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Mornar Bar vs Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 117-109 (OT)
23-26 26-18 29-29 24-29 15-7
Position#4
Record17-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#7
Record14-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game77.9
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 26· Topolica Sport Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Podgorica
04 Apr 2026
MBA117
PODG109
12 Feb 2025
MBA82
PODG81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podgorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Mornar Bar
3.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.6
87.0▲ 5.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.9
88.4▲ 3.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
56%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 14.0
17.0▲ 3.0
🔥 Form · Podgorica
4.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.1
86.8▲ 7.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.8
78.6▼ 1.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
57%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.3
17.5▲ 1.2
Mornar BarMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H02/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
102-87
102
87
+15
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
71-113
71
113
-42
A05/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
W
101-89
101
89
+12
H08/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
87-101
87
101
-14
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
24-18
15-23
19-21
25-17
26-22
27-31
24-17
25-24
23-19
32-21
14-20
25-23
14-31
18-25
25-17
11-29
16-29
17-22
27-33
33-14
17-28
30-23
21-24
21-19
19-23
26-21
25-20
20-18
8-23
19-23
19-26
28-17
21-19
17-16
24-27
25-18
14-33
25-24
23-26
178.1Avg total
87.4Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.082.5168.4+3.568%
Season at home (12)88.279.3167.5+8.883%
Season away (13)83.985.4169.3-1.554%
Last 10 (10)87.490.7178.1-3.360%
Last 5 (5)87.088.4175.4-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.590.6167.1-14.120%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.080.5168.5+7.575%
vs Weaker (12)85.683.2168.8+2.367%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Danilovgrad
#13
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
86-64
86
64
+22
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#3
L
93-99 OT
93
99
-6
H03/03
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H15/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H26/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
26-17
19-18
23-13
38-16
21-14
6-17
21-17
17-17
18-24
22-13
24-13
17-21
25-16
16-19
28-23
15-25
23-23
30-18
18-20
22-28
25-13
15-16
20-16
27-20
24-14
21-15
20-24
18-20
32-23
18-14
22-27
18-18
20-23
23-20
23-24
21-15
27-17
14-22
24-24
164.5Avg total
87.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.077.9159.0+3.156%
Season at home (13)80.275.2155.3+5.062%
Season away (12)82.080.9162.9+1.150%
Last 10 (10)87.177.4164.5+9.780%
Last 5 (5)86.878.6165.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.486.8161.2-12.311%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.875.8152.5+1.050%
vs Weaker (13)84.876.1160.9+8.877%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
Mornar BarPodgorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H02/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
27-58
27
58
-31
A05/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H08/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A28/03
Prva A Liga
87.4Avg total
42.7Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.483.8+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.640.485.9+5.271%-
Last 30 away (16)39.542.481.9-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)42.744.787.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.483.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.143.281.3-5.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.541.286.8+4.262%-
vs Weaker (12)43.840.183.8+3.758%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Danilovgrad
#13
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
59-30
59
30
+29
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H03/03
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H15/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H26/03
Prva A Liga
84.5Avg total
45.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.077.5+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.238.980.1+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)37.937.074.9+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)45.738.884.5+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.285.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.142.878.9-6.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.536.577.0+4.062%-
vs Weaker (13)41.335.576.8+5.869%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.722.2
57.4%
58.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.5
27.5%
31.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws25.916.7
64.5%
69.7%16.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.0
53.3%
58.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.8
29.7%
31.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.416.3
72.8%
69.7%16.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LWLWWLLWWW
Podgorica
WLWWWLWWWW
#4
League position
#7
-7.7
Net rating
+0.0
103.5
Offensive rating
103.6
111.2
Defensive rating
103.6
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.1%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
4.8%
Turnover %
3.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
27.5%
3-point %
29.7%
49.8%
Assist %
58.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 103.6Defence111.2 · 103.6Shooting50.7% · 50.1%3-point %27.5% · 29.7%Ball care4.8% · 3.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Podgorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mornar Bar wins
1
Podgorica wins
DateGameScore
05/01/26Podgorica v Mornar Bar67-81
12/02/25Mornar Bar v Podgorica82-81
13/02/24Podgorica v Mornar Bar94-92
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26ASutjeska87-101
21/03/26HKotor90-79
16/03/26ALovcen Cetinje66-90
11/03/26ADanilovgrad91-83
08/03/26HJedinstvo101-89
05/03/26AZlatibor71-113
14/02/26ADecic82-96
11/02/26HPrimorje94-84
07/02/26AStudentski Centar102-87
02/02/26HTivat90-85
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26HJedinstvo86-78
21/03/26ADecic84-85
15/03/26HPrimorje90-84
11/03/26HStudentski Centar92-73
07/03/26HTivat82-73
03/03/26HHelios Domzale93-99 OT
15/02/26AVukovi Zeta86-79
11/02/26HIbar Rozaje81-67
07/02/26AUlcinj86-64
31/01/26HDanilovgrad91-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %68%83%54%
Points / game86.088.283.9
Allowed / game82.579.385.4
Point differential+3.5+8.8-1.5
Avg total168.4167.5169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Podgorica
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game81.080.282.0
Allowed / game77.975.280.9
Point differential+3.1+5.0+1.1
Avg total159.0155.3162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%31%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %16%15%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2621581%98.081.2+16.9
2 Primorje2619773%91.683.7+7.8
3 Mornar Bar2517868%86.082.5+3.5
4 Lovcen Cetinje2617965%78.875.2+3.6
5 Jedinstvo26151158%87.085.5+1.5
6 Podgorica25141156%81.077.9+3.1
7 Kotor26121446%78.380.8-2.4
8 Studentski Centar26111542%81.582.7-1.3
9 Decic26111542%87.390.8-3.6
10 Vukovi Zeta26101638%83.085.2-2.2
11 Tivat26101638%89.493.7-4.3
12 Danilovgrad26101638%79.485.2-5.8
13 Ibar Rozaje2691735%78.384.5-6.2
14 Ulcinj2652119%78.488.8-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Mornar Bar2326292415117
Podgorica261829297109
← all games of the day
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