Podgorica vs Zlatibor Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 89-64

26-14 12-15 26-17 25-18

Position#3

Record9-4

FormWWWLW

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game70.0

Podgorica 🏆

Zlatibor

Position#6

Record9-4

FormLLWWL

Points / game86.2

Allowed / game78.6

ABA League 2ABA League 2 - Quarter-finals

Other2022

Meetings · Podgorica v Zlatibor

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Podgorica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Zlatibor winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PodgoricaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Buducnost

67-76

-9

A16/02

Montenegrin Cup

Lovcen Cetinje

#10

80-63

+17

A04/03

Prva A Liga

Borac Banja Luka

73-60

+13

A06/03

ABA League 2

Helios Domzale

79-70

H09/03

ABA League 2

Pelister

97-84

+13

A11/03

ABA League 2

Studentski Centar

85-74

+11

H15/03

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

93-75

+18

H18/03

Prva A Liga

Milenijum

86-69

+17

A24/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

90-94

-4

H30/03

Prva A Liga

Primorje

83-78

H05/04

Prva A Liga

10-21

30-17

14-19

13-19

32-14

10-17

18-21

20-11

15-10

17-19

21-18

20-13

16-24

24-19

20-12

19-15

18-28

25-19

29-18

21-20

21-17

26-14

17-23

22-15

27-14

23-20

21-26

22-18

22-22

18-15

24-14

20-31

28-14

17-22

25-27

14-12

27-15

13-32

29-19

157.6Avg total

83.3Scored

74.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	78.9	70.0	148.9	+8.9	69%
Season at home (7)	78.0	68.4	146.4	+9.6	57%
Season away (6)	80.0	71.8	151.8	+8.2	83%
Last 10 (10)	83.3	74.3	157.6	+9.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	78.0	165.4	+9.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	75.3	74.0	149.3	+1.3	67%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	76.0	78.2	154.2	-2.2	25%
vs Weaker (22)	86.4	70.1	156.5	+16.3	91%

This opponent (Zlatibor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ZlatiborLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mladost Zemun

#10

87-92

-5

H27/02

First League

Vrsac

92-81

+11

A04/03

First League

Sutjeska

88-78

+10

A08/03

ABA League 2

Spars Ilidza

#13

96-72

+24

A10/03

ABA League 2

KK Krka Novo mesto

97-106

106

-9

H12/03

ABA League 2

OKK Novi Pazar

#13

88-92

-4

H15/03

First League

Spartak Subotica

91-92

-1

A20/03

First League

Sloga

95-82

+13

A25/03

First League

KK Metalac

91-74

+17

H02/04

First League

Leskovac Zdravlje

#14

78-87

-9

A08/04

First League

17-19

24-26

30-24

16-23

18-23

26-19

22-14

26-25

35-18

20-22

18-18

15-20

25-18

28-15

28-19

22-31

24-27

22-25

29-23

15-16

24-21

21-25

28-30

35-28

10-28

25-16

21-20

22-16

25-17

22-28

26-21

22-21

19-11

20-16

30-26

20-26

16-20

19-16

23-25

175.9Avg total

90.3Scored

85.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	86.2	78.6	164.8	+7.5	69%
Season at home (6)	86.5	80.5	167.0	+6.0	67%
Season away (7)	85.9	77.0	162.9	+8.9	71%
Last 10 (10)	90.3	85.6	175.9	+4.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	88.6	85.4	174.0	+3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	71.0	93.0	164.0	-22.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	84.4	84.3	168.6	+0.1	45%
vs Weaker (18)	85.0	76.2	161.2	+8.8	78%

This opponent (Podgorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PodgoricaZlatibor

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.3	39.4	+2.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	18.9	41.0	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	17.7	37.9	+2.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	23.0	38.7	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.5	18.8	38.2	+0.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (22)	22.3	17.4	39.7	+4.9	82%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.6	41.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.1	40.3	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	21.8	43.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.4	44.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.9	22.9	44.8	-1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.3	19.1	39.3	+1.2	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	16.3	37.3	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	15.9	37.6	+5.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	16.7	36.9	+3.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	17.3	40.4	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	16.4	41.4	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.7	17.0	40.7	+6.7	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (22)	20.7	15.7	36.4	+5.0	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	18.1	40.2	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	16.9	38.6	+4.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.9	42.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.1	18.7	40.8	+3.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.7	78%	-

PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Buducnost

40-38

A16/02

Montenegrin Cup

Lovcen Cetinje

#10

42-31

+11

A04/03

Prva A Liga

Borac Banja Luka

32-29

A06/03

ABA League 2

Helios Domzale

40-43

-3

H09/03

ABA League 2

Pelister

43-47

-4

A11/03

ABA League 2

Studentski Centar

42-37

H15/03

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

49-29

+20

H18/03

Prva A Liga

Milenijum

44-40

A24/03

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

48-45

H30/03

Prva A Liga

Primorje

41-27

+14

H05/04

Prva A Liga

78.7Avg total

42.1Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	34.6	76.7	+7.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.8	34.8	78.6	+9.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	34.5	74.8	+5.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	36.6	78.7	+5.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	35.6	80.4	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.3	40.0	79.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	38.2	36.8	75.0	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (22)	43.0	33.1	76.1	+10.0	82%	-

This opponent (Zlatibor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ZlatiborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mladost Zemun

