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Valecnici Decin vs USK Prague B Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-61
15-18 17-16 31-15 16-12
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game68.0
Valecnici Decin 🏆
Czech Republic
vs
USK Prague B
Czech Republic
Position#17
Record2-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game72.2
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 5· ARMEX Sportcentrum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valecnici Decin v USK Prague B
01 Nov 2026
VALE v USK
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
VALE79
USK 61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valecnici Decin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USK Prague B winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#22
L
68-71
68
71
-3
62avg 62
H21/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
77-65
77
65
+12
58avg 62
A26/09
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
L
67-70
67
70
-3
58avg 62
H05/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
70avg 62
A10/10
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
16-14
17-29
15-12
16-14
21-24
16-12
24-15
15-14
22-23
15-26
15-7
22-15
8-21
22-18
28-12
141.0Avg total
73.0Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.068.0141.0+5.050%
Season at home (2)67.570.5138.0-3.00%
Season away (2)78.565.5144.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (4)73.068.0141.0+5.050%
Last 5 (4)73.068.0141.0+5.050%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (4)73.068.0141.0+5.050%
This opponent (USK Prague B) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USK Prague BCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormB
Date
Competition
Opava 2
#13
L
60-76
60
76
-16
39avg 63
A19/02
1. Liga
Zlin
#4
W
94-88 OT
94
88
+6
85avg 63
H21/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#11
L
78-97
78
97
-19
68avg 63
A28/02
1. Liga
Opava 2
#13
L
83-85
83
85
-2
71avg 63
H07/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#4
L
67-80
67
80
-13
57avg 63
A14/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#11
W
75-72
75
72
+3
69avg 63
H21/03
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
W
70-56
70
56
+14
56avg 63
H21/09
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
54-78
54
78
-24
39avg 63
H28/09
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
L
80-98
80
98
-18
65avg 63
A05/10
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
W
76-57
76
57
+19
70avg 63
H10/10
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-25
23-14
14-13
13-24
24-17
11-15
20-20
23-26
23-18
21-17
19-28
15-34
27-19
17-22
20-22
19-22
25-19
16-16
12-28
14-17
25-17
19-16
10-17
21-22
14-18
22-7
17-13
17-18
12-28
21-25
7-13
14-12
18-38
25-13
15-26
22-21
17-12
14-20
26-11
19-14
152.4Avg total
73.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.072.2142.2-2.250%
Season at home (3)66.763.7130.3+3.067%
Season away (1)80.098.0178.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)73.778.7152.4-5.040%
Last 5 (5)71.072.2143.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.279.5151.8-7.250%
vs Similar (8)72.972.1145.0+0.850%
vs Weaker (10)77.179.4156.5-2.350%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +9.0+9.0Q4: -3.3-3.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +9.0+9.0Q4: -3.3-3.3
Valecnici DecinUSK Prague B
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#22
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H21/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/09
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H05/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A10/10
1. Liga
70.2Avg total
35.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)35.035.270.2-0.225%-
Last 30 at home (2)36.533.570.0+3.050%-
Last 30 away (2)33.537.070.5-3.50%-
Last 10 (4)35.035.270.2-0.225%-
Last 5 (4)35.035.270.2-0.225%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (4)35.035.270.2-0.225%-
This opponent (USK Prague B) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USK Prague BLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Opava 2
#13
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A19/02
1. Liga
Zlin
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H21/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A28/02
1. Liga
Opava 2
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H07/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#4
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A14/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H21/03
1. Liga
Polabi
#11
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H21/09
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H28/09
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A05/10
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H10/10
1. Liga
76.0Avg total
38.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.976.4+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.636.675.1+2.062%-
Last 30 away (14)38.439.477.9-1.057%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.676.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.876.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.840.377.2-3.542%-
vs Similar (8)39.232.671.9+6.675%-
vs Weaker (10)39.939.279.1+0.770%-
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.517.0
52.3%
51.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.87.8
23.7%
29.5%23.2
🏀 Free throws26.814.7
55.1%
65.8%14.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
USK Prague Btheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USK Prague B: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.8
50.9%
51.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.16.1
25.3%
29.5%18.3
🏀 Free throws18.811.4
60.6%
65.8%11.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valecnici Decin
WLWL
USK Prague B
WLLWWLLLWL
#6
League position
#17
+5.6
Net rating
-5.7
90.3
Offensive rating
95.7
84.7
Defensive rating
101.5
43.9%
Effective FG%
46.3%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
23.9%
Turnover %
17.9%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.28
23.7%
3-point %
25.3%
57.6%
Assist %
42.7%
50%
Form (last 4/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 95.7Defence84.7 · 101.5Shooting43.9% · 46.3%3-point %23.7% · 25.3%Ball care23.9% · 17.9%Off. rebounds36.6% · 30.3%Free throws0.41 · 0.28Form (last 4/10)50% · 40%
■ Valecnici Decin   ■ USK Prague B
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valecnici Decin wins
0
USK Prague B wins
No previous meetings.
Valecnici Decinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25ALitomerice80-66
05/10/25HCZ.ACADEMY67-70
26/09/25ASokol Prazsky77-65
21/09/25HChomutov68-71
USK Prague Blast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25HLiberecko76-57
05/10/25ARadotin80-98
28/09/25HPlzen54-78
21/09/25HPolabi70-56
21/03/25HNovy Jicin75-72
14/03/25AZlin67-80
07/03/25HOpava 283-85
28/02/25ANovy Jicin78-97
21/02/25HZlin94-88 OT
19/02/25AOpava 260-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game73.067.578.5
Allowed / game68.070.565.5
Point differential+5.0-3.0+13.0
Avg total141.0138.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
USK Prague B
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game70.066.780.0
Allowed / game72.263.798.0
Point differential-2.2+3.0-18.0
Avg total142.2130.3178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Novy Jicin440100%102.572.0+30.5
2 Plzen54180%86.473.0+13.4
3 Pardubice 254180%78.470.8+7.6
4 Radotin43175%88.578.5+10.0
5 Brno U2332167%82.080.3+1.7
6 Chomutov53260%79.075.8+3.2
7 CZ.ACADEMY53260%78.682.0-3.4
8 MS Academy53260%84.296.8-12.6
9 Valecnici Decin42250%73.068.0+5.0
10 Svitavy42250%83.880.5+3.2
11 Zlin42250%75.874.5+1.2
12 USK Prague B42250%70.072.2-2.2
13 Opava 252340%85.883.2+2.6
14 Sokol Prazsky52340%82.482.6-0.2
15 Litomerice52340%78.483.6-5.2
16 Basketbal Olomouc41325%72.082.8-10.8
17 Polabi41325%70.281.2-11.0
18 Jindrichuv Hradec51420%79.083.0-4.0
19 Liberecko51420%72.882.0-9.2
20 Vysoka51420%72.486.4-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valecnici Decin1517311679
USK Prague B1816151261
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