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Podgorica vs Zlatibor Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 113-89
33-26 30-15 26-27 24-21
Position#5
Record8-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#3
Record10-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game78.9
EuropeABA League 2ABA League 2 - Quarter-finals· Sportsko turisticki centar Wai Tai
Other2023
Meetings · Podgorica v Zlatibor
22 Jan 2025
PODG70
ZLA72
09 Apr 2024
PODG113
ZLA89
12 Apr 2023
PODG89
ZLA64
10 Nov 2021
PODG66
ZLA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Podgorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zlatibor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PodgoricaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
A06/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
H09/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
A14/03
Prva A Liga
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
85-79
85
79
+6
86avg 70
A19/03
ABA League 2
Pelister
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 70
H21/03
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
L
75-76
75
76
-1
70avg 70
A23/03
ABA League 2
Tivat
#5
W
81-69
81
69
+12
no box
H27/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#12
W
100-52
100
52
+48
no box
A30/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#9
W
77-60
77
60
+17
no box
H02/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#11
W
99-94
99
94
+5
no box
A05/04
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
20-18
22-15
17-15
22-15
21-25
27-15
22-12
22-24
25-17
16-32
19-14
21-26
22-17
20-16
22-20
19-21
17-20
22-25
28-15
22-21
23-19
18-19
12-17
26-12
17-16
20-21
18-20
31-13
22-15
28-9
19-15
24-22
14-7
17-16
22-15
30-25
25-25
22-23
22-21
158.5Avg total
84.8Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.977.8156.7+1.262%
Season at home (7)83.779.7163.4+4.071%
Season away (6)73.375.5148.8-2.250%
Last 10 (10)84.873.7158.5+11.170%
Last 5 (5)86.470.2156.6+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)73.385.0158.3-11.733%
vs Similar (3)75.777.0152.7-1.333%
vs Weaker (23)88.874.1162.9+14.783%
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZlatiborLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlatibor
Date
Competition
KK Metalac
#10
W
90-83
90
83
+7
84avg 82
A02/03
First League
Dynamic
#9
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 82
H09/03
First League
Sloga
#12
W
86-59
86
59
+27
83avg 82
H15/03
First League
Sencur
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
93avg 82
H20/03
ABA League 2
MZT Skopje
#6
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
A22/03
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
75avg 82
H24/03
ABA League 2
Tamis
#14
W
88-78
88
78
+10
88avg 82
A27/03
First League
OKK Novi Pazar
#15
W
80-72
80
72
+8
71avg 82
H29/03
First League
Joker
#7
W
85-77 OT
85
77
+8
80avg 82
A02/04
First League
Sloboda
#5
W
95-89 OT
95
89
+6
90avg 82
H05/04
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
19-24
22-22
18-19
20-18
25-20
23-14
14-24
28-18
18-13
25-14
15-14
18-22
28-18
14-16
27-19
18-20
14-22
21-18
19-12
20-16
20-26
17-22
18-19
24-16
20-24
26-19
18-19
21-17
20-15
24-19
15-21
26-21
21-22
16-18
11-13
22-15
16-18
30-28
13-20
163.5Avg total
85.8Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.678.9167.5+9.777%
Season at home (6)86.374.3160.7+12.083%
Season away (7)90.682.9173.4+7.771%
Last 10 (10)85.877.7163.5+8.190%
Last 5 (5)84.679.8164.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.580.5153.0-8.00%
vs Similar (9)87.686.3173.9+1.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.477.9165.3+9.595%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
PodgoricaZlatibor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A06/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A14/03
Prva A Liga
Cedevita Junior
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A19/03
ABA League 2
Pelister
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H21/03
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A23/03
ABA League 2
Tivat
#5
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H27/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#12
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A30/03
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H02/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#11
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A05/04
Prva A Liga
81.7Avg total
43.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.782.3+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.736.279.9+7.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.541.384.8+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.281.7+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.835.081.8+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.346.788.0-5.30%-
