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Podgorica vs Ibar Rozaje Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-67
17-17 18-24 22-13 24-13
Position#7
Record8-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#14
Record7-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game81.3
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 19· Bemax Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Podgorica v Ibar Rozaje
11 Feb 2026
PODG81
IBAR67
23 Mar 2025
PODG99
IBAR71
02 Apr 2024
PODG77
IBAR60
29 Oct 2022
PODG20
IBAR0
07 Mar 2022
PODG83
IBAR58
12 May 2021
PODG80
IBAR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Podgorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ibar Rozaje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PodgoricaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Decic
#10
W
83-72
83
72
+11
88avg 72
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
83-87
83
87
-4
71avg 72
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
63avg 72
H05/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
63-69
63
69
-6
55avg 72
H10/01
Prva A Liga
Radnicki
#16
W
92-90
92
90
+2
no box
H16/01
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
A18/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
69avg 72
H22/01
Prva A Liga
MZT Skopje
#9
L
54-67
54
67
-13
42avg 72
A28/01
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#13
W
91-72
91
72
+19
92avg 72
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
86-64
86
64
+22
91avg 72
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
16-21
22-15
17-21
27-23
19-19
19-21
18-24
17-17
18-26
13-13
19-25
15-16
20-15
14-15
14-23
23-21
13-29
29-15
27-25
20-17
13-8
25-22
18-20
20-12
22-18
12-21
15-18
11-15
9-19
13-20
21-13
23-24
26-17
19-18
23-13
38-16
21-14
6-17
21-17
152.0Avg total
77.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.278.3157.4+0.944%
Season at home (8)76.475.2151.6+1.138%
Season away (10)81.480.7162.1+0.750%
Last 10 (10)77.274.8152.0+2.450%
Last 5 (5)76.869.8146.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.787.2158.9-15.50%
vs Similar (9)76.475.2151.7+1.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.176.7160.8+7.473%
This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ibar RozajeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRozaje
Date
Competition
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
78avg 66
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A20/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
87-72
87
72
+15
90avg 66
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
69-89
69
89
-20
52avg 66
A28/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
82avg 66
H04/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
85-93
85
93
-8
73avg 66
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
49avg 66
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
65-85
65
85
-20
59avg 66
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
74-108
74
108
-34
63avg 66
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
20-21
21-16
21-21
26-16
17-28
22-25
19-14
17-9
23-20
26-16
21-27
10-29
24-15
21-28
14-17
25-12
19-15
25-23
22-32
19-22
31-30
15-26
20-15
13-18
21-21
9-23
29-29
20-22
15-14
12-23
11-16
13-17
19-20
18-15
15-33
26-25
21-29
11-26
16-28
162.0Avg total
77.0Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.681.3156.9-5.739%
Season at home (9)78.275.9154.1+2.356%
Season away (9)73.086.7159.7-13.722%
Last 10 (10)77.085.0162.0-8.040%
Last 5 (5)70.890.4161.2-19.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)74.787.5162.2-12.716%
vs Similar (8)77.474.5151.9+2.962%
vs Weaker (3)64.768.7133.3-4.033%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -4.4-4.4
PodgoricaIbar Rozaje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Decic
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H10/01
Prva A Liga
Radnicki
#16
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H16/01
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A18/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H22/01
Prva A Liga
MZT Skopje
#9
L
20-34
20
34
-14
A28/01
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#13
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
59-30
59
30
+29
A07/02
Prva A Liga
76.1Avg total
39.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.476.2-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.939.477.2-1.550%-
Last 30 away (16)37.837.575.3+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.276.1+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.632.072.6+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.344.979.2-10.620%-
vs Similar (9)38.436.474.9+2.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.534.074.5+6.573%-
This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ibar RozajeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H13/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/12
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/12
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H04/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A07/02
Prva A Liga
79.9Avg total
40.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.476.8-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.339.777.0-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)35.840.976.7-5.219%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.779.9+0.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.683.2-4.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.443.780.2-7.321%-
vs Similar (8)38.135.073.1+3.150%-
vs Weaker (3)32.333.365.7-1.033%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.4
54.9%
58.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.1
24.8%
31.5%15.3
🏀 Free throws19.713.2
67.0%
69.7%13.2
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ibar Rozajetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ibar Rozaje: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.518.2
57.9%
58.8%36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.88.8
26.7%
31.5%26.2
🏀 Free throws17.212.0
69.6%
69.7%12.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Podgorica
WWLLWWLLLW
Ibar Rozaje
LLLLLWLWWW
#7
League position
#14
-10.3
Net rating
-12.3
95.3
Offensive rating
102.2
105.6
Defensive rating
114.5
48.7%
Effective FG%
48.8%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
11.6%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
24.8%
3-point %
26.7%
63.0%
Assist %
54.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 102.2Defence105.6 · 114.5Shooting48.7% · 48.8%3-point %24.8% · 26.7%Ball care11.6% · 0.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Podgorica   ■ Ibar Rozaje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Podgorica wins
0
Ibar Rozaje wins
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AUlcinj86-64
31/01/26HDanilovgrad91-72
28/01/26AMZT Skopje54-67
22/01/26HSutjeska77-79 OT
18/01/26AKotor76-67
16/01/26HRadnicki92-90
10/01/26HLovcen Cetinje63-69
05/01/26HMornar Bar67-81
27/12/25AJedinstvo83-87
23/12/25HDecic83-72
Ibar Rozajelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ASutjeska74-108
31/01/26AKotor65-85
24/01/26HLovcen Cetinje58-75
17/01/26AMornar Bar72-91
11/01/26HJedinstvo85-93
04/01/26HDecic91-82
28/12/25APrimorje69-89
23/12/25HStudentski Centar87-72
20/12/25ATivat84-83
13/12/25HVukovi Zeta85-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Podgorica
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW44%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %44%38%50%
Points / game79.276.481.4
Allowed / game78.375.280.7
Point differential+0.9+1.1+0.7
Avg total157.4151.6162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%25%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %22%25%20%
Ibar Rozaje
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL39%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%56%22%
Points / game75.678.273.0
Allowed / game81.375.986.7
Point differential-5.7+2.3-13.7
Avg total156.9154.1159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Primorje1815383%91.480.8+10.7
2 Sutjeska1915479%97.878.5+19.3
3 Mornar Bar1813572%85.480.0+5.4
4 Jedinstvo1913668%88.684.9+3.7
5 Lovcen Cetinje1812667%78.475.7+2.7
6 Kotor1810856%79.178.0+1.1
7 Podgorica1881044%79.278.3+0.9
8 Studentski Centar1881044%80.384.0-3.7
9 Ibar Rozaje1871139%75.681.3-5.7
10 Tivat1861233%88.495.4-7.0
11 Decic1961332%84.289.8-5.7
12 Ulcinj1851328%77.384.9-7.6
13 Danilovgrad1851328%80.988.8-7.9
14 Vukovi Zeta1951426%81.588.3-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Podgorica1718222481
Ibar Rozaje1724131367
← all games of the day
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