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Poland W vs Romania W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-41
26-8 13-7 24-10 23-16
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game55.0
Poland W 🏆
vs
Romania W
Position#29
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game62.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 2· ArcelorMittal Park
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Romania W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Poland WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Albania W
#38
W
136-50
136
50
+86
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#10
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
W
65-58
65
58
+7
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
67-62
67
62
+5
no box
A08/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
73-75 OT
73
75
-2
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
105-51
105
51
+54
no box
H07/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
H10/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
69-72
69
72
-3
63avg 75
A06/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
88-34
88
34
+54
88avg 75
A09/02
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#22
W
62-55
62
55
+7
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
43-6
37-6
24-20
32-18
17-17
20-17
27-22
12-16
8-13
16-16
22-15
19-14
18-14
18-10
13-20
18-18
28-15
14-17
10-20
14-14
32-16
32-15
20-10
21-10
17-17
24-15
16-24
20-24
22-18
13-22
15-16
19-16
18-2
21-13
32-11
17-8
18-13
17-7
12-11
15-24
142.7Avg total
81.8Scored
60.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)62.055.0117.0+7.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)62.055.0117.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.860.9142.7+20.970%
Last 5 (5)80.258.4138.6+21.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.271.7133.8-9.533%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.856.0138.8+26.864%
This opponent (Romania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Romania WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Iceland W
#33
L
58-68
58
68
-10
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
32-75
32
75
-43
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
L
58-74
58
74
-16
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
L
77-93
77
93
-16
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
54-101
54
101
-47
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
A10/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
L
52-90
52
90
-38
38avg 45
A06/02
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
61-99
61
99
-38
51avg 45
H09/02
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
75-62
75
62
+13
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
17-12
18-19
8-22
13-18
6-20
8-19
5-18
12-21
22-16
10-15
14-22
29-19
16-19
20-16
17-16
23-25
21-24
12-23
21-21
16-25
15-33
10-20
13-23
25-22
12-22
14-11
22-22
4-24
21-16
7-30
20-20
12-23
17-21
14-30
18-25
20-14
22-17
11-10
22-21
143.1Avg total
62.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.062.0137.0+13.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)75.062.0137.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)62.280.9143.1-18.720%
Last 5 (5)63.085.8148.8-22.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)59.086.9145.9-27.97%
vs Similar (2)72.073.0145.0-1.050%
vs Weaker (3)66.063.0129.0+3.067%
This opponent (Poland W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +9.0+9.0Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -5.0-5.0
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +9.0+9.0Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -5.0-5.0
Poland WRomania W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Poland WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albania W
#38
W
80-12
80
12
+68
A27/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A12/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A08/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H12/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
64-31
64
31
+33
H07/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H10/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A06/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
39-15
39
15
+24
A09/02
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#22
W
35-20
35
20
+15
A12/11
European Championship Women
70.2Avg total
43.3Scored
26.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)40.328.468.7+11.965%-
Last 30 at home (8)44.532.176.6+12.475%-
Last 30 away (9)36.625.161.7+11.456%-
Last 10 (10)43.326.970.2+16.480%-
Last 5 (5)42.827.670.4+15.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.232.764.8-0.550%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.726.170.8+18.673%-
This opponent (Romania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Romania WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iceland W
#33
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A27/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
19-38
19
38
-19
H09/02
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/02
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H12/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
31-58
31
58
-27
A07/11
European Championship Women
Iceland W
#29
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A10/11
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#10
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A06/02
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H09/02
European Championship Women
Cyprus W
#37
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A12/11
European Championship Women
74.4Avg total
33.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)32.141.273.3-9.132%-
Last 30 at home (9)30.243.173.3-12.933%-
Last 30 away (10)33.839.573.3-5.730%-
Last 10 (10)33.840.674.4-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)32.843.476.2-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)30.545.375.8-14.87%-
vs Similar (2)41.533.074.5+8.5100%-
vs Weaker (3)33.327.761.0+5.7100%-
This opponent (Poland W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poland Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland W: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.5
54.2%
-41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.7
29.7%
-26.0
🏀 Free throws19.312.2
62.9%
-12.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Romania Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Romania W: 65.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.014.0
40.0%
-28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.7
32.7%
-26.0
🏀 Free throws15.711.5
73.4%
-11.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poland W
WWLLWLWWWW
Romania W
WLLLLLWLLL
#7
League position
#29
+23.3
Net rating
-29.2
103.5
Offensive rating
87.5
80.2
Defensive rating
116.6
50.0%
Effective FG%
43.9%
42.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
22.1%
Turnover %
25.3%
39.7%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.7%
3-point %
32.7%
81.7%
Assist %
59.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Poland W   ■ Romania W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Poland W wins
0
Romania W wins
No previous meetings.
Poland Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25ASlovakia W62-55
09/02/25AAzerbaijan W88-34
06/02/25ALithuania W69-72
10/11/24HBelgium W77-80
07/11/24HAzerbaijan W105-51
12/11/23HLithuania W73-75 OT
08/11/23ABelgium W67-62
12/02/23ASlovenia W65-58
09/02/23HTurkey W76-72
27/11/22AAlbania W136-50
Romania Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25ACyprus W75-62
09/02/25HTurkey W61-99
06/02/25ASlovakia W52-90
10/11/24AIceland W73-77
07/11/24ATurkey W54-101
12/11/23HSlovakia W77-93
09/11/23HIceland W82-70
12/02/23AHungary W58-74
09/02/23HSpain W32-75
27/11/22AIceland W58-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game62.0-62.0
Allowed / game55.0-55.0
Point differential+7.0-+7.0
Avg total117.0-117.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Romania W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game62.0-62.0
Point differential+13.0-+13.0
Avg total137.0-137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W220100%110.554.0+56.5
2 Serbia W110100%84.059.0+25.0
3 Belgium W110100%96.072.0+24.0
4 Lithuania W110100%87.065.0+22.0
5 Great Britain W110100%85.064.0+21.0
6 Slovenia W220100%82.065.5+16.5
7 Luxembourg W110100%69.053.0+16.0
8 Austria W110100%63.048.0+15.0
9 Romania W110100%75.062.0+13.0
10 Israel W110100%98.091.0+7.0
11 Poland W110100%62.055.0+7.0
12 Croatia W110100%76.073.0+3.0
13 North Macedonia W110100%79.078.0+1.0
14 Montenegro W21150%84.566.5+18.0
15 Switzerland W21150%67.559.0+8.5
16 Latvia W21150%77.569.5+8.0
17 Netherlands W21150%77.071.5+5.5
18 Slovakia W21150%62.560.5+2.0
19 Ukraine W21150%65.572.5-7.0
20 Denmark W1010%78.079.0-1.0
21 Greece W1010%73.076.0-3.0
22 Bosnia & Herzegovina W1010%91.098.0-7.0
23 Cyprus W2020%60.572.5-12.0
24 Ireland W1010%53.069.0-16.0
25 Sweden W1010%65.087.0-22.0
26 Finland W1010%72.096.0-24.0
27 Iceland W1010%59.084.0-25.0
28 Norway W2020%40.567.0-26.5
29 Estonia W2020%59.589.5-30.0
30 Azerbaijan W2020%55.0122.5-67.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland W2613242386
Romania W87101641
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