Pogradeci vs Teuta Durres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 84-90

19-20 17-28 24-22 24-20

Position#11

Record0-6

FormLLLLL

Points / game68.8

Allowed / game102.0

Pogradeci

Teuta Durres 🏆

Position#6

Record4-2

FormWLWLW

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game76.7

Superliga· Pallati I Sportit

Other2025-26

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pogradeci winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Teuta Durres winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pogradeci

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPogradeci

Date

Competition

Elbasani

64-98

-34

34avg 55

A05/10

Superliga

Kamza Basket

75-110

110

-35

68avg 55

H12/10

Superliga

Fieri

72-89

-17

66avg 55

H19/10

Superliga

Beselidhja

76-124

124

-48

61avg 55

A26/10

Superliga

Skenderbeu

66-111

111

-45

54avg 55

H01/11

Superliga

Vllaznia

60-80

-20

50avg 55

A08/11

Superliga

11-28

14-17

20-25

19-28

17-40

21-25

17-28

20-17

13-26

17-21

23-17

19-25

16-31

26-31

13-36

21-26

10-20

14-29

18-32

24-30

11-20

18-22

15-19

16-19

170.8Avg total

68.8Scored

102.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	68.8	102.0	170.8	-33.2	0%
Season at home (3)	71.0	103.3	174.3	-32.3	0%
Season away (3)	66.7	100.7	167.3	-34.0	0%
Last 10 (6)	68.8	102.0	170.8	-33.2	0%
Last 5 (5)	69.8	102.8	172.6	-33.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	69.8	102.8	172.6	-33.0	0%
vs Similar (1)	64.0	98.0	162.0	-34.0	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Teuta Durres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Teuta Durres Albania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormDurres

Date

Competition

Apolonia Fier

69-66

no box

A20/04

Superliga

Beselidhja

68-132

132

-64

51avg 73

A24/04

Superliga

Beselidhja

71-123

123

-52

60avg 73

H28/04

Superliga

Beselidhja

64-134

134

-70

50avg 73

A01/05

Superliga

Kamza Basket

89-81

51avg 73

A05/10

Superliga

PBC Flamurtari

#12

81-35

+46

76avg 73

A12/10

Superliga

Apolonia Fier

61-85

-24

48avg 73

H18/10

Superliga

Partizani Tirana

#10

75-71

69avg 73

A26/10

Superliga

Tirana

72-103

103

-31

63avg 73

H06/11

Superliga

Elbasani

97-85

+12

95avg 73

A10/11

Superliga

22-20

15-17

23-17

9-12

25-27

17-37

8-30

18-38

19-23

16-26

19-38

17-36

20-35

16-31

16-42

12-26

21-20

30-12

18-27

20-22

20-8

25-5

20-5

16-17

16-19

16-21

13-26

18-22

12-17

23-15

22-17

14-28

14-20

24-28

20-27

24-21

22-22

25-18

26-24

166.2Avg total

74.7Scored

91.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	79.2	76.7	155.8	+2.5	67%
Season at home (2)	66.5	94.0	160.5	-27.5	0%
Season away (4)	85.5	68.0	153.5	+17.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	74.7	91.5	166.2	-16.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	75.8	153.0	+1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	78.9	96.9	175.8	-17.9	25%
vs Similar (11)	83.5	76.2	159.7	+7.4	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	84.3	63.7	148.0	+20.7	100%

This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PogradeciTeuta Durres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	13.0	27.5	40.5	-14.5	0%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	13.3	28.7	42.0	-15.3	0%	-
Last 30 away (3)	12.7	26.3	39.0	-13.7	0%	-
Last 10 (6)	13.0	27.5	40.5	-14.5	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	27.4	40.8	-14.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	13.4	27.4	40.8	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	11.0	28.0	39.0	-17.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.3	42.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.6	23.1	43.7	-2.4	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.8	18.6	42.5	+5.2	82%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	20.7	17.0	37.7	+3.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	18.3	24.2	42.5	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	17.3	25.0	42.3	-7.7	0%	-
Last 30 away (3)	19.3	23.3	42.7	-4.0	0%	-
Last 10 (6)	18.3	24.2	42.5	-5.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	25.6	44.8	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.2	25.6	44.8	-6.4	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	14.0	17.0	31.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.6	34.4	+1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.9	21.8	41.8	-1.9	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.3	18.3	39.5	+3.0	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	19.7	14.7	34.3	+5.0	33%	-

PogradeciLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Elbasani

25-45

-20

A05/10

Superliga

Kamza Basket

38-65

-27

H12/10

Superliga

Fieri

30-47

-17

H19/10

Superliga

Beselidhja

42-62

-20

A26/10

Superliga

Skenderbeu

24-49

-25

H01/11

Superliga

Vllaznia

29-42

-13

A08/11

Superliga

83.0Avg total

31.3Scored

51.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	31.3	51.7	83.0	-20.3	0%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	30.7	53.7	84.3	-23.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (3)	32.0	49.7	81.7	-17.7	0%	-
Last 10 (6)	31.3	51.7	83.0	-20.3	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	53.0	85.6	-20.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	32.6	53.0	85.6	-20.4	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	25.0	45.0	70.0	-20.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Teuta Durres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Teuta DurresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apolonia Fier

37-37

A20/04

Superliga

Beselidhja

42-64

-22

A24/04

Superliga

Beselidhja

35-49

-14

H28/04

Superliga

Beselidhja

36-66

-30

A01/05

Superliga

Kamza Basket

51-32

+19

A05/10

Superliga

PBC Flamurtari

#12

45-13

+32

A12/10

Superliga

Apolonia Fier

32-38

-6

H18/10

Superliga

Partizani Tirana

#10

30-39

-9

A26/10

Superliga

Tirana

28-48

-20

H06/11

Superliga

Elbasani

46-43

A10/11

Superliga

81.1Avg total

38.2Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	40.6	82.8	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.4	40.7	82.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.0	40.6	83.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	42.9	81.1	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	36.2	72.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	40.6	44.9	85.4	-4.3	44%	-
vs Similar (11)	45.1	36.9	82.0	+8.2	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	40.3	31.7	72.0	+8.7	67%	-

This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	17.7	26.2	43.8	-8.5	17%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	19.3	25.7	45.0	-6.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (3)	16.0	26.7	42.7	-10.7	0%	-
Last 10 (6)	17.7	26.2	43.8	-8.5	17%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	26.4	43.6	-9.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.2	26.4	43.6	-9.2	20%	-
vs Similar (1)	20.0	25.0	45.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	23.0	42.1	-3.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	24.1	43.3	-4.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.4	39.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.3	25.1	44.4	-5.8	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.7	12.7	35.3	+10.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	19.8	24.2	44.0	-4.3	17%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	21.0	24.0	45.0	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (3)	18.7	24.3	43.0	-5.7	0%	-
Last 10 (6)	19.8	24.2	44.0	-4.3	17%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.4	43.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.0	23.4	43.4	-3.4	20%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	28.0	47.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	23.1	41.5	-4.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	23.7	42.5	-5.0	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	22.5	40.6	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	24.5	41.8	-7.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.2	41.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.3	26.5	44.8	-8.2	12%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.5	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	21.3	19.3	40.7	+2.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (6)	37.5	50.3	87.8	-12.8	0%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	40.3	49.7	90.0	-9.3	0%	-
Last 30 away (3)	34.7	51.0	85.7	-16.3	0%	-
Last 10 (6)	37.5	50.3	87.8	-12.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	49.8	87.0	-12.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	37.2	49.8	87.0	-12.6	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	39.0	53.0	92.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	44.4	82.4	-6.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	43.2	82.1	-4.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	45.5	82.7	-8.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	48.6	85.1	-12.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	39.6	80.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	37.6	51.6	89.2	-13.9	12%	-
vs Similar (11)	36.9	37.3	74.2	-0.4	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	44.0	32.0	76.0	+12.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Pogradecitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pogradeci: 69.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game

