnici Decin wins
No previous meetings.
Plzenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/25ALiberecko85-70
10/10/25HRadotin79-93
03/10/25HPolabi93-62
28/09/25AUSK Prague B78-54
19/09/25HLitomerice97-86
06/04/25HSvitavy75-87
04/04/25ASvitavy55-97
01/04/25HRadotin81-73
30/03/25ARadotin96-82
28/03/25HRadotin81-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25HUSK Prague B79-61
10/10/25ALitomerice80-66
05/10/25HCZ.ACADEMY67-70
26/09/25ASokol Prazsky77-65
21/09/25HChomutov68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Plzen
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game86.489.781.5
Allowed / game73.080.362.0
Point differential+13.4+9.3+19.5
Avg total159.4170.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game74.271.378.5
Allowed / game66.667.365.5
Point differential+7.6+4.0+13.0
Avg total140.8138.7144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Novy Jicin550100%99.871.8+28.0
2 Plzen54180%86.473.0+13.4
3 Radotin54180%85.874.0+11.8
4 Pardubice 254180%78.470.8+7.6
5 Valecnici Decin53260%74.266.6+7.6
6 Svitavy53260%86.680.0+6.6
7 Chomutov53260%79.075.8+3.2
8 CZ.ACADEMY53260%78.682.0-3.4
9 MS Academy53260%84.296.8-12.6
10 Zlin42250%75.874.5+1.2
11 Brno U2342250%79.282.5-3.2
12 Opava 252340%85.883.2+2.6
13 Sokol Prazsky52340%82.482.6-0.2
14 Litomerice52340%78.483.6-5.2
15 USK Prague B52340%68.273.6-5.4
16 Jindrichuv Hradec51420%79.083.0-4.0
17 Liberecko51420%72.882.0-9.2
18 Basketbal Olomouc51420%73.285.8-12.6
19 Polabi51420%67.480.0-12.6
20 Vysoka51420%72.486.4-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Plzen2518222186
Valecnici Decin1325181874
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.