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Poitiers vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:50
Final 77-72
21-23 23-22 18-16 15-11
Position#9
Record9-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#8
Record8-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game80.2
FrancePro BRound 17· Salle Saint-Éloi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Poitiers v Pau-Orthez
15 Jun 2026
POI72
POR81
30 Apr 2026
POI90
POR97
20 Dec 2024
POI77
POR72
03 May 2024
POI78
POR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poitiers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoitiersFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoitiers
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
H25/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
99-107 OT
99
107
-8
112avg 91
A29/10
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
89-76
89
76
+13
100avg 91
H01/11
Pro B
Roanne
#7
L
82-101
82
101
-19
73avg 91
A05/11
Pro B
Antibes
#10
W
77-59
77
59
+18
101avg 91
A08/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
97-84
97
84
+13
92avg 91
A11/11
French Cup
St. Chamond
#12
W
93-87
93
87
+6
105avg 91
H15/11
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
83avg 91
A30/11
Pro B
Nantes
#17
W
103-88
103
88
+15
118avg 91
H06/12
Pro B
Vichy
#6
L
87-91
87
91
-4
98avg 91
A13/12
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
27-28
16-21
16-22
20-21
27-24
14-23
25-18
23-18
19-16
26-17
21-25
15-26
31-20
14-21
22-34
20-19
20-10
17-16
20-14
13-29
25-23
29-15
30-17
22-16
33-20
25-23
13-28
24-13
11-23
19-18
24-17
31-24
26-26
23-20
23-18
18-26
22-19
21-24
26-22
173.1Avg total
88.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.582.8168.2+2.856%
Season at home (7)85.979.9165.7+6.071%
Season away (9)85.285.0170.2+0.244%
Last 10 (10)88.185.0173.1+3.160%
Last 5 (5)91.684.2175.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.283.6156.8-10.420%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.783.8170.5+2.953%
vs Weaker (7)86.676.0162.6+10.671%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
78-84
78
84
-6
84avg 87
A25/10
Pro B
Chartres
#21
L
82-90
82
90
-8
85avg 87
A29/10
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
97avg 87
H01/11
Pro B
Caen
#15
L
76-85
76
85
-9
81avg 87
H05/11
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
119avg 87
A09/11
Pro B
Strasbourg
#16
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
79avg 87
H12/11
French Cup
Orleans
#4
L
68-78
68
78
-10
82avg 87
H15/11
Pro B
ASA
#5
W
83-78
83
78
+5
93avg 87
A29/11
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
72-76
72
76
-4
89avg 87
H06/12
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
84-67
84
67
+17
98avg 87
H13/12
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
22-17
21-17
19-32
26-17
24-27
17-15
15-31
17-16
21-18
22-17
21-26
20-18
20-22
18-20
18-25
21-23
24-24
23-24
21-18
30-16
16-19
15-24
13-15
13-18
16-24
15-14
24-22
18-19
29-20
16-17
20-22
19-19
14-23
17-20
22-14
20-16
21-8
29-17
14-26
164.6Avg total
82.3Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.180.2160.3-0.150%
Season at home (9)76.978.0154.9-1.144%
Season away (7)84.383.0167.3+1.357%
Last 10 (10)82.382.3164.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)80.277.0157.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.581.8163.3-0.350%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.879.4158.2-0.657%
vs Weaker (8)81.280.5161.8+0.838%
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -4.4-4.4
PoitiersPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoitiersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H25/10
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A29/10
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/11
Pro B
Roanne
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/11
Pro B
Antibes
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A08/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A11/11
French Cup
St. Chamond
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H15/11
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A30/11
Pro B
Nantes
#17
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H06/12
Pro B
Vichy
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A13/12
Pro B
86.0Avg total
44.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.281.8+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.238.682.8+5.767%-
Last 30 away (18)39.741.381.1-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)44.441.686.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.888.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.643.680.2-7.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.341.383.6+1.041%-
vs Weaker (7)42.136.078.1+6.171%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#16
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A25/10
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A29/10
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H01/11
Pro B
Caen
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H05/11
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A09/11
Pro B
Strasbourg
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H12/11
French Cup
Orleans
#4
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H15/11
Pro B
ASA
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A29/11
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H06/12
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H13/12
Pro B
78.9Avg total
40.7Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.678.5+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.236.875.9+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)40.840.681.4+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.278.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.475.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.840.279.0-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.638.978.5+0.857%-
vs Weaker (8)41.537.278.8+4.262%-
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poitierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poitiers: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.8
56.2%
52.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.8
33.0%
33.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.220.4
77.9%
73.2%20.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.0
47.9%
52.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.5
35.8%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.815.0
68.8%
73.2%15.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poitiers
LWWWWWLWLL
Pau-Orthez
WLWLWWLWLL
#9
League position
#8
+5.3
Net rating
+0.8
111.6
Offensive rating
105.1
106.3
Defensive rating
104.4
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.2%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.0%
3-point %
35.8%
62.5%
Assist %
57.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 105.1Defence106.3 · 104.4Shooting53.4% · 50.2%3-point %33.0% · 35.8%Ball care18.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds29.9% · 30.5%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Poitiers   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Poitiers wins
2
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
03/05/24Poitiers v Pau-Orthez78-80
03/12/23Pau-Orthez v Poitiers77-78
19/09/23Pau-Orthez v Poitiers81-69
Poitierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24AVichy87-91
06/12/24HNantes103-88
30/11/24AAda Blois78-71
15/11/24HSt. Chamond93-87
11/11/24AAix Maurienne97-84
08/11/24AAntibes77-59
05/11/24ARoanne82-101
01/11/24HRouen89-76
29/10/24AAix Maurienne99-107 OT
25/10/24HBoulazac76-86
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24HEvreux84-67
06/12/24HHyeres-Toulon72-76
29/11/24AASA83-78
15/11/24HOrleans68-78
12/11/24HStrasbourg94-86 OT
09/11/24AAda Blois105-102 OT
05/11/24HCaen76-85
01/11/24HRoanne81-77
29/10/24AChartres82-90
25/10/24AChalons-Reims78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poitiers
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%71%44%
Points / game85.585.985.2
Allowed / game82.879.985.0
Point differential+2.8+6.0+0.2
Avg total168.2165.7170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%57%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %12%0%22%
Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWLLLW44%
AwayLLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %50%44%57%
Points / game80.176.984.3
Allowed / game80.278.083.0
Point differential-0.1-1.1+1.3
Avg total160.3154.9167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boulazac1613381%82.274.1+8.1
2 Orleans1713476%85.479.6+5.8
3 Ada Blois1712571%89.380.1+9.2
4 Roanne1712571%89.782.9+6.8
5 Aix Maurienne1712571%90.584.7+5.8
6 Caen1610662%78.079.2-1.2
7 Antibes1710759%78.878.1+0.6
8 Poitiers169756%85.582.8+2.8
9 Rouen179853%84.878.8+6.0
10 Pau-Orthez168850%80.180.2-0.1
11 ASA178947%86.984.3+2.6
12 Denain-Voltaire178947%80.680.1+0.5
13 St. Chamond178947%84.784.4+0.4
14 Hyeres-Toulon1771041%74.681.4-6.8
15 Vichy1661038%77.979.6-1.7
16 Fos-sur-Mer1761135%74.580.8-6.2
17 Evreux1751229%78.584.9-6.4
18 Chalons-Reims1641225%80.688.8-8.2
19 Nantes1741324%81.486.4-5.0
20 Chartres1731418%77.890.9-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poitiers2123181577
Pau-Orthez2322161172
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