55%

30%

14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	18.4	49.2%	56.4%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	7.4	25.5%	34.4%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	17.6	10.8	61.4%	67.8%	10.8

They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Teuta Durrestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Teuta Durres: 74.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game

55%

30%

14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	17.4	47.8%	56.4%	34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.1	9.2	30.6%	34.4%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	18.6	12.4	66.7%	67.8%	12.4

They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.0	31.8	64.9%	56.4%	63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	10.2	37.2%	34.4%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.2	11.4	59.4%	67.8%	11.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.6	24.7	54.2%	56.4%	49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	9.4	33.8%	34.4%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	22.4	14.8	66.1%	67.8%	14.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	20.3	51.1%	56.4%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	9.3	31.7%	34.4%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	18.3	12.2	66.4%	67.8%	12.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.0	31.8	64.9%	56.4%	63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	10.2	37.2%	34.4%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.2	11.4	59.4%	67.8%	11.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	22.0	52.1%	56.4%	43.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	9.4	32.5%	34.4%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	20.7	13.6	65.6%	67.8%	13.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Pogradeci

LLLLLL

Teuta Durres

WLWLWWLLLW

#11

League position

-43.9

Net rating

-21.3

85.6

Offensive rating

90.5

129.6

Defensive rating

111.8

44.4%

Effective FG%

46.9%

61.6%

Opp. effective FG%

52.9%

20.3%

Turnover %

18.9%

22.2%

Off. rebound %

19.9%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.28

25.5%

3-point %

30.6%

60.5%

Assist %

63.5%

Form (last 6/10)

50%

Profile

■ Pogradeci ■ Teuta Durres

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pogradeci wins

Teuta Durres wins

No previous meetings.

Pogradecilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/25	A	Vllaznia	60-80
01/11/25	H	Skenderbeu	66-111
26/10/25	A	Beselidhja	76-124
19/10/25	H	Fieri	72-89
12/10/25	H	Kamza Basket	75-110
05/10/25	A	Elbasani	64-98

Teuta Durreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/25	A	Elbasani	97-85
06/11/25	H	Tirana	72-103
26/10/25	A	Partizani Tirana	75-71
18/10/25	H	Apolonia Fier	61-85
12/10/25	A	PBC Flamurtari	81-35
05/10/25	A	Kamza Basket	89-81
01/05/25	A	Beselidhja	64-134
28/04/25	H	Beselidhja	71-123
24/04/25	A	Beselidhja	68-132
20/04/25	A	Apolonia Fier	69-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pogradeci

Superliga 2025-26

Recent: 0 Wins / 6 Losses (last 6)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	68.8	71.0	66.7
Allowed / game	102.0	103.3	100.7
Point differential	-33.2	-32.3	-34.0
Avg total	170.8	174.3	167.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Teuta Durres

Superliga 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	67%
Home	LL	0%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	67%	0%	100%
Points / game	79.2	66.5	85.5
Allowed / game	76.7	94.0	68.0
Point differential	+2.5	-27.5	+17.5
Avg total	155.8	160.5	153.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Beselidhja	7	7	0	100%	117.9	67.4	+50.4
2	Apolonia Fier	6	6	0	100%	90.8	71.2	+19.7
3	Tirana	6	5	1	83%	91.5	79.3	+12.2
4	Vllaznia	6	4	2	67%	86.3	73.8	+12.5
5	Teuta Durres	6	4	2	67%	79.2	76.7	+2.5
6	Skenderbeu	7	4	3	57%	89.3	86.9	+2.4
7	Kamza Basket	6	3	3	50%	87.0	79.8	+7.2
8	Fieri	6	2	4	33%	77.0	90.2	-13.2
9	Elbasani	7	2	5	29%	87.6	99.6	-12.0
10	Partizani Tirana	6	1	5	17%	77.8	86.3	-8.5
11	Pogradeci	6	0	6	0%	68.8	102.0	-33.2
12	PBC Flamurtari	7	0	7	0%	60.7	100.9	-40.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pogradeci	19	17	24	24	84
Teuta Durres	20	28	22	20	90

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Pogradeci vs Teuta Durres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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