Poli. Opolska will host Leszno on 15 November 2026 in the 1 Liga, and the Pythia model names Leszno the favourite, assigning it a 79% chance to win because of an unblemished 8-0 season record, 92.0 points per game and only 75.4 points allowed, while Poli. Opolska struggles at 1-7 with 80.9 points scored and 92.4 allowed, and sits 16th in the league; the model therefore rates Leszno highly. Poli. Opolska has played eight games this season, winning only once, and has a 1-3 record at home with 85.2 points per game and 92.2 allowed; its last five games yielded one win and four losses, including a 76-80 defeat to Inowroclaw, an 84-90 loss to Kotwica Kolobrzeg, and an 84-104 loss to Lancut. Leszno, meanwhile, has also played eight games, winning all, and is undefeated on the road with a 3-0 record, scoring 94.0 points per game and allowing 77.7; its last five games were all victories, including a 100-89 win over Poznan, a 90-76 win against Bytom, and a 84-59 win over GKS Tychy. In their head-to-head meetings, Leszno leads 3-1, though Poli. Opolska last beat them 89-75 on 26 March 2026. Pythia projects a 81-91 score, a total of 172.0 points, and gives Poli. Opolska a 21% win probability versus Leszno's 79%; the home line is 13.0 with a 64% chance of covering, and the over line of 170.0 carries a 54% probability, while the game has a 4% chance of overtime. The next game will see Leszno maintain its perfect record against a struggling home side.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Poli. Opolska win
20.9%fair 4.79
Best odds4.22
Implied26.6%
Edge-5.8pp
Leszno win
79.1%fair 1.26
Best odds1.33
Implied73.4%
Edge+5.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Poli. Opolska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164
Over 164
68.4%
Under 164
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.25 · main line
Over 169.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under 169.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 174
Over 174
44.2%
Under 174
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
📊 3. Team Totals
Poli. Opolska total 74.5
Over 74.5
74.5%
@ 1.43+13.7pp
Under 74.5
25.5%
@ 2.22-13.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.43
Under
1xBet
2.22
Poli. Opolska total 78.5 · main line
Over 78.5
60.4%
@ 1.85+10.4pp
Under 78.5
39.6%
@ 2.04-10.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.51
Under
1xBet
2.04
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
Poli. Opolska total 82.5
Over 82.5
44.9%
@ 1.96+0.7pp
Under 82.5
55.1%
@ 1.55-0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.96
Under
1xBet
1.55
Leszno total 85.5
Over 85.5
69.3%
@ 1.46+9.9pp
Under 85.5
30.7%
@ 2.14-9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Under
1xBet
2.14
Leszno total 89.5 · main line
Over 89.5
54.2%
@ 1.88+4.2pp
Under 89.5
45.8%
@ 1.83-4.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.60
Leszno total 93.5
Over 93.5
38.5%
@ 2.41+2.2pp
Under 93.5
61.5%
@ 1.37-2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.41
Under
1xBet
1.37
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Poli. Opolska +4.5
POLI +4.5
32.8%
@ 2.27-6.2pp
LESZ -4.5
67.2%
@ 1.45+6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
POLI
1xBet
2.27
LESZ
1xBet
1.45
Spread Poli. Opolska +7.5 · main line
POLI +7.5
43.7%
@ 2.00-6.2pp
LESZ -7.5
56.3%
@ 1.83+6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
POLI
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.84
1xBet
1.81
LESZ
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.77
Betfair
1.73
Spread Poli. Opolska +10.5
POLI +10.5
54.7%
@ 1.87+0.5pp
LESZ -10.5
45.3%
@ 2.22-0.5pp
Best 5 market prices
POLI
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.47
LESZ
1xBet
2.22
Pinnacle
1.99
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
SBO
1.79
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
Poli. OpolskaLeszno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Poli. OpolskaLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#6
L
14-21
14
21
-7
A11/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H15/04
1 Liga
Poznan
#5
L
16-24
16
24
-8
A19/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
14-30
14
30
-16
A27/09
1 Liga
Krosno
#14
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H04/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A10/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
17-26
17
26
-9
H17/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#9
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H25/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H31/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#4
W
23-21
23
21
+2
A08/11
1 Liga
47.3Avg total
22.3Scored
25.0Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)
20.8
22.4
43.2
-1.7
40%
53%
Last 30 at home (16)
22.1
22.5
44.6
-0.4
44%
56%
Last 30 away (14)
19.3
22.4
41.6
-3.1
36%
50%
Last 10 (10)
22.3
25.0
47.3
-2.7
30%
80%
Last 5 (5)
21.8
25.0
46.8
-3.2
20%
100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)
21.3
22.7
44.0
-1.4
41%
65%
vs Similar (12)
19.8
22.7
42.4
-2.9
33%
42%
vs Weaker (1)
24.0
15.0
39.0
+9.0
100%
0%
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
This opponent (Poli. Opolska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 2nd half markets priced for this game yet.
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poli. Opolskatheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Poli. Opolska: 95.9 points a game allowed
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
38.5
24.6
63.9%
53.9%
49.2
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
23.5
9.5
40.4%
33.5%
28.5
🏀Free throws
24.9
18.2
73.1%
70.8%
18.2
Their opponents take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Lesznotheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Leszno: 77.3 points a game allowed
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
32.2
17.3
53.7%
53.9%
34.6
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
30.9
10.6
34.3%
33.5%
31.8
🏀Free throws
17.0
10.9
64.1%
70.8%
10.9
Their opponents take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poli. Opolskatheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Poli. Opolska: 86.9 points a game allowed
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
40.4
22.5
55.7%
53.9%
45.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.4
8.6
33.8%
33.5%
25.8
🏀Free throws
22.7
16.1
71.0%
70.8%
16.1
Their opponents take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Lesznotheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Leszno: 80.7 points a game allowed
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
34.0
17.8
52.3%
53.9%
35.5
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
30.3
10.2
33.5%
33.5%
30.5
🏀Free throws
22.6
14.7
64.9%
70.8%
14.7
Their opponents take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poli. Opolska
LLLWLLLLLL
Leszno
WWWWWWWWLW
#16
League position
#1
-15.1
Net rating
+12.5
92.9
Offensive rating
102.8
107.9
Defensive rating
90.3
49.6%
Effective FG%
55.4%
62.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.8%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.0%
3-point %
36.7%
58.9%
Assist %
68.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%
Profile
■ Poli. Opolska■ Leszno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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PythiaBasketballBETA
1 LigaRound 9· Hala sportowa Politechniki Opolskiej
Poli. Opolska
Spojnia Stargard
Inowroclaw
Poznan
WKK Wroclaw
Pelplin
GKS Tychy
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
Krosno
Starogard Gdanski