vs Similar (3)36.339.075.3-2.733%-
vs Weaker (23)44.637.982.5+6.770%-
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZlatiborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Metalac
#10
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A02/03
First League
Dynamic
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/03
First League
Sloga
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H15/03
First League
Sencur
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H20/03
ABA League 2
MZT Skopje
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A22/03
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H24/03
ABA League 2
Tamis
#14
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A27/03
First League
OKK Novi Pazar
#15
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H29/03
First League
Joker
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A02/04
First League
Sloboda
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H05/04
First League
81.2Avg total
42.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.340.785.1+3.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.940.586.4+5.475%-
Last 30 away (14)42.541.083.5+1.571%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.381.2+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.080.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.544.579.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (9)42.741.183.8+1.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.240.286.3+6.089%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.0
53.4%
53.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.6
29.7%
31.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.814.9
71.6%
73.7%14.9
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zlatibortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlatibor: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.318.2
62.1%
53.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.5
36.5%
31.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.914.4
72.4%
73.7%14.4
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Podgorica
WWWWLWWLWL
Zlatibor
WWWWLWWWWW
#5
League position
#3
+0.5
Net rating
+13.3
104.5
Offensive rating
117.0
104.0
Defensive rating
103.8
50.2%
Effective FG%
58.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.0%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.7%
3-point %
36.5%
56.9%
Assist %
59.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 117.0Defence104.0 · 103.8Shooting50.2% · 58.7%3-point %29.7% · 36.5%Ball care15.8% · 16.0%Off. rebounds26.6% · 27.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Podgorica   ■ Zlatibor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Podgorica wins
3
Zlatibor wins
DateGameScore
31/01/24Zlatibor v Podgorica90-68
12/04/23Podgorica v Zlatibor89-64
20/10/22Zlatibor v Podgorica91-72
10/11/21Podgorica v Zlatibor66-73
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24ADecic99-94
02/04/24HIbar Rozaje77-60
30/03/24ADanilovgrad100-52
27/03/24HTivat81-69
23/03/24AHelios Domzale75-76
21/03/24HPelister86-81
19/03/24ACedevita Junior85-79
14/03/24ASutjeska82-87
09/03/24HJedinstvo92-67
06/03/24ALovcen Cetinje71-72
Zlatiborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24HSloboda95-89 OT
02/04/24AJoker85-77 OT
29/03/24HOKK Novi Pazar80-72
27/03/24ATamis88-78
24/03/24HVojvodina Novi Sad75-83
22/03/24AMZT Skopje90-85 OT
20/03/24HSencur87-75
15/03/24HSloga86-59
09/03/24HDynamic82-76
02/03/24AKK Metalac90-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Podgorica
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game78.983.773.3
Allowed / game77.879.775.5
Point differential+1.2+4.0-2.2
Avg total156.7163.4148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zlatibor
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL77%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%83%71%
Points / game88.686.390.6
Allowed / game78.974.382.9
Point differential+9.7+12.0+7.7
Avg total167.5160.7173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spartak Subotica1412286%85.976.1+9.9
2 Vojvodina Novi Sad1714382%81.572.7+8.8
3 Zlatibor1310377%88.678.9+9.7
4 Siroki Brijeg139469%77.875.4+2.5
5 MZT Skopje138562%83.778.2+5.5
6 Podgorica138562%78.977.8+1.2
7 KK Bosna42250%78.078.5-0.5
8 Borac Banja Luka136746%66.667.2-0.5
9 Sutjeska136746%76.978.2-1.3
10 Helios Domzale146843%71.172.6-1.5
11 Pelister135838%77.280.2-3.0
12 Sencur134931%74.279.6-5.5
13 Cedevita Junior134931%75.881.5-5.7
14 GKK Sibenka1321115%74.683.6-9.0
15 TFT Skopje1321115%70.281.0-10.8
16 Perspektiva Ilirija2020%75.580.0-4.5
17 Spars Ilidza2020%79.095.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Podgorica33302624113
Zlatibor2615272189
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