#10

41-45

-4

H27/02

First League

Vrsac

44-42

A04/03

First League

Sutjeska

55-40

+15

A08/03

ABA League 2

Spars Ilidza

#13

40-38

A10/03

ABA League 2

KK Krka Novo mesto

46-58

-12

H12/03

ABA League 2

OKK Novi Pazar

#13

39-37

H15/03

First League

Spartak Subotica

45-56

-11

A20/03

First League

Sloga

47-33

+14

A25/03

First League

KK Metalac

41-32

H02/04

First League

Leskovac Zdravlje

#14

36-46

-10

A08/04

First League

86.1Avg total

43.4Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	38.7	81.6	+4.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	37.0	78.9	+4.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.7	40.2	83.9	+3.5	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	42.7	86.1	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	40.8	82.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	38.0	46.0	84.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	44.0	41.6	85.6	+2.4	73%	-
vs Weaker (18)	42.4	36.5	78.9	+5.9	83%	-

This opponent (Podgorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.3	39.6	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	17.9	41.3	+5.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	16.7	32.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	22.7	18.2	40.9	+4.5	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.3	19.4	41.6	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.7	42.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.3	20.4	39.6	-1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.9	18.9	40.9	+3.0	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	17.7	37.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.5	40.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.8	45.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	17.3	37.7	+3.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	19.0	21.5	40.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (22)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.9	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.6	42.1	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	22.9	43.1	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	23.2	47.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	24.4	50.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	30.0	41.0	-19.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.1	22.3	43.4	-1.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	36.9	78.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.4	37.3	80.7	+6.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.2	36.5	75.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	37.7	78.9	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	42.4	85.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.0	34.0	70.0	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	37.8	41.5	79.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (22)	42.9	36.5	79.4	+6.4	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	41.0	82.5	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.6	42.2	84.8	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.4	40.0	80.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.9	42.9	89.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	44.6	91.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	33.0	47.0	80.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.4	42.6	83.0	-2.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (18)	42.6	39.7	82.3	+2.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Zlatibortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlatibor: 72.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀26%

🏀🏀🏀50%

🏀24%

🏀🏀 2-pointers19.0 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 24% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	23.5	9.5	40.4%	55.3%	19.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.5	12.0	34.8%	33.1%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	17.5	17.0	97.1%	72.6%	17.0

They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 59% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	23.5	66.2%	55.3%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	10.0	33.3%	33.1%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	12.5	8.0	64.0%	72.6%	8.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	23.5	66.2%	55.3%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	10.0	33.3%	33.1%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	12.5	8.0	64.0%	72.6%	8.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Podgorica wins

Zlatibor wins

Date	Game	Score
20/10/22	Zlatibor v Podgorica	91-72
10/11/21	Podgorica v Zlatibor	66-73

Podgoricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/23	H	Primorje	83-78
30/03/23	H	Sutjeska	90-94
24/03/23	A	Milenijum	86-69
18/03/23	H	Jedinstvo	93-75
15/03/23	H	Studentski Centar	85-74
11/03/23	A	Pelister	97-84
09/03/23	H	Helios Domzale	79-70
06/03/23	A	Borac Banja Luka	73-60
04/03/23	A	Lovcen Cetinje	80-63
16/02/23	A	Buducnost	67-76

Zlatiborlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/23	A	Leskovac Zdravlje	78-87
02/04/23	H	KK Metalac	91-74
25/03/23	A	Sloga	95-82
20/03/23	A	Spartak Subotica	91-92
15/03/23	H	OKK Novi Pazar	88-92
12/03/23	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	97-106
10/03/23	A	Spars Ilidza	96-72
08/03/23	A	Sutjeska	88-78
04/03/23	A	Vrsac	92-81
27/02/23	H	Mladost Zemun	87-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Podgorica

ABA League 2 2022

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	69%
Home	WLWWW	57%
Away	WWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	69%	57%	83%
Points / game	78.9	78.0	80.0
Allowed / game	70.0	68.4	71.8
Point differential	+8.9	+9.6	+8.2
Avg total	148.9	146.4	151.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	29%	83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	8%	14%	0%

Zlatibor

ABA League 2 2022

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	69%
Home	WWLWL	67%
Away	LWLWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	69%	67%	71%
Points / game	86.2	86.5	85.9
Allowed / game	78.6	80.5	77.0
Point differential	+7.5	+6.0	+8.9
Avg total	164.8	167.0	162.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	33%	71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Helios Domzale	13	12	1	92%	88.8	72.1	+16.7
2	KK Krka Novo mesto	13	10	3	77%	85.7	77.9	+7.8
3	Borac Banja Luka	13	9	4	69%	82.8	73.9	+8.9
4	Podgorica	13	9	4	69%	78.9	70.0	+8.9
5	Zlatibor	13	9	4	69%	86.2	78.6	+7.5
6	Siroki Brijeg	13	9	4	69%	77.5	73.7	+3.8
7	Sutjeska	13	8	5	62%	75.6	72.3	+3.3
8	Pelister	13	7	6	54%	80.9	82.1	-1.2
9	Sloga	13	6	7	46%	78.7	81.8	-3.2
10	Sencur	13	4	9	31%	72.5	74.5	-2.0
11	TFT Skopje	13	3	10	23%	75.7	86.8	-11.2
12	Gorica	13	2	11	15%	74.0	87.3	-13.3
13	Spars Ilidza	13	2	11	15%	74.0	88.7	-14.7
14	Osijek	13	1	12	8%	72.6	84.2	-11.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Podgorica	26	12	26	25	89
Zlatibor	14	15	17	18	64

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Podgorica vs Zlatibor Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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