PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Podgorica vs Tivat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-73
22-28 25-13 15-16 20-16
Position#7
Record10-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#12
Record7-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game95.0
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 21· Bemax Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Podgorica v Tivat
07 Mar 2026
PODG82
TIVA73
30 Apr 2025
PODG87
TIVA75
07 Apr 2025
PODG72
TIVA79
27 Mar 2024
PODG81
TIVA69
14 Jan 2023
PODG93
TIVA73
22 Jan 2022
PODG65
TIVA55
14 Apr 2021
PODG87
TIVA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Podgorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tivat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PodgoricaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
63-69
63
69
-6
55avg 73
H10/01
Prva A Liga
Radnicki
#16
W
92-90
92
90
+2
no box
H16/01
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
A18/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
69avg 73
H22/01
Prva A Liga
MZT Skopje
#9
L
54-67
54
67
-13
42avg 73
A28/01
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#13
W
91-72
91
72
+19
92avg 73
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
86-64
86
64
+22
91avg 73
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
81-67
81
67
+14
81avg 73
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
85avg 73
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#3
L
93-99 OT
93
99
-6
79avg 73
H03/03
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
20-15
14-15
14-23
23-21
13-29
29-15
27-25
20-17
13-8
25-22
18-20
20-12
22-18
12-21
15-18
11-15
9-19
13-20
21-13
23-24
26-17
19-18
23-13
38-16
21-14
6-17
21-17
17-17
18-24
22-13
24-13
17-21
25-16
16-19
28-23
15-25
23-23
30-18
18-20
155.2Avg total
79.9Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.677.8157.3+1.850%
Season at home (9)76.974.3151.2+2.644%
Season away (11)81.880.5162.4+1.355%
Last 10 (10)79.975.3155.2+4.660%
Last 5 (5)87.476.2163.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.688.3161.9-14.60%
vs Similar (7)73.677.3150.9-3.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.875.4159.2+8.475%
This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTivat
Date
Competition
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
89-93
89
93
-4
75avg 82
A25/12
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
94-105
94
105
-11
87avg 82
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
96-101
96
101
-5
92avg 82
H03/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
95-103
95
103
-8
80avg 82
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
no box
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
107-102
107
102
+5
105avg 82
H25/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
76avg 82
A02/02
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
84-94
84
94
-10
72avg 82
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
101-89
101
89
+12
98avg 82
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
79avg 82
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
22-32
23-23
21-19
27-26
16-28
24-29
27-22
35-22
18-25
27-29
16-25
30-22
18-32
25-21
22-28
26-20
22-19
17-26
17-17
32-24
25-32
23-22
27-24
23-32
18-24
23-15
21-19
27-25
7-27
22-20
28-22
34-23
22-17
20-34
25-15
20-18
17-29
24-26
22-20
188.6Avg total
92.3Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.895.0183.8-6.235%
Season at home (10)92.592.6185.1-0.150%
Season away (10)85.197.4182.5-12.320%
Last 10 (10)92.396.3188.6-4.020%
Last 5 (5)92.093.6185.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)85.697.1182.7-11.527%
vs Similar (13)87.290.2177.3-3.038%
vs Weaker (6)96.078.3174.3+17.7100%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -8.0-8.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -8.0-8.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
PodgoricaTivat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H10/01
Prva A Liga
Radnicki
#16
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H16/01
ABA League 2
Kotor
#8
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A18/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H22/01
Prva A Liga
MZT Skopje
#9
L
20-34
20
34
-14
A28/01
ABA League 2
Danilovgrad
#13
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
59-30
59
30
+29
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Helios Domzale
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H03/03
ABA League 2
75.6Avg total
38.9Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.339.276.5-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.140.677.6-3.536%-
Last 30 away (16)37.637.975.5-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.936.775.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.484.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.645.279.8-10.518%-
vs Similar (7)36.637.974.4-1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.234.474.7+5.867%-
This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A25/12
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H03/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H25/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A02/02
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H14/02
Prva A Liga
95.8Avg total
46.2Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.846.790.6-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.144.990.0+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.648.591.1-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)46.249.695.8-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.050.295.2-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.049.889.8-9.89%-
vs Similar (13)45.045.890.8-0.854%-
vs Weaker (6)48.343.091.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.5
54.7%
58.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.2
25.1%
31.5%15.6
🏀 Free throws20.013.3
66.5%
69.7%13.3
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tivat: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.0
51.8%
58.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.47.6
26.6%
31.5%22.7
🏀 Free throws22.915.2
66.5%
69.7%15.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Podgorica
LWWWWLLWWL
Tivat
LWLLWLLLLL
#7
League position
#12
-10.3
Net rating
-11.9
95.2
Offensive rating
99.3
105.5
Defensive rating
111.2
48.8%
Effective FG%
46.4%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
10.8%
Turnover %
10.9%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
25.1%
3-point %
26.6%
61.4%
Assist %
56.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 99.3Defence105.5 · 111.2Shooting48.8% · 46.4%3-point %25.1% · 26.6%Ball care10.8% · 10.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Podgorica   ■ Tivat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Podgorica wins
4
Tivat wins
DateGameScore
08/12/25Tivat v Podgorica101-99 OT
03/05/25Tivat v Podgorica61-86
30/04/25Podgorica v Tivat87-75
07/04/25Podgorica v Tivat72-79
11/12/24Tivat v Podgorica84-87
27/03/24Podgorica v Tivat81-69
28/12/23Tivat v Podgorica78-73
14/01/23Podgorica v Tivat93-73
08/10/22Tivat v Podgorica76-71
22/01/22Podgorica v Tivat65-55
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/26HHelios Domzale93-99 OT
15/02/26AVukovi Zeta86-79
11/02/26HIbar Rozaje81-67
07/02/26AUlcinj86-64
31/01/26HDanilovgrad91-72
28/01/26AMZT Skopje54-67
22/01/26HSutjeska77-79 OT
18/01/26AKotor76-67
16/01/26HRadnicki92-90
10/01/26HLovcen Cetinje63-69
Tivatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HSutjeska83-93
11/02/26AKotor101-89
07/02/26HLovcen Cetinje84-94
02/02/26AMornar Bar85-90
25/01/26HJedinstvo107-102
17/01/26ADecic89-93 OT
11/01/26HPrimorje95-103
03/01/26HStudentski Centar96-101
27/12/25ADanilovgrad94-105
25/12/25AVukovi Zeta89-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Podgorica
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeLLLWW44%
AwayLLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %50%44%55%
Points / game79.676.981.8
Allowed / game77.874.380.5
Point differential+1.9+2.6+1.3
Avg total157.3151.2162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %20%22%18%
Tivat
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL35%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%50%20%
Points / game88.892.585.1
Allowed / game95.092.697.4
Point differential-6.2-0.1-12.3
Avg total183.8185.1182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2016480%97.678.8+18.9
2 Primorje2016480%90.881.2+9.7
3 Mornar Bar2014670%85.781.0+4.7
4 Jedinstvo2013765%88.084.6+3.4
5 Lovcen Cetinje2013765%78.776.2+2.5
6 Podgorica20101050%79.677.8+1.9
7 Kotor20101050%78.579.8-1.4
8 Studentski Centar2091145%80.582.7-2.1
9 Ibar Rozaje2181338%75.580.9-5.4
10 Danilovgrad2181338%80.386.4-6.1
11 Decic2071335%84.889.5-4.7
12 Tivat2071335%88.895.0-6.2
13 Vukovi Zeta2051525%81.388.2-6.8
14 Ulcinj2051525%77.284.7-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Podgorica2225152082
Tivat2813161673
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.